Part of: Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Dota 2 best-of-three match between Spirit Academy and Inner Circle in European Pro League Group B, scheduled for September 19, 2026. The market has $17,344 in tracked smart money across four signals, including multiple bettors backing Inner Circle, and resolves based on the match result or applicable cancellation and tie rules.
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Spirit Academy and Inner Circle in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win the match against Inner Circle. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle" if Inner Circle win the match against Spirit Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,344.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Three proven bettors buying Inner Circle
Three highly profitable, high-win-rate sports bettors collectively bought $9,591 of Inner Circle in a thin market, creating a strong coordinated signal despite one partially hedged wallet.
- Three bettors with 83%–89% win rates committed $9,591 to Inner Circle.
- The largest bettor is 89% accurate across 688 resolved positions and has earned $1.86M.
- The position is large relative to just $1,653 of market liquidity, while Inner Circle trades around 54%.
$9,591 on Inner Circle
96% win-rate esports bettor
An exceptionally profitable sports trader with a 96% win rate and $1.7M lifetime P&L made a fresh $1,510 wager, supported by serial cross-market activity and a linked-wallet signal.
- This bettor wins 96% of 977 resolved positions and is up $1.73M lifetime.
- They made a fresh $1,510 bet on Spirit Academy despite the market now pricing them at just 39%.
- The wallet has traded 520 events and 759 markets, while a second linked wallet supports the same activity cluster.
$1,510 on Spirit Academy | Wallet win rate: 96%
Elite serial bettor backs Inner Circle
A highly proven bettor with an exceptional 89% win rate and $1.85M profit made a concentrated $4,163 bet on Inner Circle at 52%, which has since risen to 61%.
- This bettor wins 89% of 687 resolved positions and has earned $1.85M in profit.
- They placed $4,163 on Inner Circle at 52%, accounting for roughly two-thirds of recent market volume.
- The position has moved favorably to 61%, and the wallet has traded across 135 events with the same strong record.
$4,163 on Inner Circle | Wallet win rate: 89%
Elite serial bettor adds Inner Circle
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate added $2,080 to Inner Circle at 52%, though the existing Spirit Academy hedge makes the thesis less clear.
- This bettor has won 86% of 342 resolved trades and is up $206,775 lifetime.
- They added $2,080 to Inner Circle at 52%, now marked around 61%.
- The wallet also holds Spirit Academy, so this may be a hedged position rather than a pure match prediction.
$2,080 on Inner Circle | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x3413...8ff2 — Spirit Academy, $29,166 (97% win rate)
- 0x85e9...2eea — Inner Circle, $5,182 (83% win rate)
- 0xf3ce...a57a — Spirit Academy, $5,106 (96% win rate)
- 0x31a4...7afc — Inner Circle, $3,909 (55% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Inner Circle, $2,866 (62% win rate)
- 0x994d...a298 — Spirit Academy, $2,388 (88% win rate)
- 0xc5d9...b188 — Inner Circle, $2,004 (72% win rate)
- 0x149a...49d0 — Inner Circle, $1,901 (95% win rate)
- 0x249e...4fa6 — Inner Circle, $1,879 (85% win rate)
- 0x6eac...ed37 — Spirit Academy, $1,391 (81% win rate)
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