Part of: Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,455.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite esports sharp

Elite 93% lifetime winner with a long serial cross-market history bought $7.7k of Team Falcons despite the market now trading below entry.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $205k lifetime.
  • They have a deep cross-market history: 103 events and 141 markets with the same 93% hit rate.
  • They bought $7.7k at 77¢, showing conviction even though the current price has dipped to 70¢.

$7,724 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market wallet with a large history bought Team Falcons amid a notable pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $295k across 1,865 resolved bets, with a 61% win record over a very large sample.
  • They have traded 248 events and 333 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Market volume spiked 13.7x before the match, and the current price is slightly cheaper than their 74¢ entry.

$2,131 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 61%

93% winner esports sharp

Sharp esports bettor with a 93% win rate and $1.3M lifetime profit bought $6,000 of Team Falcons at 71¢.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $4.6M in tracked volume across 73 events.
  • A $6,000 buy at 71¢ shows confidence despite Falcons drifting 5 points over the last day.

$6,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

92% win-rate sharp

Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 92% resolved win rate with positive lifetime P&L and bought $1.6k of Virtus.pro despite the market moving against them afterward.

  • This bettor has won 22 of 24 resolved bets and is up $16.7k lifetime.
  • They bought $1.6k of Virtus.pro at 54¢, a meaningful position in a match market.
  • Virtus.pro is now around 48¢, below their entry, so the market offers a cheaper price than the sharp paid.

$1,600 on Virtus.pro | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x03f8...d85a Outcome 86593078, $2,947 (96% win rate)
  2. 0x52b7...0aa1 Outcome 86593078, $2,500
  3. 0x5d34...7c8c Outcome 86593078, $2,500 (83% win rate)
  4. 0xa97f...a818 Outcome 86593078, $2,140
  5. 0x4574...273d Outcome 86593078, $1,503 (93% win rate)
  6. 0x0d8d...9fb0 Outcome 86593078, $1,500
  7. 0x80ba...2e78 Outcome 86593078, $1,360 (57% win rate)
  8. 0xad72...4f5e Outcome 86593078, $1,089 (87% win rate)
  9. 0xe872...819a Outcome 86593078, $1,048 (78% win rate)
  10. 0xdbaf...f5d1 Outcome 86593078, $1,044

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

ResolvedDota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$17,455 tracked4 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and Virtus.pro in the DreamLeague Group A, initially scheduled for May 13 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Virtus.pro. This market will resolve to "Virtus.pro" if Virtus.pro win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

49d ago

$7,724 on Team Falcons at 77¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

49d ago

$2,131 on Team Falcons at 74¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

49d ago

$6,000 on Team Falcons at 71¢

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

49d ago

$1,600 on Virtus.pro at 54¢

Related Theses