Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks the winner of Game 1 between PARIVISION and Aurora in the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Playoffs upper bracket semifinal. The market resolves based on who wins the first game, with resolution tied to the scheduled April 24 matchup. Smart money activity appears notable here, with recent alerts highlighting multiple sharp buys on Aurora.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $252,732.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Linked sharps bought Aurora
Multiple linked high-win-rate wallets piled into Aurora around 42-45¢ before the market violently flipped to 4¢, making this a strong coordinated sharp-bettor fade signal worth studying.
- Two linked bettors win 94-95% of their resolved trades and are up about $2.65M combined.
- Three wallets funded by the same source all bet Aurora, with $6.8k total clustered on one side.
- They bought Aurora at 42-45¢ before the market collapsed to 4¢, so the edge was in the setup rather than following now.
$6,798 on Aurora
Linked sharp buying breakout
A profitable high-volume sports trader from a 5-wallet linked cluster bought PARIVISION before a sharp move higher during a major pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor has 509 resolved bets, a 63% win rate, and $169k in profit
- Five linked wallets funded by the same address have put $3.5k behind this setup
- They bought PARIVISION at 90¢ before it ran to 96% as volume jumped 141x above normal
$1,624 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp esports bettor
A proven sharp sports wallet with an 87% win rate bought PARIVISION before a 31-point surge, turning an 85¢ entry into a 96¢ market within hours.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up about $79k across 186 resolved positions.
- They bought PARIVISION at 85¢ before the price jumped to 96%, a fast 31-point move on heavy event volume.
- The move happened in a liquid market with nearly $749k of volume, which makes the price follow-through more meaningful.
$1,684 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 87%
9-wallet esports pile-in
A 9-wallet cluster piled nearly $100k into PARIVISION at 57¢ before a sharp move to 84%, and several wallets in the group have strong long-term records that make the flow worth following.
- Nine wallets bought nearly $100k of PARIVISION, with most of the size filled at 57¢ before the market jumped to 84¢.
- This cluster includes proven winners, including one bettor who wins 91% of their trades over 399 resolved markets and another at 87% over 149.
- The market saw an extreme volume surge and a 15-point price jump, which backs up the idea that this was informed, high-conviction buying.
$99,197 on PARIVISION
98% bettor joins 11-wallet pile-in
A proven sharp wallet with a 98% win rate bought Aurora at 44¢ while 11 wallets piled into the same side, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $3.3M lifetime.
- 11 wallets bought Aurora together for nearly $98k, showing strong one-sided conviction.
- The buy came at 44¢ while Aurora now trades around 42¢, a low-priced entry on a fast-moving market.
$4,033 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%
94% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable sports/esports bettor with a 94% win rate bought Aurora at 44¢ alongside strong one-sided multi-wallet flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up about $2.08M lifetime across 223 settled positions.
- 11 wallets all bought Aurora with nearly $97.9k total behind the same side before the match.
- The entry was 44¢ while Aurora now sits around 42¢-43¢ implied, showing a clear pre-match conviction call in a liquid market.
$2,460 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%
95% winner in 11-wallet wave
A highly profitable wallet with a 95% win rate joined an 11-wallet, nearly $98k one-sided push into Aurora during a massive pre-match volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up about $565k across 78 resolved bets.
- 11 wallets piled into Aurora for nearly $98k total, showing strong one-sided conviction.
- The market saw an extreme pre-match volume surge, and this wallet bought Aurora at 42¢.
$1,405 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 95%
91% winner in 19-wallet cluster
A proven sharp sports wallet with a 91% win rate joined a 19-wallet one-sided cluster buying PARIVISION during a massive pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $133k across 399 resolved positions.
- 19 wallets all piled into PARIVISION for about $157k total, showing unusually strong one-sided conviction.
- They bought at 57¢ in a liquid market during a huge pre-match volume spike, suggesting a coordinated read before Game 1.
$2,711 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 92%
19-wallet PARIVISION wave
A 19-wallet one-sided surge piled into PARIVISION amid an extreme pre-match volume spike, and this wallet is a repeat new account already showing early profits.
- 19 wallets all bought PARIVISION, putting $157k behind the same side.
- Market volume ran 2084x above its normal level, showing a sharp pre-match rush into this outcome.
- This wallet is only 20 days old but has already been flagged 5 times and is up $465 early.
$1,237 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 100%
87% win-rate esports bettor
A highly profitable esports bettor with an 87% win rate made a $12.8k fresh buy on PARIVISION alongside 11 same-side wallets during an extreme pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up about $863k on $2.3M invested.
- 11 wallets all piled into PARIVISION for about $59k total as volume suddenly surged far above normal.
- The bettor bought $12.8k at 52-57¢, a concentrated position in a market that was very quiet before the rush.
$12,828 on PARIVISION | Wallet win rate: 87%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 10502479, $368,965 (53% win rate)
- 0x8ce9...b0e7 — Outcome 55699590, $96,784
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Outcome 10502479, $38,774 (95% win rate)
- 0xfa58...31d6 — Outcome 55699590, $25,000
- 0xee00...cea1 — Outcome 55699590, $18,960 (62% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Outcome 10502479, $15,920 (94% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Outcome 10502479, $14,843 (98% win rate)
- 0xef62...cf76 — Outcome 10502479, $11,937 (53% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Outcome 10502479, $10,941 (24% win rate)
- 0xd6f5...f3b5 — Outcome 10502479, $10,852 (75% win rate)
