Part of: Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

This prediction market covers the winner of Game 2 between PlayTime and Nigma Galaxy in the Dota 2 1win Essence Playoffs lower bracket semifinal. It resolves to PlayTime or Nigma Galaxy based on the official Game 2 result, with resolution scheduled for May 11, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,271 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts tied to high win-rate esports bettors.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between PlayTime and Nigma Galaxy in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against PlayTime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,995.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial esports bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a strong 75% record and $142k profit bought PlayTime despite the price later falling below entry.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 286 resolved bets and is up $142k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 58 events and $281k in recent tracked volume.
  • Entry at 80¢ was above the current 66¢ odds, so the same side is now available at a discount.

$1,271 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable linked esports bettor

A profitable serial cross-market esports trader with a 63% win rate and linked-wallet backing bought PlayTime, though the entry is now underwater versus current odds.

  • This bettor has a strong long-run record: 63% wins over 702 resolved bets and +$224K profit.
  • The wallet is part of a 5-wallet funded cluster that has appeared in prior runs, suggesting coordinated conviction.
  • Entry at 71¢ was above the current 62¢ market price, so the trade is notable but currently available cheaper.

$1,809 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 63%

89% esports sharp

Highly profitable esports bettor with an 89% historical win rate is buying Nigma Galaxy at 41¢ despite the market pricing them as the underdog.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved positions and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 89 events and over $804K tracked across related markets.
  • Entry at 41¢ backs the underdog against a 40% market price, suggesting a clear value view.

$1,275 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 89%

Elite esports sharp

Elite 92% lifetime winner with extensive cross-market history bought PlayTime heavily, though the market has since moved well below their 68¢ entry.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $195K lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 93 events and 130 markets with the same 92% hit rate.
  • The trade was large at $4.2K, but the market has fallen from their 68¢ entry to about 53¢.

$4,180 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial cross-market sports/esports trader with a large profitable history bought PlayTime despite the market later moving against the entry.

  • This bettor has a deep track record: 61% wins across 1,799 resolved bets and $267k profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $609k flagged across 309 markets, suggesting a repeatable event-level approach.
  • Bought PlayTime at 64¢, while current odds near 53¢ may offer a cheaper follow entry than the original trade.

$2,346 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 61%

92% winners cluster

Three wallets, including two highly profitable 92% winners and a linked pair, bought $8.5K of PlayTime in the same window on a mid-liquidity esports market.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 92% of their resolved trades, with one up about $1.2M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $8.5K, and two share the same funder.
  • The buys came between 60¢ and 68¢, with the market already moving to 67¢.

$8,526 on PlayTime

89% win-rate esports sharp

Highly profitable esports trader with an 89% historical win rate is buying Nigma Galaxy at 35¢ despite the market pricing them as the underdog.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 88 events with $803K tracked in this pattern.
  • Entry at 35¢ backs the underdog while the market shows Nigma Galaxy around 33%.

$1,089 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 89%

92% esports sharp

Elite esports bettor with a 92% record and major lifetime profit is buying PlayTime at 60% in another cross-market position.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $1.2M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 162 markets across 64 events and a 92% hit rate.
  • A $2,000 buy at 60¢ suggests confident backing of PlayTime despite a reasonably liquid book.

$2,000 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% win-rate esports sharp

Elite cross-market esports bettor with a 92% win rate and over $1.1M profit is buying PlayTime in a modest-liquidity Dota market.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $1.2M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 64 events with a 92% hit rate.
  • Entry at 59¢ implies they see PlayTime as mispriced despite the market near 57–58¢.

$1,500 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9eca...5a59 Nigma Galaxy, $17,449 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 PlayTime, $17,365 (92% win rate)
  3. 0xc0f5...3d04 PlayTime, $12,289 (75% win rate)
  4. 0xd3b0...329e PlayTime, $10,250 (61% win rate)
  5. 0x4d51...4946 PlayTime, $10,000
  6. 0x913c...39b3 PlayTime, $7,944 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xba8c...e77d PlayTime, $6,973 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x540d...c8f9 Nigma Galaxy, $6,909 (52% win rate)
  9. 0xf3ce...a57a PlayTime, $6,179 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x1c8f...4d12 Nigma Galaxy, $6,143 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

1hDota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs$23,995 tracked9 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
PlayTime
100¢
Nigma Galaxy
0¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between PlayTime and Nigma Galaxy in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against PlayTime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “PlayTime
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,271 on PlayTime at 80¢

80¢100¢20¢

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,809 on PlayTime at 71¢

71¢100¢29¢

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,275 on Nigma Galaxy at 41¢

41¢0¢41¢

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$4,180 on PlayTime at 68¢

68¢100¢32¢

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$2,346 on PlayTime at 64¢

64¢100¢36¢

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$8,526 on PlayTime at 64¢

64¢100¢36¢

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,089 on Nigma Galaxy at 35¢

35¢0¢35¢

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$2,000 on PlayTime at 60¢

60¢100¢40¢

Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$1,500 on PlayTime at 59¢

59¢100¢41¢

Related Theses