Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $590,694.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettors backing underdog
A high-scoring Aurora-side cluster includes a 93% winning bettor and a $1.3M profitable bettor, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- One Aurora buyer wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $139,858 lifetime.
- Another Aurora buyer is up $1.33M lifetime across more than 1,000 resolved positions.
- The trade is risky: Aurora has fallen from their 53–60¢ entries to 22¢, while opposing money has pushed Team Falcons higher.
$7,038 on Aurora
Profitable serial bettor plus cluster
Profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Team Falcons at 45¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a sharp 21-point price move.
- This bettor has won 73% of 111 resolved trades and is up $89K lifetime.
- Six wallets bought Team Falcons the same way, totaling $15.3K in one-sided flow.
- The entry was 45¢ before the market jumped to 78%, suggesting the move followed sharp buying.
$2,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 83%
6-wallet Falcons momentum
Six wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, driving a sharp 21-point move, though this specific wallet has a mediocre losing track record.
- 6 wallets bought the same side, totaling $15.3K on Team Falcons.
- The price jumped 21 points in 5 minutes, suggesting fast one-sided momentum.
- This wallet flipped after closing an Aurora position, now buying Falcons at 74¢.
$3,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 71%
Six-wallet esports steam
Coordinated one-sided buying from 6 wallets pushed Team Falcons up 21 points in 5 minutes, despite the specific wallet lacking a strong track record.
- Six wallets bought Team Falcons in the same window, totaling $15.3K on one side.
- The market moved fast after the flow, with Falcons jumping 21 percentage points in 5 minutes.
- This wallet entered at 73¢ before the price moved to 78¢, suggesting it caught the start of the move.
$1,269 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 53%
93% winner backing Aurora
A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet bought Aurora, reinforced by serial cross-market success, same-side cluster flow, and favorable post-trade movement.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $139,858 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 98 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- Three wallets bought Aurora for $7,400 total, and this entry at 53¢ moved to 64¢.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable serial bettor on Aurora
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora at 60¢ alongside one-sided wallet flow, with the price already moving to 64¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,064 resolved bets and is up $1.33M lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.78M bet across 575 markets.
- Three wallets are all buying Aurora, and this entry has already moved from 60¢ to 64¢.
$4,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp six-wallet Falcons cluster
Six wallets bought Team Falcons in size, led by several profitable bettors including a 16-0 wallet, though the price has since dropped sharply below their entries.
- Six wallets put $15.3K on the same side, with most entries between 64¢ and 80¢.
- The lead wallet is 16-0 on resolved bets and up $15.5K lifetime.
- The market has fallen to 36¢, making this much cheaper than the cluster’s average entry but still high-risk.
$15,276 on Team Falcons
Profitable serial esports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate and $229k lifetime profit bought Aurora before a notable upward move.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $229k lifetime.
- They have traded across 106 events and 149 markets, with $635k in cross-market activity.
- Aurora moved from their 87¢ entry to about 91¢, suggesting the market followed their side.
$1,262 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 71%
91% winner backed by cluster
Elite 91% lifetime winner bought Team Falcons at 20¢ alongside heavy one-sided flow, and the market has already moved to 40¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $365,879 lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought the same side for about $82,000 total.
- Entry at 20¢ has already doubled to 40¢, showing strong follow-through.
$1,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp whale cluster buying Falcons
High-conviction Team Falcons cluster includes a 94% winner and a very large profitable sports wallet, though the market has heavy opposing Aurora flow.
- A bettor who wins 94% of their resolved bets and is up $615K joined the Team Falcons side.
- Eight wallets put nearly $80K on Team Falcons, including a $53K buy from a wallet up over $20M lifetime.
- Team Falcons is now around 40%, below the cluster’s average entry near 47%, giving a better price than most of these buyers got.
$79,764 on Team Falcons
