Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 2 of the Dota 2 lower bracket final between MOUZ and Nigma Galaxy in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs. The market resolves based on the Game 2 winner, with the match initially scheduled for April 11. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,015 in smart money activity on this market, with recent sharp signals leaning toward Nigma Galaxy.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between MOUZ and Nigma Galaxy in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 11 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,259.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

89% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp sports/esports bettor with an 89% win rate and strong edge is taking a fresh position on Nigma Galaxy at 54¢.

  • This bettor wins 89% of their trades across 300 resolved markets and is up $44k lifetime
  • They bought Nigma Galaxy at 54¢, a fresh position from a wallet with a strong record at roughly even-money prices
  • The market is fairly liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like a deliberate directional bet rather than noise

$1,015 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 89%

Linked sharp cluster on Nigma

Three linked wallets with strong long-term records all piled into Nigma Galaxy across this event, making this a credible coordinated sharp-money signal rather than routine flow.

  • Three wallets tied to the same funder all bet Nigma Galaxy, a coordinated $4.5k position.
  • The group includes a bettor who wins 89% of 300 resolved trades, and all three wallets show solid lifetime profits.
  • These wallets also traded 3 markets in the same event with a 70% win rate, suggesting a broader match thesis rather than a one-off punt.

$4,495 on Nigma Galaxy

26-0 sharp sports bettor

A bettor with a perfect 26-for-26 resolved record and strong edge just put $4.4k on MOUZ at 46¢, below current market price.

  • This bettor has won 26 of 26 resolved trades and is up $148k overall
  • They bought MOUZ at 46¢, and the market has already moved up to 51¢
  • A $4.4k bet from a proven winner on a near-even esports market suggests real conviction

$4,363 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 100%

70% win-rate esports bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 70% win rate is taking Nigma Galaxy at 49¢ across this event, making it a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest single-trade size.

  • This bettor wins 70% of 396 resolved trades and is up about $155k lifetime
  • They have bet 66 markets across 33 events, suggesting a repeatable event-level betting edge
  • Bought Nigma Galaxy at 49¢, close to even odds, implying they see better-than-50% win chances

$2,462 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven cross-market esports bettor

A proven profitable sports/esports trader with a 70% win rate is making a sizable bet on Nigma Galaxy while expressing the same thesis across three related markets in this event.

  • This bettor has won 277 of 396 resolved trades and is up about $155k lifetime.
  • They are betting across 3 markets in this same match event, with a 70% win rate across 66 related markets overall.
  • The $3.0k buy took 69% of recent market volume at 49¢, showing real conviction in a fairly thin market.

$2,954 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp esports event trader

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 70% win rate is making a sizable bet on Nigma Galaxy in a thin esports market, suggesting deliberate event-specific positioning.

  • This bettor wins 70% of their trades across 396 resolved markets and is up about $155k lifetime
  • They have bet 65 markets across 33 related events, including 3 markets in this same match event for $31k total
  • The $1,970 buy is nearly half of this market's $4.3k daily volume, showing real conviction in a thin market

$1,970 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x66fb...9f72 Nigma Galaxy, $20,964 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x70c1...dba0 MOUZ, $13,464 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x9eca...5a59 MOUZ, $9,503 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x3dd1...2812 MOUZ, $8,000
  5. 0x6049...f14f Nigma Galaxy, $6,964
  6. 0x4569...e624 Nigma Galaxy, $6,124
  7. 0xf7f0...912c Nigma Galaxy, $5,475 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x175b...b14c Nigma Galaxy, $5,335
  9. 0xf68a...5b1b MOUZ, $4,774 (51% win rate)
  10. 0xcd36...0f01 Nigma Galaxy, $4,744

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

2h$17,259 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
MOUZ
0¢
Nigma Galaxy
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between MOUZ and Nigma Galaxy in the PREMIER SERIES Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 11 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$1,015 on Nigma Galaxy at 54¢

54¢100¢46¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$4,495 on Nigma Galaxy at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$4,363 on MOUZ at 46¢

46¢0¢46¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$2,462 on Nigma Galaxy at 49¢

49¢100¢51¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

1h ago

$2,954 on Nigma Galaxy at 49¢

49¢100¢51¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,970 on Nigma Galaxy at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Related Theses

MOUZ vs Nigma Galaxy Game 2 Odds | Polymarket | PolySpotter