Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $255,523.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% winner backs Aurora

An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and $10.7M in lifetime profit made a concentrated $13,000 Aurora position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 635 of 645 resolved positions, with $10.7M in lifetime profit and a large edge over entry prices.
  • The wallet concentrated $13,000 into Aurora at an average price near 51¢, making this a meaningful fresh position.
  • The three trades represented more than the detected 24-hour market volume and coincided with a 686x volume spike.

$9,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Coordinated Aurora buying led by sharp bettor

A large coordinated Aurora position includes a highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor and drove a 154x volume spike, although some wallets had existing exposure.

  • Fourteen wallets committed $77,824 to Aurora, with the market moving from roughly 45¢ to 55¢.
  • One major participant has won 94% of 216 resolved bets and is up $2.1 million, buying Aurora around 44–46¢.
  • The trade coincided with a 154x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually concentrated conviction before the match.

$77,824 on Aurora

Sharp cluster backs Team Liquid

A large, coordinated Team Liquid position includes several highly profitable bettors and a major volume spike, though substantial opposing Aurora flow makes the signal contested.

  • 21 wallets committed nearly $93,000 to Team Liquid, including bettors with 85% and 91% historical win rates.
  • Trading volume surged to 141 times its historical average, indicating unusually strong interest before the match.
  • Team Liquid was bought around 55¢ but has fallen to 44¢, while 19 linked wallets also placed nearly $98,000 on Aurora—so the direction is contested.

$92,992 on Team Liquid

98% winner backs Aurora

An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and $10.7M in lifetime profit made a concentrated $13,000 Aurora position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 635 of 645 resolved positions, with $10.7M in lifetime profit and a large edge over entry prices.
  • The wallet concentrated $13,000 into Aurora at an average price near 51¢, making this a meaningful fresh position.
  • The three trades represented more than the detected 24-hour market volume and coincided with a 686x volume spike.

$11,353 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner scaling into Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate is adding roughly $49,000 to Aurora alongside coordinated one-sided buying and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 646 resolved trades and earned $10.7 million in profit.
  • They added about $49,000 to Aurora at an average entry near 52.5%, while five wallets bought Aurora for $33,900 combined.
  • The market saw an extreme volume surge, and Aurora has moved from roughly 52.5% to 56% since the entries.

$49,353 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% winner backs Aurora

An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and $10.7M in lifetime profit made a concentrated $13,000 Aurora position amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 635 of 645 resolved positions, with $10.7M in lifetime profit and a large edge over entry prices.
  • The wallet concentrated $13,000 into Aurora at an average price near 51¢, making this a meaningful fresh position.
  • The three trades represented more than the detected 24-hour market volume and coincided with a 686x volume spike.

$13,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate esports bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,000 bet on Aurora at even odds.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 645 resolved positions and is up $10.66M lifetime.
  • The $2,000 Aurora bet was placed at 50%, implying substantial value if the bettor’s historical edge carries over.
  • This is a serial cross-market trader active across 408 events and 869 markets, rather than an isolated lucky trade.

$2,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 18209214, $176,557 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 18209214, $150,483 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 18209214, $44,516 (93% win rate)
  4. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 18209214, $18,381 (90% win rate)
  5. 0xde24...4ded Outcome 18209214, $18,033 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x1fd7...fbc9 Outcome 18209214, $14,077 (79% win rate)
  7. 0x4aec...4ce9 Outcome 18209214, $12,000 (89% win rate)
  8. 0xc835...3911 Outcome 18209214, $7,000 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x6373...a0b7 Outcome 18209214, $6,816 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x0ee5...e798 Outcome 18209214, $6,349 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

ResolvedDota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage$255,523 tracked7 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Team Liquid and Aurora in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Liquid
85¢
55¢
25¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$9,000 on Aurora at 51¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$77,824 on Aurora at 45¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$92,992 on Team Liquid at 55¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$11,353 on Aurora at 51¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$49,353 on Aurora at 53¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$13,000 on Aurora at 51¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

8d ago

$2,000 on Aurora at 50¢

Related Theses