Part of: Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $259,747.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Whale caught a major OG repricing
A $112,000 OG purchase at 56% preceded a 31-point repricing to 92% amid a 499x historical volume spike, though the wallet itself lacks a profitable track record.
- A $112,000 OG bet at 56¢ was followed by the market rising to 92¢.
- Trading volume surged to 499 times its historical average, and this purchase drove a 31-point price move.
- The wallet has a 59% win rate but is down $1.4 million overall, so the move is more useful to study than blindly follow.
$112,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial trader fades OG
A highly profitable serial trader sold OG amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trade may partly reflect closing an existing position rather than fresh conviction on HULIGANI.
- This trader is up $1.39 million across 666 resolved bets with a 65% win rate.
- The trade coincided with a 3,426x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity before the match.
- The OG sale is equivalent to buying HULIGANI around 45¢, but the prior OG position indicates possible profit-taking.
$3,921 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial trader fades OG
A highly profitable serial trader sold OG amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trade may partly reflect closing an existing position rather than fresh conviction on HULIGANI.
- This trader is up $1.39 million across 666 resolved bets with a 65% win rate.
- The trade coincided with a 3,426x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity before the match.
- The OG sale is equivalent to buying HULIGANI around 45¢, but the prior OG position indicates possible profit-taking.
$1,406 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 65%
Five-wallet OG surge led by sharp bettor
Five wallets deployed $135,270 on OG amid a 3,425x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and strong historical edge.
- Five wallets bought OG for $135,270 around 56¢, pushing the market to 60¢.
- One participating bettor wins 94% of trades, is up $638,190, and has beaten implied odds by roughly 36 percentage points.
- The buying arrived during a 3,425x historical volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated conviction before the match.
$139,550 on OG
Million-dollar serial sharp backs OG
A highly experienced bettor with 1,763 resolved positions, a 74% win rate, and $2.3 million in profit is buying OG at 67 cents.
- This bettor wins 74% of 1,763 resolved trades and is up $2.3 million lifetime.
- Their average winning entry is 61 cents, making this 67-cent OG purchase consistent with a proven edge.
- The $1,855 position is a fresh, meaningful bet in a well-traded esports market.
$1,855 on OG | Wallet win rate: 75%
Serial sharp scaling into HULIGANI
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $1,015 to an existing HULIGANI position at 35%.
- This bettor has won 84% of 102 resolved trades and is up $93,477 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,015 to an existing $2,900 HULIGANI position, signaling continued conviction.
- The 35¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the market’s roughly 34% current price.
$1,015 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0x2146...d41b — Outcome 71071098, $29,667 (65% win rate)
- 0x97ae...82bd — Outcome 71071098, $5,250
- 0xc156...f76c — Outcome 71071098, $4,643 (68% win rate)
- 0x8992...ed1f — Outcome 71071098, $4,400 (85% win rate)
- 0x63bc...4179 — Outcome 71071098, $4,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x75e1...a8a1 — Outcome 71071098, $3,630 (84% win rate)
- 0xd5f6...38e8 — Outcome 71071098, $2,730
- 0x16ce...eba1 — Outcome 71071098, $2,700 (77% win rate)
- 0x52b7...0aa1 — Outcome 71071098, $2,500 (66% win rate)
- 0x86b1...c094 — Outcome 71071098, $2,310 (32% win rate)
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