Part of: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
This prediction market covers the winner of Game 2 between PARIVISION and 1win in the Dota 2 1win Essence Playoffs grand final, scheduled around May 11. It resolves to PARIVISION if PARIVISION wins Game 2, or to 1win if 1win wins Game 2, with settlement based on the completed Game 2 result. PolySpotter is tracking $2,283 in smart money across 2 signals, including activity from a 93% win-rate esports sharp and a profitable serial trader.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between PARIVISION and 1win in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 2 against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against PARIVISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,283.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial esports market trader
Serial cross-market esports trader bought PARIVISION at 85% before the market moved to 96%, though lifetime P&L is negative despite a high hit rate.
- This bettor has traded 79 markets across 62 events, with a 72% hit rate over 1,448 resolved bets.
- They bought PARIVISION at 85¢ and the market has already moved to 96¢, suggesting the entry caught the right direction.
- This is a $2,000 position from a very active trader, but their lifetime P&L is down $33k, so the edge is not proven.
$2,000 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 72%
93% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 93% win rate and extensive cross-market history bought the underdog 1win at 20%.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $1.3M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 65 events with $4.47M in tracked volume.
- They bought 1win at 20¢ while the market is now 16¢, implying an even cheaper copy entry may be available.
$1,000 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought PARIVISION at 78¢, with a long $301k positive track record despite only modest supporting market signals.
- This bettor is up $301k across 1,810 resolved markets.
- They have traded 315 markets across 234 events, showing a repeatable cross-market process.
- Entry at 78¢ is a favorite bet, but the wallet’s long profitable record makes it notable.
$1,283 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — 1win, $37,035 (93% win rate)
- 0xba8c...e77d — PARIVISION, $15,000 (91% win rate)
- 0x3b63...4acd — PARIVISION, $14,000 (77% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — PARIVISION, $10,750 (62% win rate)
- 0xbc3a...a2ab — PARIVISION, $10,000
- 0x33ab...9523 — PARIVISION, $6,194
- 0x18bb...e5cd — 1win, $4,368 (63% win rate)
- 0xf7d6...cab5 — PARIVISION, $3,995 (67% win rate)
- 0x4133...165b — 1win, $3,757 (54% win rate)
- 0x04f6...f24a — 1win, $3,506 (40% win rate)
