Part of: Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Dota 2 best-of-three match between REKONIX and Nigma Galaxy in the 1win Essence Playoffs Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with resolution expected on May 10, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,044 in smart money and 1 signal, including activity from a 95% win-rate serial bettor.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between REKONIX and Nigma Galaxy in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against REKONIX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,044.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% win-rate serial bettor

Elite 95% win-rate cross-market bettor is buying Nigma Galaxy at 71¢ with a long history of profitable esports/event trading.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up about $406K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 128 events with a 95% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Entry at 71¢ backs the current favorite while still leaving room if their edge is real.

$1,044 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 REKONIX, $4,183 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xdb63...a71d REKONIX, $2,597
  3. 0x1cf9...b4ca REKONIX, $2,392 (27% win rate)
  4. 0xf7c2...9b8d Nigma Galaxy, $1,470 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x9c27...cb5b Nigma Galaxy, $1,050
  6. 0xadfb...c2ef Nigma Galaxy, $1,007
  7. 0xf7d6...cab5 Nigma Galaxy, $1,000 (67% win rate)
  8. 0xfed1...eedb Nigma Galaxy, $835
  9. 0xc34b...9296 Nigma Galaxy, $792
  10. 0x0a91...0776 Nigma Galaxy, $683

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Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

7hDota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs$1,044 tracked1 signalEsportsDota 2GamesSports
REKONIX
28¢
Nigma Galaxy
73¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between REKONIX and Nigma Galaxy in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against REKONIX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Nigma Galaxy
76¢
73¢
70¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

2h ago

$1,044 on Nigma Galaxy at 71¢

71¢73¢2¢

Related Theses