Part of: Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between OG and HULIGANI in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against HULIGANI. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against OG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $259,747.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Whale caught a major OG repricing
A $112,000 OG purchase at 56% preceded a 31-point repricing to 92% amid a 499x historical volume spike, though the wallet itself lacks a profitable track record.
- A $112,000 OG bet at 56¢ was followed by the market rising to 92¢.
- Trading volume surged to 499 times its historical average, and this purchase drove a 31-point price move.
- The wallet has a 59% win rate but is down $1.4 million overall, so the move is more useful to study than blindly follow.
$112,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial trader fades OG
A highly profitable serial trader sold OG amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trade may partly reflect closing an existing position rather than fresh conviction on HULIGANI.
- This trader is up $1.39 million across 666 resolved bets with a 65% win rate.
- The trade coincided with a 3,426x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity before the match.
- The OG sale is equivalent to buying HULIGANI around 45¢, but the prior OG position indicates possible profit-taking.
$3,921 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial trader fades OG
A highly profitable serial trader sold OG amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trade may partly reflect closing an existing position rather than fresh conviction on HULIGANI.
- This trader is up $1.39 million across 666 resolved bets with a 65% win rate.
- The trade coincided with a 3,426x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity before the match.
- The OG sale is equivalent to buying HULIGANI around 45¢, but the prior OG position indicates possible profit-taking.
$1,406 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 65%
Five-wallet OG surge led by sharp bettor
Five wallets deployed $135,270 on OG amid a 3,425x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and strong historical edge.
- Five wallets bought OG for $135,270 around 56¢, pushing the market to 60¢.
- One participating bettor wins 94% of trades, is up $638,190, and has beaten implied odds by roughly 36 percentage points.
- The buying arrived during a 3,425x historical volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated conviction before the match.
$139,550 on OG
Million-dollar serial sharp backs OG
A highly experienced bettor with 1,763 resolved positions, a 74% win rate, and $2.3 million in profit is buying OG at 67 cents.
- This bettor wins 74% of 1,763 resolved trades and is up $2.3 million lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 61 cents, making this 67-cent OG purchase consistent with a proven edge.
- The $1,855 position is a fresh, meaningful bet in a well-traded esports market.
$1,855 on OG | Wallet win rate: 77%
Serial sharp scaling into HULIGANI
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $1,015 to an existing HULIGANI position at 35%.
- This bettor has won 84% of 102 resolved trades and is up $93,477 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,015 to an existing $2,900 HULIGANI position, signaling continued conviction.
- The 35¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the market’s roughly 34% current price.
$1,015 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x2146...d41b — HULIGANI, $29,667 (65% win rate)
- 0x97ae...82bd — HULIGANI, $5,250
- 0xc156...f76c — HULIGANI, $4,643 (70% win rate)
- 0x8992...ed1f — HULIGANI, $4,400 (85% win rate)
- 0x63bc...4179 — HULIGANI, $4,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x75e1...a8a1 — HULIGANI, $3,630 (85% win rate)
- 0xd5f6...38e8 — HULIGANI, $2,730
- 0x16ce...eba1 — HULIGANI, $2,700 (77% win rate)
- 0x52b7...0aa1 — HULIGANI, $2,500 (66% win rate)
- 0x86b1...c094 — HULIGANI, $2,310 (44% win rate)
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