Part of: Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
This prediction market covers the winner of Game 2 between REKONIX and Nigma Galaxy in the Dota 2 1win Essence Playoffs Lower Bracket Quarterfinal 2. It resolves on May 10, 2026, based on the official Game 2 winner, with PolySpotter tracking $9,700 in smart money activity across 3 signals.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between REKONIX and Nigma Galaxy in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win Game 2 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 2 against REKONIX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,326.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Funded cluster backing favorite
Five funded wallets and three active buyers are pushing the same Nigma Galaxy side, backed by profitable esports-heavy traders and a 31x pre-event volume spike.
- Five linked wallets share a funder, with three wallets buying $7.3K of the same Nigma Galaxy outcome.
- The lead wallet wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $27.5K across 36 tracked markets.
- This market saw a 31x pre-event volume spike, and the main entries around 63–67¢ are already marked up to 70¢.
$7,253 on Nigma Galaxy
Profitable clustered esports fade
High-scoring alert driven by a profitable serial cross-market trader and a 5-wallet funded cluster fading Nigma Galaxy amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 63% of 693 resolved trades and is up $222,575 lifetime.
- Five wallets sharing the same funder are positioned on this market, totaling $6,314.
- Selling Nigma at 80¢ is equivalent to buying REKONIX at 20¢, well below the current 30¢ market price.
$1,319 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports trader with a large profitable history bought Nigma Galaxy at 65%, and the market has already moved to 72%.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,789 resolved bets, 61% wins, and about $245K profit.
- They are highly active across related markets, with 222 events and $585K tracked in this pattern.
- Bought Nigma Galaxy at 65¢, and the market has already moved to 72¢.
$1,127 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports trader with a large profitable history is buying Nigma Galaxy, but the alert is only moderately strong because it has a single signal and modest size.
- This bettor has a long record: 1,789 resolved bets, 61% wins, and about $245K profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 221 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable betting process.
- Entry at 63¢ is close to the current 62% market price, so the edge appears modest rather than a major mispricing.
$2,627 on Nigma Galaxy | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — REKONIX, $38,261 (92% win rate)
- 0x64c5...d255 — Nigma Galaxy, $18,770
- 0xd3b0...329e — Nigma Galaxy, $13,000 (61% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Nigma Galaxy, $9,124 (89% win rate)
- 0x913c...39b3 — REKONIX, $7,340 (63% win rate)
- 0xf7d6...cab5 — Nigma Galaxy, $6,000 (67% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — REKONIX, $4,652 (69% win rate)
- 0x4133...165b — REKONIX, $2,691 (54% win rate)
- 0x1c8f...4d12 — REKONIX, $2,220 (86% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Nigma Galaxy, $2,090 (56% win rate)
