Part of: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
This Polymarket prediction market covers the DreamLeague Group B Dota 2 best-of-three match between Nigma Galaxy and Xtreme Gaming, scheduled for May 15 at 9:30AM ET and resolving once a winner is determined. Smart money tracking shows $5,000 across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable serial bettor backing the favorite.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 15 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,789.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp Dota cluster
Three wallets bought Nigma at 50¢ before a fast move to 73¢, led by a highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate and strong cross-market history.
- A bettor who wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $80K helped lead this move.
- Three wallets bought the same side at 50¢, and the price jumped to 73% within minutes.
- One wallet has traded across 44 events with an 88% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
$4,391 on Nigma Galaxy
Perfect-record esports bettor
Sharp esports wallet with a perfect 29/29 resolved record and strong profits bought Xtreme Gaming at 50¢ despite the market drifting to 46¢.
- This bettor has won 29 of 29 resolved trades and is up $178K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 30 events, with a perfect record on tracked bets.
- Entry at 50¢ implies they saw Xtreme Gaming as mispriced, and the current market is slightly cheaper at 46¢.
$1,191 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
95% winner cross-market
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 95% historical win rate is building a $31k cross-market position on this event and bought Xtreme Gaming at 47¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up about $1.9M lifetime.
- They have placed $31k across 3 related markets for this event, suggesting a clear match thesis.
- Entry at 47¢ is near even money, while their past winners average 56¢.
$6,000 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 95%
Perfect-record esports bettor
Sharp esports wallet with a perfect 29-for-29 resolved record bought Xtreme Gaming despite the market moving against the entry afterward.
- This bettor has won 29 of 29 resolved bets and is up $178K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 29 events with a perfect tracked record.
- They bought Xtreme Gaming at 56¢, implying strong conviction versus the current 46¢ market price.
$2,023 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
90% winner backs favorite
Sharp bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $5,000 of Xtreme Gaming, a large share of recent volume.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $18.8K lifetime.
- They put $5,000 on Xtreme Gaming, equal to about 62% of the market’s recent daily volume.
- Entry at 73¢ suggests a confident favorite bet from a wallet with a strong track record.
$5,000 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a 70% win rate and $70.8k lifetime profit is backing Xtreme Gaming in a relatively small Dota market.
- This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $70,754 lifetime.
- They have placed $146k across 31 similar event markets, suggesting a repeatable strategy.
- This $2.2k buy is about 27% of the market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful conviction.
$2,185 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 70%
Top Holders
- 0x3936...366d — Xtreme Gaming, $33,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Xtreme Gaming, $22,260 (95% win rate)
- 0x5922...3388 — Nigma Galaxy, $15,671 (68% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Nigma Galaxy, $10,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x2765...7ee4 — Nigma Galaxy, $9,683 (59% win rate)
- 0x3471...f17e — Nigma Galaxy, $7,025 (50% win rate)
- 0x31b9...150b — Xtreme Gaming, $6,811 (90% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — Nigma Galaxy, $6,775 (49% win rate)
- 0xe2b7...500f — Xtreme Gaming, $5,802 (100% win rate)
- 0x2d39...6053 — Nigma Galaxy, $5,390 (48% win rate)
