Part of: Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,439.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
78% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp wallet override: a profitable 78% lifetime winner with extensive cross-market history bought OG despite only a modest single-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 78% across 2,171 resolved trades and is up $104,881 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $159,899 tracked across 59 events.
- They bought OG at 87¢, slightly above the current 84¢ market price, signaling confidence in the favorite.
$1,747 on OG | Wallet win rate: 78%
Serial cross-market winner
Surfaced because a highly experienced wallet with a 75% win rate across 5,206 resolved bets is buying OG, supported by a serial cross-market trading pattern.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets across 5,206 markets and is up about $8.6k lifetime.
- They have traded across 27 related events with a 75% win rate, suggesting a repeatable esports/sports edge.
- The buy is on the heavy favorite at 87¢, so the copy setup is lower-upside but backed by a strong track record.
$3,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 75%
Serial cross-market winner
Surfaced because a highly experienced wallet with a 75% win rate across 5,206 resolved bets is buying OG, supported by a serial cross-market trading pattern.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets across 5,206 markets and is up about $8.6k lifetime.
- They have traded across 27 related events with a 75% win rate, suggesting a repeatable esports/sports edge.
- The buy is on the heavy favorite at 87¢, so the copy setup is lower-upside but backed by a strong track record.
$2,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable cluster buying together
Five wallets bought Grind Back together, including two profitable high-volume bettors, while the price jumped 25 points from its prior range.
- Five wallets bought $8.8K of Grind Back within about one minute at 54¢.
- The flow includes a bettor up $1.27M lifetime and another who wins 71% of resolved bets with $113K profit.
- Grind Back moved from a prior 29¢ range to 54¢, suggesting coordinated money is driving a major repricing.
$8,844 on Grind Back
87% esports bettor
Esports bettor has an 87% resolved hit rate with a large edge versus average odds, though lifetime P&L is negative and the stake is modest.
- This bettor has won 20 of 23 resolved positions, a strong 87% hit rate.
- Their wins came at average odds near 54%, suggesting they have beaten the market by a wide margin.
- They bought OG at 52¢ in a liquid Dota market, and the price is now slightly cheaper around 50¢.
$1,100 on OG | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp esports whale
Sharp esports bettor with an 81% win rate and $560k lifetime profit bought $13.3k of OG at 53¢, backed by a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $560k lifetime.
- They have traded 98 related events with an 81% win rate, suggesting a strong esports edge.
- The $13.3k OG buy is a meaningful position at 53¢ in a market priced close to a coin flip.
$13,322 on OG | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp underdog esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with an 81% long-run win rate and $584k profit bought the underdog Grind Back at 29¢, with the price already moving to 32¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $584k lifetime.
- They have traded across 208 events with the same 81% hit rate, suggesting a real edge in event markets.
- They bought Grind Back at 29¢ and the market has already moved to 32¢.
$2,425 on Grind Back | Wallet win rate: 81%
98% winner buying OG
Elite 98% win-rate bettor with over $6M profit bought $5k of OG in a thin esports market despite the price later drifting lower.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.0M lifetime.
- They have a huge repeat pattern across esports and other events: 477 markets and nearly $12.0M traded.
- The $5k OG buy was large for this market, equal to 63% of its 24h volume.
$5,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 98%
Top Holders
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 16184998, $21,300 (94% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — Outcome 16184998, $13,518 (81% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — Outcome 16184998, $6,572 (51% win rate)
- 0x52f9...1fb2 — Outcome 16184998, $6,167 (97% win rate)
- 0x8a80...11c5 — Outcome 16184998, $4,622 (89% win rate)
- 0xddb6...b9b3 — Outcome 16184998, $4,149 (87% win rate)
- 0xd055...28d0 — Outcome 16184998, $3,549 (71% win rate)
- 0xd4a4...a73e — Outcome 16184998, $3,454 (39% win rate)
- 0x180c...cd04 — Outcome 16184998, $2,140 (56% win rate)
- 0xb2d8...f6b6 — Outcome 16184998, $2,131
