Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Falcons and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,742.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Five-wallet GamerLegion cluster

Five wallets bought GamerLegion in a 31.6x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated contrarian signal despite the lead trader adding to an underwater position.

Five wallets bought GamerLegion for a combined $9,780, signaling coordinated conviction.
Trading volume surged to 31.6 times its usual level across 13 trades.
The lead bettor has 950 resolved bets and a 72% win rate, but this is an add to an existing GamerLegion position that has moved sharply against them.

$1,511 on GamerLegion | Wallet win rate: 71%

96% win-rate bettor backs GamerLegion

A highly proven bettor and four other wallets backed GamerLegion, but the position has moved sharply against them from 51% to 18%.

This bettor has won 96% of 291 resolved positions and earned about $533,000 in profit.
Five wallets bought GamerLegion for a combined $9,780, alongside a 31.6x pre-event volume surge.
The bettor entered at 51%, but GamerLegion has since fallen to 18%, making this a high-conviction but currently losing position.

$1,007 on GamerLegion | Wallet win rate: 96%

Five-wallet GamerLegion cluster

Five wallets bought GamerLegion in a 31.6x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated contrarian signal despite the lead trader adding to an underwater position.

Five wallets bought GamerLegion for a combined $9,780, signaling coordinated conviction.
Trading volume surged to 31.6 times its usual level across 13 trades.
The lead bettor has 950 resolved bets and a 72% win rate, but this is an add to an existing GamerLegion position that has moved sharply against them.

$1,514 on GamerLegion | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp cluster backs GamerLegion

Four wallets committed $7,155 to GamerLegion, including a bettor with a 96% win rate buying well below the current 56% implied probability, while coordinated flow drove a sharp price move.

A bettor with a 96% win rate across 291 resolved positions bought GamerLegion at 51¢, well below the current 56¢ price.
Four wallets committed $7,155 in the same direction, with the coordinated buying helping push GamerLegion higher.
The cluster's weighted entry was about 53¢, offering a meaningful edge if GamerLegion's momentum continues.

$9,780 on GamerLegion

Coordinated Falcons cluster after sharp reversal

Four wallets concentrated $15.5K on Team Falcons, including a highly profitable bettor, although the market has since fallen sharply against their entries.

Four wallets committed $15,549 to Team Falcons, with one proven bettor up nearly $6.0M lifetime.
The cluster entered around 80¢ on average, but Falcons have since fallen to 38¢ after a 29-point price drop.
This is a notable contrarian position, though the adverse move makes the original thesis materially riskier to copy.

$8,929 on Team Falcons