Part of: Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between REKONIX and Xtreme Gaming in DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. It resolves to REKONIX if REKONIX win Game 1, or Xtreme Gaming if Xtreme Gaming win Game 1, with resolution expected by May 16, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $14,958 in smart money activity across 4 signals, including high win-rate esports sharp alerts.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between REKONIX and Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 16 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win Game 1 against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win Game 1 against REKONIX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,578.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Xtreme Gaming at 78%, and the market has already moved sharply to 92%.
- This bettor has a large track record: 61% wins across 1,944 resolved bets and $353K lifetime profit.
- They bought Xtreme Gaming at 78¢, well below the current 92¢ price.
- The wallet is a serial cross-market trader with $821K flagged across 387 markets.
$1,620 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 61%
98% winner in buy cluster
Surface: a highly profitable 98% lifetime winner joined a 3-wallet Xtreme Gaming buy cluster that moved the price from the mid/high 70s to 88%.
- A bettor who wins 98% of resolved positions and is up $3.9M lifetime bought Xtreme Gaming at 75¢.
- Three wallets bought the same side within 5 minutes, totaling $4.3K on Xtreme Gaming.
- The market has already moved to 88¢, so the edge is strongest only if entry is near the original 75–79¢ range.
$4,299 on Xtreme Gaming
98% win-rate esports sharp
Elite esports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and nearly $4M lifetime profit bought Xtreme Gaming at 75¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor has won 475 of 484 resolved positions and is up about $3.94M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 371 events with a 98% hit rate.
- Buying Xtreme Gaming at 75¢ signals confidence despite an already favored price.
$1,659 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 98%
96% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and over $2.0M profit bought $7,000 of Xtreme Gaming on a relatively quiet Dota market.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They bought $7,000 of Xtreme Gaming at 73¢, a large add relative to recent market activity.
- The market is still liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, making the trade easier to follow.
$7,000 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% winner on thin market
Surface: a highly profitable serial esports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate bought Xtreme Gaming in a thin Dota market for nearly twice the 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They have traded 236 markets across 99 events with the same 96% hit rate.
- The $2,000 buy was nearly 2x the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
$2,000 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Xtreme Gaming, $13,873 (96% win rate)
- 0x4133...165b — REKONIX, $12,180 (54% win rate)
- 0x8479...40df — REKONIX, $10,000 (96% win rate)
- 0xdb63...a71d — Xtreme Gaming, $7,097 (63% win rate)
- 0xfe9c...4cb4 — Xtreme Gaming, $4,988 (98% win rate)
- 0xd3b0...329e — Xtreme Gaming, $4,500 (61% win rate)
- 0xbfd7...f0bf — REKONIX, $4,146 (52% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Xtreme Gaming, $2,676 (98% win rate)
- 0xef62...cf76 — REKONIX, $2,217 (57% win rate)
- 0xb1cb...2345 — REKONIX, $2,000 (72% win rate)
