Part of: Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,954.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

88% win-rate cross-market sharp

A proven high-volume bettor with an 88% win rate is taking the underdog side here by selling Team Nemesis at 70¢, which converts to a buy on REKONIX around 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades across 1,163 bets and is up about $171k lifetime.
  • The trade fades the favorite at 70¢, which is equivalent to buying REKONIX around 30¢.
  • Nearly $2k went in at a price that implies REKONIX has only about a 30% chance.

$1,996 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 87%

Sharp cluster backs Nemesis

Four wallets piled into Team Nemesis within minutes, including two highly profitable bettors, and the buys helped drive a 20-point move in a market seeing a massive pre-match volume spike.

  • Four wallets bought Team Nemesis in a few minutes for $9.4k total, pushing the price from 50¢ to 72¢
  • Two of the bettors have standout records: one wins 95% of 321 resolved bets, another has made $210k profit across 400 resolved bets
  • Market volume is running 524x its usual level, which supports the idea that informed money showed up before the match

$9,430 on Team Nemesis

81% win-rate contrarian

A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate sold Team Nemesis into a heavy pre-match volume spike and recent price rise, signaling a contrarian buy on REKONIX.

  • This bettor wins 81% of their trades and is up about $50k across 298 resolved bets.
  • They sold Team Nemesis at 70¢ after a 20-point move up, which translates to buying REKONIX around 30¢.
  • Market volume is running 280x normal, so this sharp trader is fading a crowded move rather than making a routine bet.

$1,085 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 82%

70% win-rate esports bettor

A proven high-volume sports/esports bettor with a 70% win rate is taking a sizable position on REKONIX at 46¢ in a moderately liquid match market.

  • This bettor has won 281 of 400 resolved bets and is up $210k lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across 68 related markets and 35 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.
  • They bought REKONIX at 46¢ with nearly $2k, a meaningful size versus this market's liquidity and recent volume.

$1,968 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable esports thesis trader

A proven profitable bettor with a 70% win rate is taking a sizable position on REKONIX in a thin esports market, making this a reasonable follow despite only moderate overall signal strength.

  • This bettor has won 281 of 400 resolved trades and is up $210k lifetime.
  • They bought REKONIX at 45¢ in a market with only $4.7k total volume, so this is meaningful size for the market.
  • This wallet has traded 67 related markets across 34 events, suggesting a repeatable event-trading edge rather than a one-off punt.

$1,475 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5d58...9a15 Outcome 77738726, $41,909 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x006a...14ed Outcome 77738726, $321 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x048f...9992 Outcome 77738726, $270
  4. 0xf825...ff77 Outcome 77738726, $264
  5. 0xc4d6...966b Outcome 77738726, $223
  6. 0x56fc...affb Outcome 77738726, $99
  7. 0x34c5...db89 Outcome 77738726, $80
  8. 0xc937...273b Outcome 77738726, $64
  9. 0xcd77...6223 Outcome 77738726, $64
  10. 0xe0b5...a0d7 Outcome 77738726, $43

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Hanwha Life beats BRION

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between REKONIX and Team Nemesis in the DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Team Nemesis. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against REKONIX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$1,996 on REKONIX at 30¢

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$9,430 on Team Nemesis at 50¢

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$1,085 on REKONIX at 30¢

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$1,968 on REKONIX at 46¢

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$1,475 on REKONIX at 45¢

Related Theses