Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $83,107.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite bettors buying underdog

Three highly profitable wallets, including elite serial cross-market traders, clustered into MOUZ despite the market favoring Natus Vincere.

  • Three profitable bettors are all backing MOUZ, including wallets up $6.0M, $4.2M, and $912K lifetime.
  • The strongest wallet has won 98% of 377 resolved bets and added $5,000 on MOUZ around 25¢.
  • This is coordinated underdog buying during a 31x volume spike, with $12.9K all pointing toward MOUZ.

$12,925 on MOUZ

95% winner buying NAVI

Sharp esports bettor with a 95% record bought Natus Vincere during a volume spike and rapid upward price move.

  • This bettor has won 95% of resolved trades and is up $61.8K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 27 events with the same 95% win rate.
  • Natus Vincere saw a 45x volume spike and a fast 21-point upward move around this bet.

$1,433 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 95%

77% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 77% win rate bought Natus Vincere amid a sharp pre-match volume spike and rapid price move.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $263,747 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 141 events with the same 77% win rate.
  • Natus Vincere jumped 21 points in just over 2 minutes alongside a 45x volume spike.

$1,277 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 78%

Fresh wallet drives favorite

Brand-new wallet immediately put $5.1k on Natus Vincere and helped drive a 22-point upward move, suggesting fresh conviction despite no track record.

  • A 12-minute-old wallet opened with a $5.1k bet on Natus Vincere.
  • The trade helped push Natus Vincere up about 22 points, with odds now 77%.
  • Entry at 72¢ suggests they saw value even after a strong same-day move.

$5,139 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 100%

84% winner buying momentum

Sharp esports bettor with an 84% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Natus Vincere at 50¢ amid a rapid upward price move.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $46,885 lifetime.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 50¢ as the price jumped 21 points in just over 2 minutes.
  • Entry at 50¢ implies they see meaningful upside in a near coin-flip market.

$1,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 84%

86% serial sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and very large lifetime profit bought MOUZ before the price moved from 59¢ to 66¢.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $902K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 25 events with $570K in tracked volume.
  • They bought MOUZ at 59¢, and the market has already moved to 66¢ in their direction.

$1,581 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial trader buying dip

Serial cross-market bettor with a 68% resolved win rate bought Natus Vincere during a sharp volume spike and the entry has already moved from 40¢ to 46¢.

  • This bettor has traded 27 related events and wins 68% of resolved bets.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 40¢, and the market has already moved up to 46¢.
  • Volume spiked 34.8x versus normal activity, suggesting fresh attention before the match resolves.

$1,376 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 71%

81% winner buying NaVi

Sharp, highly profitable esports bettor with an 81% win rate and $4.2M lifetime profit bought $8.4K of Natus Vincere despite the market moving against them.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.2M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.6M tracked across 399 events.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 56¢, while the market is now around 46¢, offering a cheaper entry than their fill.

$8,400 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 81%

98% winner backs underdog

Elite 98% winning wallet with $6.0M lifetime profit is buying MOUZ at 41¢ despite market pricing them as the underdog.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.0M lifetime.
  • They have traded 507 markets across 243 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 41¢ backs the underdog and implies they see MOUZ as meaningfully mispriced.

$1,000 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 98%

87% winner joins NAVI cluster

Surface: a highly profitable 87% win-rate bettor joined a 3-wallet same-side buy cluster on Natus Vincere amid a 42x pre-event volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades is buying here and is up $137,901 lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought Natus Vincere in the same direction for $4,738 total.
  • Pre-match volume is 42x above normal, suggesting fresh attention behind this move.

$9,163 on Natus Vincere

Top Holders

  1. 0x6d20...a165 Outcome 61999666, $147,697 (85% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 61999666, $94,510 (98% win rate)
  3. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 61999666, $16,578 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x89dd...f662 Outcome 61999666, $7,616 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x67b6...00bc Outcome 61999666, $6,000 (45% win rate)
  6. 0x183f...85e3 Outcome 61999666, $5,400 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x7645...3117 Outcome 61999666, $4,278 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x6b97...8d30 Outcome 61999666, $3,590 (82% win rate)
  9. 0x21b7...c861 Outcome 61999666, $3,500 (39% win rate)
  10. 0xb49e...98a8 Outcome 61999666, $3,000

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 2 match between Natus Vincere and MOUZ in the The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 26 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
100¢
79¢
57¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$12,925 on MOUZ at 24¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$1,433 on Natus Vincere at 80¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$1,277 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$5,139 on Natus Vincere at 72¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$1,000 on Natus Vincere at 50¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$1,581 on MOUZ at 59¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$1,376 on Natus Vincere at 40¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$8,400 on Natus Vincere at 56¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$1,000 on MOUZ at 41¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$9,163 on Natus Vincere at 57¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$11,000 on MOUZ at 44¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$12,000 on MOUZ at 44¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$11,000 on MOUZ at 44¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5d ago

$2,000 on MOUZ at 41¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

6d ago

$3,813 on Natus Vincere at 61¢

Related Theses