Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $367,192.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

28-wallet Falcons buying cluster

A $149K one-sided Team Falcons flow, including multiple highly profitable bettors and a massive volume spike, is a strong directional signal despite some opposing Nigma positioning.

  • 28 wallets committed nearly $149,000 to Team Falcons, with entries around 63–66%.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 92% across 320 bets and 79% across 1,035 bets.
  • Trading volume surged to over 1,200 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated pre-event conviction.

$148,956 on Team Falcons

94% winner scaling into Nigma

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate added $51.4K to Nigma Galaxy at 35¢ amid coordinated buying by 10 wallets, including linked accounts.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 257 resolved positions and is up $8.5 million lifetime.
  • The wallet added $51,409 at 35¢ despite already holding a $230,913 Nigma Galaxy position, signaling increased conviction.
  • Ten wallets bought Nigma Galaxy for $76,985 in total, with two linked by a common funder, while market volume spiked dramatically.

$51,409 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial trader backs Nigma

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 65% win rate and $1.55M profit bought Nigma Galaxy amid an extreme event-volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 711 resolved trades and is up $1.55M lifetime.
  • They bought Nigma Galaxy at 37¢ despite the market now pricing it at 34%, adding a contrarian angle.
  • Trading volume was 144 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated pre-event interest.

$1,472 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 65%

Sharp bettors buying Nigma dip

A large, coordinated Nigma Galaxy position is backed by several highly profitable bettors despite strong opposing Falcons flow and a sharp recent price decline.

  • 17 wallets committed $86,814 to Nigma Galaxy, including bettors with 84%, 92%, and 97% historical win rates.
  • Several Falcons sells convert into equivalent Nigma buys around 34¢, indicating substantial conviction in a rebound from the current 20¢ price.
  • A 410x pre-event volume spike makes this a major, high-risk contrarian signal, though opposing Falcons buying means the thesis is not unanimous.

$86,814 on Nigma Galaxy

Profitable serial bettor backs Falcons

A profitable serial cross-market trader is adding $5,000 to an existing Team Falcons position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 240 resolved trades and is up $286,809 overall.
  • They added $5,000 to an existing Team Falcons position at 63¢, showing increased conviction as the price reached 66¢.
  • The market saw a 144x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong pre-match interest.

$5,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial trader backs Nigma

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader with a 65% win rate and $1.55M profit bought Nigma Galaxy amid an extreme event-volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 65% of 711 resolved trades and is up $1.55M lifetime.
  • They bought Nigma Galaxy at 37¢ despite the market now pricing it at 34%, adding a contrarian angle.
  • Trading volume was 144 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated pre-event interest.

$1,540 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 65%

98% win-rate esports bettor backs Falcons

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and 664 resolved positions is making a fresh $6,000 buy on Team Falcons at 62%.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 664 resolved positions and earned over $11.1 million in profit.
  • The wallet is making a fresh $6,000 directional bet on Team Falcons at 62%.
  • With 419 cross-market events traded, this is part of a large, established betting operation rather than a one-off wager.

$12,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% bettor backs Team Falcons

An exceptionally proven bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial historical edge made a fresh, concentrated $24,000 Team Falcons position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 664 resolved positions and is up $11.1 million.
  • They committed $24,000 to Team Falcons, including a $5,000 entry at 39% before the price rose to 62%.
  • The market saw a 323x volume spike versus its 24-hour average, reinforcing the significance of the trade.

$24,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner backs Team Falcons

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate and $11.1M lifetime P&L made a concentrated $30,000 Team Falcons position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 654 of 664 resolved positions and is up $11.1 million lifetime.
  • They concentrated $30,000 on Team Falcons, including $12,000 at 62%, while market volume surged 517x its historical average.
  • The latest market price is 62%, matching the bettor’s main entries and confirming strong directional conviction.

$30,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate esports bettor backs Falcons

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and 664 resolved positions is making a fresh $6,000 buy on Team Falcons at 62%.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 664 resolved positions and earned over $11.1 million in profit.
  • The wallet is making a fresh $6,000 directional bet on Team Falcons at 62%.
  • With 419 cross-market events traded, this is part of a large, established betting operation rather than a one-off wager.

$6,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 10540118, $230,913 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 10540118, $146,108 (60% win rate)
  3. 0x6ac5...4b6e Outcome 10540118, $48,945 (45% win rate)
  4. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 10540118, $29,302 (65% win rate)
  5. 0x66b1...6b9d Outcome 10540118, $24,912 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x2929...1dd0 Outcome 10540118, $19,689 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 10540118, $19,287 (90% win rate)
  8. 0x4ebc...a33d Outcome 10540118, $18,898 (62% win rate)
  9. 0xde24...4ded Outcome 10540118, $17,487 (70% win rate)
  10. 0x0587...c40b Outcome 10540118, $14,129 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Resolved$367,192 tracked10 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Falcons
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$148,956 on Team Falcons at 66¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$51,409 on Nigma Galaxy at 35¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$1,472 on Nigma Galaxy at 37¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$86,814 on Nigma Galaxy at 35¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$5,000 on Team Falcons at 63¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$1,540 on Nigma Galaxy at 37¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$12,000 on Team Falcons at 62¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$24,000 on Team Falcons at 57¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$30,000 on Team Falcons at 62¢

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$6,000 on Team Falcons at 62¢

Related Theses