Part of: Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $148,305.

Categories: Games, Sports, Esports, Dota 2

Notable Trades

98% winner backs Nigma Galaxy

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and $9.3M lifetime profit deployed $22,000 on Nigma Galaxy in a very thin market despite the price moving down.

  • This bettor has won 603 of 613 resolved positions and is up $9.34M lifetime.
  • They placed $22,000 on Nigma Galaxy at an average entry near 46¢—over 17 times the market's 24-hour volume.
  • The market has since moved to 42%, creating a potentially more favorable entry for the same high-performing trader's thesis.

$20,000 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 98%

95% winner leads coordinated LGD buying

A proven high-edge bettor made a concentrated LGD wager alongside coordinated one-sided flow, with the price already rising from 58% to 66%.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 857 resolved positions and is up $1.4 million, while buying LGD at 58%.
  • Nine wallets bought LGD for nearly $50,000 combined, creating strong one-sided conviction.
  • The market moved from 58% to 66% after the trade, alongside a dramatic volume spike.

$5,015 on LGD Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%

Elite esports bettors back Nigma

Two exceptionally profitable bettors bought $47,533 of Nigma Galaxy at 44–47%, creating a strong copy-trade signal despite opposing LGD flow elsewhere.

  • Two bettors with 94% and 98% win rates committed heavily to Nigma Galaxy.
  • Five wallets bought $47,533 in total, with the largest positions entered around 45–46%.
  • The market now prices Nigma at 34%, below their entries, creating a potentially favorable discount if their conviction is correct.

$17,172 on Nigma Galaxy

13-wallet LGD conviction cluster

A large one-sided LGD position from 13 wallets, supported by a major volume spike, sharp profitable bettors, and a 17-point price rise, is a strong directional signal despite some wallets adding to existing positions.

  • 13 wallets committed $60,205 to LGD Gaming, with the market moving from roughly 55¢ to 62¢.
  • The flow arrived during a 32.6x volume spike, suggesting concentrated pre-match conviction.
  • Several participants have strong records, including bettors winning 83% and 87% of resolved positions with meaningful profits.

$60,205 on LGD Gaming

94% win-rate bettor backs Nigma

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate and $5.9M P&L made a concentrated $23.9K bet on Nigma in an exceptionally thin market.

  • This bettor has won 170 of 180 resolved positions, with a $5.9M lifetime profit and average winning entry odds of 55%.
  • They concentrated $23.9K into Nigma Galaxy across two buys, exceeding the market’s 24-hour volume by more than eight times.
  • The market saw an enormous volume spike, while Nigma remains available near the bettor’s 45–46¢ entry.

$23,913 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 95%

98% winner backs Nigma Galaxy

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and $9.3M lifetime profit deployed $22,000 on Nigma Galaxy in a very thin market despite the price moving down.

  • This bettor has won 603 of 613 resolved positions and is up $9.34M lifetime.
  • They placed $22,000 on Nigma Galaxy at an average entry near 46¢—over 17 times the market's 24-hour volume.
  • The market has since moved to 42%, creating a potentially more favorable entry for the same high-performing trader's thesis.

$22,000 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x57b4...b46b Outcome 66294130, $15,000 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x04f6...f24a Outcome 66294130, $14,133 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x9a81...0e8f Outcome 66294130, $11,880 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x84fb...675e Outcome 66294130, $11,750 (83% win rate)
  5. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 66294130, $9,925 (80% win rate)
  6. 0xde24...4ded Outcome 66294130, $9,698 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x4572...83ff Outcome 66294130, $8,795 (55% win rate)
  8. 0xf3ce...a57a Outcome 66294130, $8,653 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x6f04...1fb0 Outcome 66294130, $4,118 (87% win rate)
  10. 0x559b...4959 Outcome 66294130, $4,000 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stage$148,305 tracked6 signalsGamesSportsEsportsDota 2

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between LGD Gaming and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Nigma Galaxy
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$20,000 on Nigma Galaxy at 46¢

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$5,015 on LGD Gaming at 58¢

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$17,172 on Nigma Galaxy at 46¢

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$60,205 on LGD Gaming at 55¢

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$23,913 on Nigma Galaxy at 46¢

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner

9d ago

$22,000 on Nigma Galaxy at 46¢

Related Theses