Part of: Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,241.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

89% sharp backed winner

A highly profitable 89% win-rate bettor bought 1win at 64¢ before the outcome moved to 100%, with a long serial cross-market track record and clear price impact.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $915K lifetime.
They have traded across 80 events with the same 89% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable esports edge.
Their 64¢ entry on 1win moved to 100%, showing the market quickly validated the bet.

$2,698 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 92%

76% cross-market sharp

Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought 1win at 75¢ before the market moved to 100¢, matching a strong price-impact signal.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $126k lifetime.
They have traded across 72 markets in 52 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
This 1win position moved from 75¢ to 100¢ after entry, so the original edge appears mostly gone now.

$1,543 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 72%

90% sharp backing underdog

Strong sharp-wallet alert: a 90% lifetime winner with nearly $1M profit is buying the 1win underdog at 42¢ in a modest-liquidity Dota market.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $993K lifetime.
They have traded 137 markets across 53 events with a 90% hit rate.
Buying 1win at 42¢ backs the underdog against the market’s current 40% price.

$6,000 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 11568909, $14,326 (96% win rate)
0x7d4d...8525 — Outcome 11568909, $10,326 (98% win rate)
0xd06c...cdaf — Outcome 11568909, $8,568 (91% win rate)
0x2146...d41b — Outcome 11568909, $3,133 (64% win rate)
0x2775...3652 — Outcome 11568909, $1,380 (53% win rate)
0xcbf7...0e79 — Outcome 11568909, $1,366 (79% win rate)
0x87da...53d1 — Outcome 11568909, $1,259 (78% win rate)
0x9a8e...9408 — Outcome 11568909, $1,069 (85% win rate)
0x62a9...3bb6 — Outcome 11568909, $879 (44% win rate)
0xae4c...dcb9 — Outcome 11568909, $723

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: MOUZ vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A$10,241 tracked3 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between MOUZ and 1win in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for May 5 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.