Part of: Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Game 1 winner of the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and REKONIX in DreamLeague Group B, scheduled for May 14 at 1:00 PM ET. The market resolves to PlayTime or REKONIX based on who wins Game 1, with resolution expected by May 14, 2026 at 21:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $21,977 in smart money across 6 signals, including activity from high-performing esports bettors and wallet clusters.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PlayTime and REKONIX in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PlayTime" if PlayTime win Game 1 against REKONIX. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win Game 1 against PlayTime. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,207.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
89% winner buying underdog
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 89% resolved win rate bought REKONIX at 39% despite the market now pricing it at 28%.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $94,125 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 44 events, with the same 89% hit rate.
- Entry at 39¢ is a contrarian underdog bet versus the current 28¢ market price.
$1,000 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable serial esports bettor
Experienced cross-market bettor with a large profitable history is fading PlayTime by effectively buying REKONIX at 33¢.
- This bettor has 1,250 resolved trades, wins 61%, and is up about $120K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events, suggesting a repeatable event-level betting process.
- Selling PlayTime at 67¢ is effectively a REKONIX buy at 33¢, a contrarian bet versus the current favorite.
$1,796 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 61%
80% winning esports bettor
Sharp Dota bettor with an 80% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought PlayTime despite the market later drifting against them.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $28.8K lifetime.
- Their track record beats market-implied odds by about 25 points across 79 resolved bets.
- They paid 60¢ for PlayTime, implying a stronger view than the current 52¢ market price.
$1,920 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 80%
3-wallet esports cluster
A small but coordinated 3-wallet REKONIX buy cluster is worth monitoring, though the signal is moderate because price has since moved against them and the market is fairly liquid.
- Three wallets bought REKONIX within four minutes, putting $5.6K on the same side.
- Two of the wallets are profitable lifetime, including one up $88.9K across 260 resolved bets.
- Current price is below their 47–48¢ entries, offering a cheaper copy entry than the cluster paid.
$5,593 on REKONIX
89% winner-led cluster
A four-wallet PlayTime cluster included a highly profitable 89% winner and the market immediately moved to 100%, though the copy window has likely passed.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $94K lifetime.
- Four wallets bought PlayTime together for $5.1K at 55–68¢ before it moved to 100%.
- This looks like sharp esports flow, but the price has already reached full payout.
$5,129 on PlayTime
89% sharp esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history bought REKONIX despite a recent large price move.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $94K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 42 events with the same 89% hit rate.
- Their $1.5K REKONIX buy followed a 23-point move, suggesting conviction despite the price already running.
$1,500 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 89%
98% winner caught move
A highly proven esports bettor with a 98% historical win rate bought REKONIX at 37¢ before the market moved to 56¢.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up about $3.85M lifetime.
- They bought REKONIX at 37¢ before the price moved to 56¢, a strong early read on the market.
- The trade helped drive a 23-point move in a market with moderate liquidity.
$1,656 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 98%
95% winner buying dip
Despite weak low-activity signals, this is a proven sharp wallet with a 95% win rate and $1.8M profit taking a meaningful PlayTime position.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
- They bought $5,000 of PlayTime around 65¢ before the market fell to 44¢.
- The current 44¢ price is well below their entry, offering a cheaper copy-trade than the sharp paid.
$5,000 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 95%
93% winner buying underdog
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has an exceptional 93% resolved-bet record and $253k lifetime profit.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $253k lifetime.
- They bought PlayTime at 67¢, far above the current 44¢ market price.
- The bet is modest in size, but the wallet’s long track record makes it worth following.
$1,613 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 93%
95% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 95% win-rate esports bettor bought PlayTime in a thin market, backed by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
- They have traded 214 markets across 88 events with the same 95% hit rate.
- The $1,000 PlayTime buy was nearly 3x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a thin book.
$1,000 on PlayTime | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — PlayTime, $22,524 (95% win rate)
- 0x3b4c...e850 — PlayTime, $19,858
- 0x1c8f...4d12 — REKONIX, $15,059 (89% win rate)
- 0x0e1b...ecaf — PlayTime, $8,480 (50% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — PlayTime, $8,155 (93% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — REKONIX, $6,928 (50% win rate)
- 0x2339...adc2 — PlayTime, $6,464
- 0x6c66...c204 — REKONIX, $5,947 (70% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — REKONIX, $4,516 (98% win rate)
- 0x2d39...6053 — REKONIX, $4,279 (48% win rate)
