Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket covers the Game 2 winner in the Dota 2 lower bracket match between Team Falcons and Team Spirit at PGL Wallachia Playoffs. Traders are pricing which team will take the second game, with the market resolving once Game 2 is completed and an official winner is determined. The market is scheduled around April 24, 2026, and is useful for following live prediction market odds and smart money activity on this matchup.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Falcons and Team Spirit in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 24 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $211,809.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
93% win-rate esports bettor
A proven 93% win-rate sports trader bought Team Falcons at 90¢ before the market moved to 96%, suggesting a strong repeatable edge despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $111k across 357 bets.
- They trade across many related markets with a strong record: 94 events, 132 markets, and $324k deployed.
- Bought Team Falcons at 90¢ and the market is now 96¢, so the move already went their way.
$1,143 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable 5-wallet funded cluster
A profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader from a known 5-wallet funded cluster sold Team Falcons, which converts to a buy on Team Spirit around 31¢ after a sharp market move.
- This wallet has 505 resolved bets, wins 63% of the time, and is up about $172k.
- Five wallets linked to the same funder have put about $10.2k into this setup across prior runs.
- This trade faded a 30-point move in Team Falcons, making the copyable side Team Spirit at about 31¢.
$3,269 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 63%
Linked sharps buying Team Spirit
Three linked wallets with exceptional sports betting records piled nearly $28k into Team Spirit around 33-47¢ during a major volume spike, making this a strong coordinated signal worth surfacing.
- Three wallets tied to the same funder bought nearly $28k of Team Spirit, showing coordinated conviction.
- Two of the buyers win 94-95% of their resolved bets and one is up $565k lifetime.
- They entered mostly at 33-47¢ during a 127x volume surge, while Team Spirit now trades around 40¢.
$27,946 on Team Spirit
5-wallet sharp cluster
Five linked wallets with unusually strong long-run win rates piled nearly $24k into Team Spirit across this match event, a coordinated sharp-bettor cluster worth tracking despite the market moving against their entry.
- Five linked wallets all bought Team Spirit for about $24k total, and four of them win 87% to 95% of resolved bets.
- This group has a long history across this event type, with several wallets profitable over hundreds of markets and one up more than $1.0M lifetime.
- They entered Team Spirit at 33¢ to 47¢ before the price fell to 26¢, showing real conviction rather than chasing a move.
$24,258 on Team Spirit
94% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% win rate bought Team Falcons at 56¢ before the market moved to 74¢, alongside a 6-wallet one-sided cluster and event-wide positioning.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $2.08M across 223 settled positions.
- They bought Team Falcons at 56¢ and the market is now 74¢, a fast 18-point move in their favor.
- Six wallets piled into the same side for $33k total, and this trader also bet 3 markets in the same match event.
$8,287 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 94%
6-wallet Falcons cluster
A linked 6-wallet cluster piled into Team Falcons ahead of a major volume surge, and this wallet has a large, profitable cross-market betting history.
- 6 wallets linked by funding all bought Team Falcons, totaling $33.3k on the same side
- This wallet has bet $829.8k across 91 related markets and is up $170.8k with a 63% win rate
- They bought at 61¢ and the market is now 74¢, so the move already went their way
$1,959 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 63%
92% win-rate esports sharp
A proven sharp sports wallet with a 92% win rate bought Team Falcons at 62¢ before a coordinated 6-wallet move pushed the market to 74¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $117.7k across 48 resolved bets
- Six wallets all bought Team Falcons, with $33.3k total backing the same side
- They entered at 62¢ and the market is now 74¢, showing the move already went their way
$3,415 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%
12-wallet sharp Falcons cluster
A large 12-wallet cluster piled over $104k into Team Falcons, led by multiple wallets with elite 87%-94% win rates and strong multi-market esports track records.
- 12 wallets lined up on Team Falcons with $104k total, including several bettors who win 87% to 94% of their trades.
- The biggest wallet in the group has gone 209 for 223 and is up about $2.08M, which makes this look like coordinated sharp action rather than random flow.
- Most buys hit around 55¢ to 60¢, and Falcons still trade near 56¢, leaving a copyable entry close to the original cluster price.
$104,440 on Team Falcons
13-wallet Team Spirit cluster
A proven high-volume sports trader joined a large coordinated cluster buying Team Spirit, with 13 wallets on the same side and 5 linked by funding.
- 13 wallets piled into Team Spirit for $39.2k total, including 5 wallets linked to the same funder.
- This wallet has a real track record: 63% wins across 503 resolved bets and $170.8k profit.
- The bettor bought at 47¢ while Team Spirit now trades at 44¢, showing coordinated conviction rather than chasing a move.
$4,798 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 63%
94% winner joins cluster
A very high-performing sports wallet joined a 13-wallet one-sided move into Team Spirit at 45¢ during a major volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the price having moved lower since entry.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $157k across 124 resolved positions
- 13 wallets all bought Team Spirit for $39k total as market activity jumped 305x above normal
- They entered at 45¢, which offered a much cheaper price than the current 34% market view now implies was available
$1,967 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x3ef4...4f5e — Team Falcons, $99,012
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Team Falcons, $83,878 (94% win rate)
- 0xa16a...33a1 — Team Falcons, $66,665 (99% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Team Spirit, $55,555 (62% win rate)
- 0xe015...6ffd — Team Spirit, $43,396 (87% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Team Spirit, $40,475 (63% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Team Spirit, $38,761 (95% win rate)
- 0x47b3...039c — Team Falcons, $32,034
- 0x996a...e3cc — Team Falcons, $30,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x2307...3934 — Team Spirit, $29,906 (52% win rate)
