Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between MOUZ and PlayTime in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for May 6 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against PlayTime. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,382.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp esports cluster buying underdog

Three profitable, high-volume esports wallets bought MOUZ together, including a 92% lifetime winner, but the market has since moved sharply against them.

  • A 92% lifetime winner and two other profitable bettors all bought MOUZ in the same direction.
  • These wallets have strong track records, including $519K combined profit across resolved markets.
  • The position is now far underwater after MOUZ fell from ~53¢ entry to 10¢, so this is high-risk despite the sharp backing.

$4,846 on MOUZ

92% winner buying dip

High-confidence sharp wallet with a 92% long-term win rate and strong cross-market history bought MOUZ despite the price later dipping below its entry.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $176,616 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 85 events with the same 92% hit rate.
  • They bought MOUZ at 54¢, while the market is now around 48¢, offering a cheaper entry than their fill.

$2,369 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable linked esports bettor

A profitable serial esports bettor from a linked-wallet cluster bought MOUZ, though the market has since moved sharply against their 54¢ entry.

  • This bettor has a long track record across 119 related markets and is up about $212k lifetime.
  • Five wallets share the same funder, suggesting a coordinated group has been active around this bettor.
  • They bought MOUZ at 54¢, but the market is now 38¢, making any copy entry much cheaper than theirs.

$1,167 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 62%

91% winner buying PlayTime

A highly profitable esports trader with a 91% resolved win rate bought PlayTime at 50¢ before the market moved to 62¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up over $1.0M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 58 events with a 91% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought PlayTime at 50¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢.

$2,000 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% serial sharp on underdog

A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history is backing the PlayTime underdog despite the market moving against that side.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
  • They have traded 149 markets across 58 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought PlayTime at 39¢, taking the underdog side in a liquid Dota 2 market.

$1,000 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner buying the dip

Proven high-edge esports bettor with 91% win rate is buying PlayTime after a major price drop, suggesting a contrarian value play.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
  • They have traded 148 markets across 57 events, with a strong 91% record across that activity.
  • Entry at 39¢ comes after PlayTime fell sharply, implying they see value in the underdog rebound.

$1,000 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 PlayTime, $22,534 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xd3b0...329e MOUZ, $13,941 (61% win rate)
  3. 0xd703...71bf PlayTime, $12,093
  4. 0xe84a...702d PlayTime, $5,947 (54% win rate)
  5. 0xd06c...cdaf PlayTime, $5,156 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x8725...eb10 MOUZ, $5,024 (80% win rate)
  7. 0xf3ce...a57a MOUZ, $4,419 (92% win rate)
  8. 0xb4e7...6a52 PlayTime, $4,324 (94% win rate)
  9. 0xc0f5...3d04 PlayTime, $3,389 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x9d94...017d MOUZ, $3,350

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

2h$12,382 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
MOUZ
0¢
PlayTime
100¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between MOUZ and PlayTime in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for May 6 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against PlayTime. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “PlayTime
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

58m ago

$4,846 on MOUZ at 53¢

53¢0¢53¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

1h ago

$2,369 on MOUZ at 54¢

54¢0¢54¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

1h ago

$1,167 on MOUZ at 54¢

54¢0¢54¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

58m ago

$2,000 on PlayTime at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

2h ago

$1,000 on PlayTime at 39¢

39¢100¢61¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A

2h ago

$1,000 on PlayTime at 39¢

39¢100¢61¢

Related Theses