Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $361,851.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

32-wallet Liquid betting cluster

A heavily coordinated Team Liquid position combined 32 wallets, linked funding, a major price move, and participation from traders with exceptional historical performance.

  • 32 wallets bought Team Liquid for $174,669, with two linked funders supporting the coordinated position.
  • The market moved 58.9 percentage points toward Team Liquid after the buying surge.
  • Several participants have strong records, including bettors winning 95% of 22 and 92% of 199 resolved bets.

$174,669 on Team Liquid

98% win-rate bettor backs Falcons

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a fresh $24,000 bet on Team Falcons in an unusually thin market.

  • This bettor has won 579 of 588 resolved positions and is up $9.35 million lifetime.
  • The $24,000 Falcons bet is more than nine times the market’s 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The entry at 69¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Falcons already trading as a 68% favorite.

$2,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

20-wallet Falcons cluster led by sharp bettors

A large coordinated Falcons position combines a 20-wallet one-sided cluster, a 173.9x volume spike, and several highly profitable sharp bettors, despite some opposing linked-wallet activity.

  • Twenty wallets committed $67,375 to Team Falcons, including bettors with 90%–94% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
  • The market saw a 173.9x historical volume spike, while Falcons moved from roughly 69¢ to 74¢.
  • The trade includes fresh and additional positions from proven bettors, though opposing linked-wallet activity makes the signal less clean.

$67,375 on Team Falcons

98% win-rate bettor backs Falcons

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a fresh $24,000 bet on Team Falcons in an unusually thin market.

  • This bettor has won 579 of 588 resolved positions and is up $9.35 million lifetime.
  • The $24,000 Falcons bet is more than nine times the market’s 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The entry at 69¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Falcons already trading as a 68% favorite.

$3,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

96% win-rate esports bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $26.7K purchase of Team Falcons at 70%.

  • This bettor has won 678 of 703 resolved positions, with $6.1M in recorded profit.
  • They made a fresh $26,737 bet on Team Falcons at 70%, showing strong conviction despite the market already pricing Falcons as favorites.
  • The wallet has traded across 648 events and 1,175 markets, suggesting a broad, highly experienced track record rather than a one-off win.

$26,737 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $57.8K bet on Team Falcons.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 703 resolved positions and is up $6.1M lifetime.
  • They concentrated $57,754 on Team Falcons across two buys at 70¢ and 76¢.
  • The trader has positioned across 1,174 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off wager.

$57,754 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

98% win-rate bettor backs Falcons

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a fresh $24,000 bet on Team Falcons in an unusually thin market.

  • This bettor has won 579 of 588 resolved positions and is up $9.35 million lifetime.
  • The $24,000 Falcons bet is more than nine times the market’s 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The entry at 69¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Falcons already trading as a 68% favorite.

$4,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

Profitable serial esports bettor backs Falcons

A highly experienced esports trader with a 78% win rate and $2.4M profit made a fresh $2.3K bet on Team Falcons.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 1,337 resolved trades and is up $2.44 million.
  • The $2,316 Falcons position is backed by a 23-point edge over the wallet’s average implied odds.
  • The trade entered at 66¢, while the market has since moved to 68%, confirming early directional support.

$2,316 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 78%

98% win-rate bettor backs Falcons

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a fresh $24,000 bet on Team Falcons in an unusually thin market.

  • This bettor has won 579 of 588 resolved positions and is up $9.35 million lifetime.
  • The $24,000 Falcons bet is more than nine times the market’s 24-hour volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a thin market.
  • The entry at 69¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Falcons already trading as a 68% favorite.

$24,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 89755321, $83,707 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 89755321, $38,411 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x04f6...f24a Outcome 89755321, $32,607 (52% win rate)
  4. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 89755321, $31,557 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 89755321, $28,247 (90% win rate)
  6. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 89755321, $27,990 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xad42...6031 Outcome 89755321, $26,547 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x60dd...40e5 Outcome 89755321, $25,337 (56% win rate)
  9. 0xde24...4ded Outcome 89755321, $23,749 (73% win rate)
  10. 0xe83b...2d16 Outcome 89755321, $18,396 (93% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs$361,851 tracked9 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Liquid
102¢
66¢
31¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$174,669 on Team Liquid at 36¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$2,000 on Team Falcons at 69¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$67,375 on Team Falcons at 69¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$3,000 on Team Falcons at 69¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$26,737 on Team Falcons at 70¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$57,754 on Team Falcons at 73¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$4,000 on Team Falcons at 69¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$2,316 on Team Falcons at 66¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$24,000 on Team Falcons at 69¢

Related Theses