Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $326,964.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Linked cluster led by 98% winner

A highly coordinated $101.7K 1win position led by a historically exceptional 98% winner is notable to study, although the thesis ultimately failed and is no longer copyable.

  • Twelve linked wallets committed $101,717 to 1win, including a bettor with a 98% win rate across 590 resolved trades.
  • The largest wallet alone bought roughly $68,000 of 1win around 57–60¢, showing unusually concentrated conviction.
  • The position resolved worthless as Team Liquid won, while opposing wallets bought about $61,000 of Team Liquid—an important caution against blindly copying the cluster.

$101,717 on 1win

Sharp bettors scaling into Team Liquid

A large coordinated Team Liquid position was reinforced by several highly profitable bettors and drove a 30-point price jump, though opposing exposure suggests some hedging.

  • 15 wallets committed $53,219 to Team Liquid, helping drive the market from roughly 56% to 86%.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 96% wins over 267 bets, 92% over 196, and 90% over 314.
  • Opposing 1win exposure indicates some traders may be hedging, while Team Liquid positions are often additions to already-large holdings.

$53,219 on Team Liquid

95% winner scaling into 1win

A highly profitable serial bettor added to a large 1win position amid a four-wallet, $54.8K coordinated push, despite the market subsequently falling to 47%.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 823 resolved trades and earned $1.31M in profit.
  • Four wallets bet 1win for a combined $54.8K during a 222.9x volume surge.
  • The wallet added to an existing $14.6K 1win position at 66%, signaling strong conviction despite the current 47% price.

$1,028 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 95%

98% win-rate bettor backs 1win

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $9.3M lifetime profit made a concentrated $32,000 bet on 1win amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 578 of 587 resolved positions, with a $9.3M lifetime profit and a 40-point edge over average implied odds.
  • They concentrated $32,000 across five buys on 1win at 56–57%, signaling strong conviction in the Game 1 winner.
  • The trades produced a sharp volume spike in a relatively low-liquidity market, making the positioning especially notable.

$42,000 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate bettor backs 1win

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $24,000 position on 1win amid a massive volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 578 of 587 resolved positions, with $9.3 million in reported profit.
  • They concentrated $24,000 into 1win at 57¢, representing most of the market’s recent trading volume.
  • The market saw a 189.5× volume spike, reinforcing that this was a high-conviction position.

$18,000 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate bettor backs 1win

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $24,000 position on 1win amid a massive volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 578 of 587 resolved positions, with $9.3 million in reported profit.
  • They concentrated $24,000 into 1win at 57¢, representing most of the market’s recent trading volume.
  • The market saw a 189.5× volume spike, reinforcing that this was a high-conviction position.

$24,000 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate bettor backs 1win

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $9.3M lifetime profit made a concentrated $32,000 bet on 1win amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 578 of 587 resolved positions, with a $9.3M lifetime profit and a 40-point edge over average implied odds.
  • They concentrated $32,000 across five buys on 1win at 56–57%, signaling strong conviction in the Game 1 winner.
  • The trades produced a sharp volume spike in a relatively low-liquidity market, making the positioning especially notable.

$32,000 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner backs 1win

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate deployed $55,000 on 1win in an exceptionally thin market, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor has won 578 of 587 resolved trades, with $9.3 million in lifetime profit.
  • They concentrated $55,000 into 1win around 56–57¢ while 24-hour market volume was only $2.
  • The trader has placed bets across 776 markets and 374 events, showing an unusually extensive and consistent track record.

$55,000 on 1win | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 60331419, $128,463 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x3413...8ff2 Outcome 60331419, $30,000 (97% win rate)
  3. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 60331419, $14,871 (90% win rate)
  4. 0x0f38...a0ed Outcome 60331419, $14,644
  5. 0xf3ce...a57a Outcome 60331419, $14,639 (95% win rate)
  6. 0x5fff...265c Outcome 60331419, $14,237 (50% win rate)
  7. 0xc1de...21f5 Outcome 60331419, $8,000 (98% win rate)
  8. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 60331419, $6,394 (78% win rate)
  9. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 60331419, $6,065 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 60331419, $5,380 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs$326,964 tracked8 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Liquid and 1win in the 1win Essence Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 8:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against 1win. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Liquid
102¢
100¢
98¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$101,717 on 1win at 57¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$53,219 on Team Liquid at 86¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$1,028 on 1win at 66¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$42,000 on 1win at 57¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$18,000 on 1win at 57¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$24,000 on 1win at 57¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$32,000 on 1win at 57¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 1 Winner

3d ago

$55,000 on 1win at 56¢

Related Theses