Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between Team Falcons and Team Liquid in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 3 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 3 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $417,130.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite bettor's massive Falcons miss

A historically exceptional bettor and coordinated 38-wallet flow committed roughly $181,000 to Falcons, making this a highly notable but ultimately failed conviction trade.

This bettor has won 98% of 590 resolved positions, with $9.4 million in lifetime profit and a 40-point edge over average entry odds.
The wallet committed roughly $181,000 while 38 wallets bought Falcons for more than $209,000 combined, indicating unusually strong coordinated conviction.
Falcons have since fallen to 0%, so this is more valuable as a study of a rare sharp-bettor miss than as a live copy opportunity.

$181,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

94% bettor joins 38-wallet Falcons cluster

A highly profitable 94% bettor added to a large, coordinated 38-wallet Falcons position, making this a notable high-conviction trade despite the market moving against it.

This bettor has won 94% of 279 resolved positions and earned about $520,000 in profit.
Thirty-eight wallets bought Team Falcons for a combined $209,422, including wallets linked to the same funder.
The trader added $1,016 at 70¢ to an existing $10,424 Falcons position, signaling unusually strong conviction.

$1,016 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 82%

16-wallet Falcons conviction cluster

A large, coordinated Falcons position includes several highly profitable bettors and preceded a sharp move from roughly 60% to 76%.

16 wallets committed $69,364 to Team Falcons, with entries mostly around 60–62%.
Several participants have exceptional records, including 98% wins across 394 bets and 94% across 256 bets.
Falcons rose to 76% after the buying, so the original edge is compelling but the market has already repriced.

$69,364 on Team Falcons

98% win-rate esports bettor buys Falcons

A highly profitable, 98% win-rate bettor deployed $60,000 on Team Falcons alongside a major event-wide position and a sharp volume surge.

This bettor has won 581 of 590 resolved positions and is up $9.4 million.
They concentrated $60,000 on Team Falcons while placing $166,000 across three markets in the same event.
The market saw a 443x volume spike, and the position was entered around 62¢ with a tight spread.

$5,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

98% win-rate esports bettor buys Falcons

A highly profitable, 98% win-rate bettor deployed $60,000 on Team Falcons alongside a major event-wide position and a sharp volume surge.

This bettor has won 581 of 590 resolved positions and is up $9.4 million.
They concentrated $60,000 on Team Falcons while placing $166,000 across three markets in the same event.
The market saw a 443x volume spike, and the position was entered around 62¢ with a tight spread.

$60,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp cluster backed Team Liquid

A large coordinated Team Liquid position was reinforced by multiple highly profitable bettors and preceded a 51-point price surge to resolution.

21 wallets committed nearly $100,000 to Team Liquid, with several trades entered around 37–40¢.
Two participating bettors had 95% and 91% win rates with substantial lifetime profits.
Team Liquid’s price rose 51 percentage points and ultimately resolved at 100%, confirming the coordinated thesis.

$99,616 on Team Liquid

Perfect-record bettor backs Falcons

A proven 21-0 bettor with a 51-point edge is adding to a Falcons position amid a major volume spike.

This bettor has won all 21 resolved positions, entering at an average price of 49%.
They are adding to an existing Falcons position with $1,134 at 63¢.
Market volume is running 210x above its 24-hour average, reinforcing the directional signal.

$1,134 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 88%