Part of: Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,857.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying underdog

Three wallets piled into Tundra via direct buys and equivalent sells on MOUZ, including one trader with a 96% win rate, creating a notable coordinated longshot bet against a market pricing Tundra at just 10%.

  • Three wallets lined up on Tundra for $5.2k total, including sells of MOUZ that amount to the same bet.
  • One wallet wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $873k, giving this underdog position more weight.
  • The group entered around 50¢ to 12¢ equivalent while the market now prices Tundra at 10%, showing a high-conviction longshot view.

$5,221 on Tundra Esports

Repeat new wallet piling in

A very new wallet with repeated large bets joined coordinated buying in MOUZ before a sharp 32-point price jump, suggesting strong short-term conviction despite the small single-ticket size.

  • This 3-day-old wallet has already made 12 flagged large bets totaling $16.4k
  • Three wallets all bought MOUZ in the same window, and the price jumped from 79¢ to 96¢
  • This buy got in at 79¢ before the move, implying a fast mark-to-market gain

$1,491 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 92%

3-wallet MOUZ surge

Three wallets piled into MOUZ during a heavy pre-match volume surge, including one proven high-volume winner, making this a notable directional esports signal despite mixed two-way flow.

  • Three wallets bought MOUZ for $4.1k in a coordinated burst as market volume jumped 39x above normal.
  • One wallet has 382 resolved bets and is up $137k, giving this cluster at least one bettor with a real track record.
  • Two buys hit at 56-57¢ and the market is now 66¢, showing the move already went their way.

$4,053 on MOUZ

94% win-rate bettor on Tundra

A very sharp, high-volume sports/esports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Tundra alongside 4 other wallets before the market moved hard in their favor.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up about $2.06M lifetime across 222 settled positions.
  • Five wallets all bought Tundra in the same window for $9.2k total, which is strong one-sided flow.
  • They entered at 56¢ and Tundra is now 34¢, showing a big move after their buy.

$1,663 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 94%

91% win-rate esports sharp

A proven sharp esports bettor with a 91% win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided buy cluster into Tundra before a volume spike, making this a strong trade to study despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $92.8k across 365 resolved positions
  • Five wallets all bought Tundra Esports in the same window, totaling about $9.2k of one-sided flow
  • They entered Tundra at 55¢ before a 39x volume spike, which implies they saw a big mismatch versus the market

$1,766 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 94%

96% win-rate esports bettor

A very high-win-rate bettor joined a 5-wallet one-sided move into Tundra before a sharp price drop, suggesting this is a notable esports trade to study despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up $873k lifetime
  • 5 wallets piled into Tundra together for $9.2k total, pointing to shared conviction
  • They bought Tundra at 50¢ and the market has since moved to 34¢, showing this entry was much earlier than the current price

$985 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp 3-wallet Tundra cluster

Three wallets piled into Tundra together, including two exceptional bettors with 91% and 94% win rates, making this coordinated esports flow worth following despite the market moving against their entries.

  • Two of the wallets have elite track records: 94% wins with $2.06M profit and 91% wins with $92.8k profit
  • Three wallets bought Tundra in the same burst for $5.7k total, a strong sign of shared conviction
  • They entered around 55-66¢ while Tundra now sits at 48¢, giving a cheaper follow price than the original buys

$5,699 on Tundra Esports

96% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate made a meaningful buy into a thin esports market, suggesting a trade worth watching despite the moderate total size.

  • This bettor wins 24 of 25 resolved trades and is up about $874k lifetime
  • They bought Tundra at 68¢ in a market with only about $4.9k of 24-hour volume
  • The bet is about 40% of recent volume, showing real conviction rather than routine flow

$1,981 on Tundra Esports | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 10237853, $38,217 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 10237853, $7,455 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xf3ce...a57a Outcome 10237853, $3,211 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x69bf...0c5d Outcome 10237853, $1,999 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x30db...07c3 Outcome 10237853, $1,470 (96% win rate)
  6. 0xda91...30af Outcome 10237853, $500
  7. 0x6239...1d79 Outcome 10237853, $497 (62% win rate)
  8. 0x831f...9476 Outcome 10237853, $431
  9. 0x6e63...9e38 Outcome 10237853, $430
  10. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 10237853, $391

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$22,857 tracked8 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between MOUZ and Tundra Esports in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Tundra Esports. This market will resolve to "Tundra Esports" if Tundra Esports win Game 1 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$5,221 on Tundra Esports at 37¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,491 on MOUZ at 79¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$4,053 on MOUZ at 64¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,663 on Tundra Esports at 56¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,766 on Tundra Esports at 55¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$985 on Tundra Esports at 50¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$5,699 on Tundra Esports at 60¢

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

45d ago

$1,981 on Tundra Esports at 68¢

Related Theses