Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket market tracks who will win Game 1 of the Dota 2 BLAST Slam Playoffs lower bracket quarterfinal between Team Falcons and Aurora. PolySpotter is tracking $406,985 in smart money activity across 12 signals, including recent whale clusters on both Falcons and Aurora. The market resolves based on the official Game 1 winner, with resolution scheduled for June 5, 2026 at 20:30 UTC.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Team Falcons and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $577,387.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
93% winner backing Aurora
A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet bought Aurora, reinforced by serial cross-market success, same-side cluster flow, and favorable post-trade movement.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $139,858 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 98 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- Three wallets bought Aurora for $7,400 total, and this entry at 53¢ moved to 64¢.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial bettor on Aurora
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora at 60¢ alongside one-sided wallet flow, with the price already moving to 64¢.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,064 resolved bets and is up $1.33M lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $2.78M bet across 575 markets.
- Three wallets are all buying Aurora, and this entry has already moved from 60¢ to 64¢.
$4,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp six-wallet Falcons cluster
Six wallets bought Team Falcons in size, led by several profitable bettors including a 16-0 wallet, though the price has since dropped sharply below their entries.
- Six wallets put $15.3K on the same side, with most entries between 64¢ and 80¢.
- The lead wallet is 16-0 on resolved bets and up $15.5K lifetime.
- The market has fallen to 36¢, making this much cheaper than the cluster’s average entry but still high-risk.
$15,276 on Team Falcons
Profitable serial esports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 75% resolved win rate and $229k lifetime profit bought Aurora before a notable upward move.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $229k lifetime.
- They have traded across 106 events and 149 markets, with $635k in cross-market activity.
- Aurora moved from their 87¢ entry to about 91¢, suggesting the market followed their side.
$1,262 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 75%
91% winner backed by cluster
Elite 91% lifetime winner bought Team Falcons at 20¢ alongside heavy one-sided flow, and the market has already moved to 40¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $365,879 lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought the same side for about $82,000 total.
- Entry at 20¢ has already doubled to 40¢, showing strong follow-through.
$1,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp whale cluster buying Falcons
High-conviction Team Falcons cluster includes a 94% winner and a very large profitable sports wallet, though the market has heavy opposing Aurora flow.
- A bettor who wins 94% of their resolved bets and is up $615K joined the Team Falcons side.
- Eight wallets put nearly $80K on Team Falcons, including a $53K buy from a wallet up over $20M lifetime.
- Team Falcons is now around 40%, below the cluster’s average entry near 47%, giving a better price than most of these buyers got.
$79,764 on Team Falcons
97% win-rate Aurora whale
Elite 97% win-rate wallet put $66k on Aurora amid a 24-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $5.2M lifetime.
- They put $66k on Aurora, adding to a broader $187k same-direction move from 24 wallets.
- Aurora moved from this wallet’s ~53¢ average entry to 60¢, showing the market is following the flow.
$66,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 97%
96% winner joins Aurora cluster
A highly profitable 96% win-rate esports bettor bought Aurora alongside a large 24-wallet same-direction flow.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $431,583 lifetime.
- 24 wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $186,794 of one-sided flow.
- Market volume spiked 166x before the match, adding momentum behind the Aurora side.
$1,615 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 96%
93% winner joins Aurora cluster
A highly profitable 93% win-rate esports bettor bought Aurora alongside a large 24-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $140K lifetime.
- 24 wallets are all buying Aurora, totaling $187K in the same direction.
- Aurora has already moved from this bettor’s 52¢ entry to about 60¢, confirming strong market momentum.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp Aurora whale cluster
Massive Aurora-sided flow from 25 wallets includes several highly profitable esports traders with 90%+ records and moved the market sharply upward.
- Several proven bettors are backing Aurora, including wallets winning 96%, 94%, and 93% of resolved trades with six-figure profits.
- 25 wallets bought the same side for about $189K, pushing Aurora up nearly 30 percentage points.
- The strongest fills came around 50–52¢, and Aurora is still near 60¢ despite the sharp move.
$189,147 on Aurora
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Team Falcons, $417,169 (62% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Aurora, $267,146 (97% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Aurora, $250,205 (45% win rate)
- 0xffe9...a70e — Team Falcons, $53,367 (72% win rate)
- 0x0286...f61d — Team Falcons, $49,428
- 0xc44f...d49f — Aurora, $40,156 (74% win rate)
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — Team Falcons, $33,333 (57% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — Team Falcons, $20,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x3a09...f9f7 — Team Falcons, $19,664 (52% win rate)
- 0x913c...39b3 — Aurora, $17,871 (66% win rate)
