Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

This Polymarket market covers the Game 1 winner between Natus Vincere and BetBoom Team in DreamLeague Group B. It resolves to the team that wins the first Dota 2 game, with resolution scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 21:00 UTC; PolySpotter is tracking $9,100 in smart money activity and 2 signals on this market.

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Natus Vincere and BetBoom Team in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,782.

Categories: Games, Sports, Esports, Dota 2

Notable Trades

93% winner buys underdog

Elite 93% lifetime winner bought BetBoom at 49¢ in a Dota market despite the price later moving sharply against them.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $664k lifetime.
  • They are a serial esports cross-market trader with 33 events tracked and a 93% hit rate.
  • Entry at 49¢ suggests they saw BetBoom as close to a coin flip before the market moved to 18¢.

$1,000 on BetBoom Team | Wallet win rate: 93%

88% serial esports winner

Proven esports/cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate bought Natus Vincere at 54% before the market moved sharply to 68%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $47,926 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 37 events, 51 markets, and $111,130 traded.
  • Bought Natus Vincere at 54¢ before the price moved to 68¢, suggesting strong early edge.

$1,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 88%

89% winner caught move

Sharp esports cross-market bettor with an 89% historical win rate bought Natus Vincere at 54%, well before the market moved to 68%.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $94,125 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 44 events, 66 markets, and $164,779 traded.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 54%, and the market has already moved to 68%.

$1,500 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp esports cluster

Surface: four wallets bought BetBoom, including two highly profitable sharp bettors with 89% and 93% historical win rates, despite the market later moving sharply against their entries.

  • Two proven bettors are in this cluster, including one who wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $663k lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $8.6k total, creating a strong one-sided BetBoom signal.
  • The market has moved against them from 49–64¢ entries to 32¢, so this is now available far cheaper than the sharp buyers paid.

$8,600 on BetBoom Team

89% winner buying underdog

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 89% win rate and $94k profit bought Natus Vincere despite the market now drifting slightly against them.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $94,125 lifetime.
  • They are a proven cross-market trader, active across 44 events with the same 89% hit rate.
  • Entry at 45¢ backs Natus Vincere as an underdog, with pre-match volume spiking 15x.

$1,100 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp trio on NAVI

Three wallets bought Natus Vincere together, including two highly profitable esports-style sharps with 89–90% win rates and strong cross-market records.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win about 90% of their resolved trades, including one up $1.1M lifetime.
  • All three wallets bought Natus Vincere, and the market has already moved from as low as 33¢ to 52¢.
  • These are experienced cross-market traders, with one wallet active across 96 events and maintaining a 90% win record.

$3,952 on Natus Vincere

95% winner on BetBoom

Elite 95% win-rate sports/esports wallet bought BetBoom at 64¢ ahead of a volume spike, and the market has already moved to 75¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.0M staked across 215 markets.
  • Bought BetBoom at 64¢ before the market moved to 75¢, suggesting early sharp positioning.

$1,000 on BetBoom Team | Wallet win rate: 95%

93% winner buying underdog

A highly proven esports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate bought Natus Vincere at 38¢ despite the market moving against them, with supporting cross-market and cluster signals.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $253,852 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 117 events with the same 93% hit rate.
  • A linked-wallet cluster and a huge pre-event volume spike suggest broader conviction around this match.

$1,032 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%

95% winner loading favorite

Elite esports bettor with 95% win rate and $1.8M profit bought nearly $9k of BetBoom before the price jumped from ~64¢ to 78¢.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They bought $8,965 of BetBoom around 64¢ before the market moved to 78¢.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 89 events with a 95% hit rate.

$8,965 on BetBoom Team | Wallet win rate: 95%

98% win-rate esports sharp

Elite 98% win-rate esports trader bought Natus Vincere despite the market moving against them, with strong cross-market history and a large share of recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $3.85M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 351 events and nearly $3.93M deployed at a 98% hit rate.
  • The $2.1K buy was 82% of recent volume, showing conviction in a relatively quiet market.

$2,133 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x507e...beae Natus Vincere, $30,880 (50% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 BetBoom Team, $29,195 (95% win rate)
  3. 0x2146...d41b BetBoom Team, $13,891 (42% win rate)
  4. 0x9eca...5a59 Natus Vincere, $9,900 (90% win rate)
  5. 0xd06c...cdaf BetBoom Team, $9,621 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x3833...33d1 Natus Vincere, $7,000 (98% win rate)
  7. 0x0e1b...ecaf Natus Vincere, $6,975 (50% win rate)
  8. 0x87da...53d1 Natus Vincere, $6,842 (70% win rate)
  9. 0x3471...f17e BetBoom Team, $5,358 (49% win rate)
  10. 0x2d39...6053 BetBoom Team, $5,224 (48% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

17mDota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$32,782 tracked11 signalsGamesSportsEsportsDota 2
Natus Vincere
82¢
BetBoom Team
19¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Natus Vincere and BetBoom Team in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
101¢
66¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,000 on BetBoom Team at 49¢

49¢19¢30¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,500 on Natus Vincere at 54¢

54¢82¢28¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,500 on Natus Vincere at 54¢

54¢82¢28¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$8,600 on BetBoom Team at 49¢

49¢19¢30¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$1,100 on Natus Vincere at 45¢

45¢82¢37¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

2h ago

$3,952 on Natus Vincere at 41¢

41¢82¢41¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,000 on BetBoom Team at 64¢

64¢19¢45¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,032 on Natus Vincere at 38¢

38¢82¢44¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$8,965 on BetBoom Team at 64¢

64¢19¢45¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$2,133 on Natus Vincere at 35¢

35¢82¢47¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$2,000 on BetBoom Team at 70¢

70¢19¢51¢

Related Theses