Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

This Polymarket tracks the Dota 2 DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs best-of-three between Natus Vincere and Nigma Galaxy. Traders are pricing the odds of which team will win the upper bracket round 1 matchup, originally scheduled for April 12. The market resolves to the winning team, or may void if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed by more than 7 days.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Nigma Galaxy in the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 12 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,023.

Categories: Sports, Esports, Dota 2, Games

Notable Trades

85% win-rate esports sharp

A highly profitable sports/esports bettor with an 85% win rate and broad cross-market success just bought Natus Vincere at 51¢ in a moderately thin match market.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $380k across 583 bets
  • They trade successfully across 47 markets in 44 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • Bought Natus Vincere at 51¢ in a sub-$10k 24h volume market, showing real conviction at near-even odds

$1,023 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8681...ef99 Natus Vincere, $7,969 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x8e8c...65dd Natus Vincere, $2,305 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x4dde...cff5 Nigma Galaxy, $2,000
  4. 0x3f12...3e35 Nigma Galaxy, $1,142 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xef21...3dc9 Nigma Galaxy, $1,119 (96% win rate)
  6. 0xb110...21ea Nigma Galaxy, $985 (91% win rate)
  7. 0xb2fe...7558 Nigma Galaxy, $863 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x1ab6...078e Nigma Galaxy, $744 (85% win rate)
  9. 0xcec1...9c0c Nigma Galaxy, $594 (50% win rate)
  10. 0xb40e...7787 Nigma Galaxy, $552 (45% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8h$1,023 tracked1 signalSportsEsportsDota 2Games
Natus Vincere
51¢
Nigma Galaxy
50¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 1 match between Natus Vincere and Nigma Galaxy in the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 12 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Natus Vincere
52¢
38¢
25¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

2h ago

$1,023 on Natus Vincere at 51¢

51¢51¢

Related Theses

Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy Odds | Polymarket | PolySpotter