Part of: Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $259,747.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Whale caught a major OG repricing

A $112,000 OG purchase at 56% preceded a 31-point repricing to 92% amid a 499x historical volume spike, though the wallet itself lacks a profitable track record.

  • A $112,000 OG bet at 56¢ was followed by the market rising to 92¢.
  • Trading volume surged to 499 times its historical average, and this purchase drove a 31-point price move.
  • The wallet has a 59% win rate but is down $1.4 million overall, so the move is more useful to study than blindly follow.

$112,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial trader fades OG

A highly profitable serial trader sold OG amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trade may partly reflect closing an existing position rather than fresh conviction on HULIGANI.

  • This trader is up $1.39 million across 666 resolved bets with a 65% win rate.
  • The trade coincided with a 3,426x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity before the match.
  • The OG sale is equivalent to buying HULIGANI around 45¢, but the prior OG position indicates possible profit-taking.

$3,921 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial trader fades OG

A highly profitable serial trader sold OG amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trade may partly reflect closing an existing position rather than fresh conviction on HULIGANI.

  • This trader is up $1.39 million across 666 resolved bets with a 65% win rate.
  • The trade coincided with a 3,426x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong activity before the match.
  • The OG sale is equivalent to buying HULIGANI around 45¢, but the prior OG position indicates possible profit-taking.

$1,406 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 65%

Five-wallet OG surge led by sharp bettor

Five wallets deployed $135,270 on OG amid a 3,425x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and strong historical edge.

  • Five wallets bought OG for $135,270 around 56¢, pushing the market to 60¢.
  • One participating bettor wins 94% of trades, is up $638,190, and has beaten implied odds by roughly 36 percentage points.
  • The buying arrived during a 3,425x historical volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated conviction before the match.

$139,550 on OG

Million-dollar serial sharp backs OG

A highly experienced bettor with 1,763 resolved positions, a 74% win rate, and $2.3 million in profit is buying OG at 67 cents.

  • This bettor wins 74% of 1,763 resolved trades and is up $2.3 million lifetime.
  • Their average winning entry is 61 cents, making this 67-cent OG purchase consistent with a proven edge.
  • The $1,855 position is a fresh, meaningful bet in a well-traded esports market.

$1,855 on OG | Wallet win rate: 75%

Serial sharp scaling into HULIGANI

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $1,015 to an existing HULIGANI position at 35%.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 102 resolved trades and is up $93,477 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,015 to an existing $2,900 HULIGANI position, signaling continued conviction.
  • The 35¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the market’s roughly 34% current price.

$1,015 on HULIGANI | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 71071098, $29,667 (65% win rate)
  2. 0x97ae...82bd Outcome 71071098, $5,250
  3. 0xc156...f76c Outcome 71071098, $4,643 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x8992...ed1f Outcome 71071098, $4,400 (85% win rate)
  5. 0x63bc...4179 Outcome 71071098, $4,000 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x75e1...a8a1 Outcome 71071098, $3,630 (84% win rate)
  7. 0xd5f6...38e8 Outcome 71071098, $2,730
  8. 0x16ce...eba1 Outcome 71071098, $2,700 (77% win rate)
  9. 0x52b7...0aa1 Outcome 71071098, $2,500 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 71071098, $2,310 (32% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

LYON beats Team Liquid

Covers 3 related markets

Norway England turns into shootout

Covers 4 related markets

T1 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 4 related markets

Colombia wins big, Congo scores

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

ResolvedDota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage$259,747 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between OG and HULIGANI in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against HULIGANI. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against OG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “OG
77¢
67¢
58¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$112,000 on OG at 56¢

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$3,921 on HULIGANI at 45¢

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$1,406 on HULIGANI at 45¢

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$139,550 on OG at 56¢

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$1,855 on OG at 67¢

Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$1,015 on HULIGANI at 35¢

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
LYON beats Team Liquid
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
Norway England turns into shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Norway O/U…Norway vs. England: Both Teams…
T1 sweeps Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Games Total: O/U 3.5LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Colombia wins big, Congo scores
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombi…Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Cong…