Part of: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,483.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

99% win-rate serial trader backs OG

A highly profitable serial trader with a 99% win rate and $9.1M P&L made a fresh $1,000 bet on OG despite the market moving slightly against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 594 of 603 resolved positions and earned over $9.1M in P&L.
  • The wallet has traded across 386 events and 807 markets, showing an unusually consistent cross-market record.
  • OG was bought at 39¢ while currently priced near 36¢, offering a potential value entry if the trader's edge holds.

$1,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 98%

91% winner backs Nigma Galaxy

A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2.8K bet on Nigma Galaxy despite the market later moving against it.

  • This bettor has won 299 of 330 trades for $936,568 in profit, with average win prices near 72%.
  • They placed a fresh $2,844 bet on Nigma Galaxy at 73% after trading across 179 markets and 119 events.
  • The market has since fallen to 64%, making the bettor's conviction especially notable but increasing copy risk.

$2,844 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 88%

Coordinated Nigma Galaxy buying cluster

Four wallets collectively added $10.4K to Nigma Galaxy, including a proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge, amid an extreme volume spike.

  • Four wallets put $10,432 behind Nigma Galaxy, including several traders adding to existing positions.
  • One bettor wins 79% of 157 resolved bets and has earned $178,344, while buying at an average 53% price.
  • Trading surged to more than 1,100 times the recent average, providing strong confirmation of the coordinated move.

$14,966 on Nigma Galaxy

95% win-rate bettor buys OG

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate made a concentrated $2,363 purchase of OG amid a major pre-event volume spike and linked-wallet activity.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 849 resolved positions and earned $1.37M in profit.
  • The $2,363 OG purchase represents 57.5% of reported 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a relatively active esports market.
  • A 1,136x pre-event volume spike and a linked wallet provide additional support for the OG position.

$2,363 on OG | Wallet win rate: 96%

Serial sharp scaling into Nigma

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate is adding to an existing Nigma Galaxy position at 50 cents.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 157 resolved trades and is up $178,268 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,310 to an existing Nigma Galaxy position at 50¢, signaling increased conviction.
  • The trader has participated across 52 events and 67 markets, making this more than a one-off bet.

$1,310 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 40315220, $86,974 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 40315220, $10,022 (93% win rate)
  3. 0xe59f...0d08 Outcome 40315220, $9,048 (68% win rate)
  4. 0xf3ce...a57a Outcome 40315220, $8,312 (96% win rate)
  5. 0xf3ef...ca6b Outcome 40315220, $4,999 (62% win rate)
  6. 0xb6b8...149b Outcome 40315220, $3,270 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x5a05...12a2 Outcome 40315220, $3,263 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x818b...c5eb Outcome 40315220, $2,957 (72% win rate)
  9. 0xeb69...cfd1 Outcome 40315220, $2,279 (86% win rate)
  10. 0x1f2d...2b35 Outcome 40315220, $2,000 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage$22,483 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and OG in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against OG. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Nigma Galaxy
85¢
84¢
82¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$1,000 on OG at 39¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$2,844 on Nigma Galaxy at 73¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$14,966 on Nigma Galaxy at 55¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$2,363 on OG at 46¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winner

10d ago

$1,310 on Nigma Galaxy at 50¢

Related Theses