Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket market predicts the winner of Game 2 between Natus Vincere and PlayTime in the Dota 2 DreamLeague Playoffs Lower Bracket Round 1. It resolves on May 21, 2026, based on the official Game 2 winner, with $14,528 in smart money tracked across 5 signals and recent sharp-wallet activity favoring PlayTime.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Natus Vincere and PlayTime in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 21 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against PlayTime. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $125,873.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large sample is fading the 89¢ favorite, effectively backing Natus Vincere at 11¢.
- This bettor wins 62% of resolved trades across 665 bets and is up $24,920 lifetime.
- They have traded across 34 events with $80,551 in tracked cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable strategy.
- Selling PlayTime at 89¢ is effectively backing Natus Vincere at 11¢ as a long-shot upset.
$1,385 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 62%
92% winner caught move early
Elite 92% win-rate esports bettor bought PlayTime before a major price move, with supporting one-sided flow and serial cross-market success.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $210K lifetime.
- They bought PlayTime at 55¢ before it jumped to 80¢, showing strong timing.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $9.5K, reinforcing the PlayTime move.
$1,500 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 92%
93% winner caught 36¢ move
Elite 93% win-rate esports bettor bought PlayTime at 36¢ alongside one-sided flow, and the market has since surged to 80¢.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $2.86M lifetime.
- They bought PlayTime at 36¢ before the price surged to 80¢.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $9.5K, reinforcing the move.
$3,488 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 93%
92% winner contrarian cluster
Surfaced because a 92% win-rate, +$210K wallet joined a Natus Vincere cluster, though larger opposing flow and a sharp move against them make it high risk.
- The lead bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $210K lifetime.
- Four wallets put $5.9K behind Natus Vincere, including three buys around 61–68¢.
- The market has since moved against them to 20¢ after heavier PlayTime buying, making this a risky contrarian follow.
$5,928 on Natus Vincere
91% winner joins PlayTime flow
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with a 91% resolved win rate bought PlayTime, alongside one-sided wallet flow and a major price move.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades across 1,658 bets and is up $30.1K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $9.5K total, pointing to coordinated conviction on PlayTime.
- PlayTime had already surged about 53%, and this sharp bettor still entered at 85¢.
$2,228 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp wallets pile into PlayTime
Multiple highly profitable serial esports bettors and an 8-wallet cluster bought $44.5K of PlayTime before a major price move from roughly 43% to 80%.
- Several proven bettors joined this side, including wallets winning 92%–96% of resolved trades with seven-figure profits.
- 8 wallets bought $44.5K of PlayTime, and the market moved from about 43¢ to 80¢ after the flow.
- This came with a 40x volume spike, suggesting a coordinated rush into the same Game 2 outcome.
$44,528 on PlayTime
94% winner backed by cluster
A highly profitable 94% winner with a huge sample bought Natus Vincere, backed by one-sided cluster flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $458k lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought the same side, totaling about $25.9k on Natus Vincere.
- The entry was 60¢, but the market has since fallen to about 20¢, so this is a high-risk live position.
$7,480 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial bettor joins wave
A profitable serial cross-market bettor joined a 9-wallet Natus Vincere buy wave during a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor is up $450K lifetime across more than 2,000 resolved trades.
- 9 wallets bought Natus Vincere the same way, totaling nearly $26K.
- Market volume spiked 40x, but the price has since fallen from their 58¢ entry to around 20¢.
$5,899 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 61%
94% winner leads cluster
High-conviction esports flow led by a 94% winner up $458k, with six wallets buying Natus Vincere despite opposing flow on the same market.
- A standout bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $457,975 lifetime.
- Six wallets bought $21,339 of Natus Vincere, including two linked wallets sharing the same funder.
- This is part of heavy event-wide positioning, with serial cross-market traders active across multiple related markets.
$21,339 on Natus Vincere
92% win-rate esports sharp
Highly profitable 92% win-rate esports bettor bought PlayTime alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $207K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 79 events with the same 92% hit rate.
- Five wallets bought PlayTime in the same window, totaling $36K on one side.
$1,500 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x37e4...c991 — Natus Vincere, $91,231 (75% win rate)
- 0xcd36...0f01 — PlayTime, $60,047
- 0x3413...8ff2 — Natus Vincere, $50,000 (75% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — PlayTime, $49,077 (96% win rate)
- 0x5922...3388 — PlayTime, $24,707 (68% win rate)
- 0x2307...3934 — PlayTime, $20,680 (55% win rate)
- 0x4884...1310 — Natus Vincere, $20,000
- 0x2146...d41b — PlayTime, $14,936 (50% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — Natus Vincere, $12,364 (94% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Natus Vincere, $10,250 (61% win rate)
