Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Team Liquid and Aurora in Dota 2 Semifinal 2 of the BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier. PolySpotter is tracking $9,854 in smart money across 2 signals, with recent alerts highlighting sharp Aurora interest and elite bettor alignment. The market is scheduled to resolve by May 30, 2026, based on the official Game 1 result.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Semifinal 2 match between Team Liquid and Aurora in the BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier, initially scheduled for May 30 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $130,663.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Elite serial bettors align
High-scoring Team Liquid flow is worth surfacing because multiple profitable serial cross-market traders joined the same side, though the market also saw sharp opposing Aurora flow.
- Two serial cross-market bettors in this flow have won 94% and 98% of their resolved markets.
- Four wallets put $6.5k behind Team Liquid, including Aurora sells that express the same view.
- The direct Team Liquid buys came in at 57–59¢, close to the current 60¢ market price.
$6,487 on Team Liquid
Profitable trader joins Aurora flow
Surface: coordinated Aurora-side flow plus a fast price move, with a profitable high-volume cross-market trader exiting Team Liquid into Aurora exposure.
- Three wallets put $9.1k on Aurora in the same window, creating a clear one-sided move.
- This bettor is up $33.7k lifetime across 216 resolved bets and has traded 67 related events.
- The trade effectively bought Aurora at 49¢ after a rapid 26-point move against Team Liquid.
$3,367 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable serial bettor on Aurora
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Aurora alongside one-sided wallet flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 1,051 resolved trades and is up $1.27M lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same side for $19.6K, suggesting coordinated conviction on Aurora.
- The entry was 70¢, but Aurora is now around 40¢ after a sharp move, so this is a high-volatility follow.
$1,338 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 73%
94% winner leads cluster
High-conviction Team Liquid cluster led by proven profitable esports bettors, with six wallets buying and the price moving sharply in their direction.
- A bettor who wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $349K joined the Team Liquid side.
- Six wallets bought the same outcome for $14.4K, including two linked wallets sharing a funder.
- The market moved from the mid-40¢ range to 60¢ after the buying, showing strong momentum behind the trade.
$14,448 on Team Liquid
88% winner joins Aurora flow
A highly profitable 88% winner bought Aurora and the same side is supported by an 8-wallet one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $156K lifetime.
- They are a proven serial cross-market trader across 100 events with the same 88% hit rate.
- Eight wallets have all backed Aurora, totaling $22K on the same side.
$1,197 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 88%
Million-dollar sharp in Aurora cluster
Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joined an 8-wallet one-sided Aurora buy cluster, despite the position moving against the entry price since execution.
- This bettor is up $1.95M lifetime across 922 resolved bets with a 74% hit rate.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 391 events and $3.1M in tracked volume.
- Eight wallets bought Aurora the same way, totaling $22.2K of one-sided flow.
$2,879 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 74%
Sharp bettor plus Aurora cluster
A highly profitable 86% win-rate esports bettor bought Aurora, with 8-wallet same-side flow reinforcing the direction despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $53k lifetime.
- Eight wallets bought Aurora in the same window for $22k total.
- They entered Aurora at 70¢, while the market is now around 40¢.
$1,137 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable cross-market sharp
A profitable serial cross-market trader bought Team Liquid alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-event volume spike, making this a follow-worthy esports position despite price moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 71% of 318 resolved trades and is up $328K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with $136K in tracked activity.
- Three wallets bought Team Liquid the same way for $20.6K, while market volume spiked 46x before the event.
$1,291 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp Aurora cluster
Strong Aurora signal from an 8-wallet $79k cluster led by highly profitable esports bettors, with major volume and price confirmation.
- Several proven bettors are backing Aurora, including wallets winning 98% and 97% of resolved bets with over $4.4M profit each.
- 8 wallets bought the same side for $79k, far outweighing the smaller Team Liquid flow.
- Aurora moved from about 50¢ to 62¢ as volume spiked 46x, suggesting the market is rapidly repricing.
$79,210 on Aurora
Profitable esports whale
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $17.8M lifetime P&L bought $15.9K of Team Liquid at even odds amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $17.8M lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved markets.
- They put $15.9K on Team Liquid at 50¢, implying they see even odds as mispriced.
- This wallet is a very active cross-market trader, with $20.8M tracked across 620 related markets.
$15,893 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Team Liquid, $195,771 (61% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Aurora, $103,806 (97% win rate)
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Aurora, $59,129
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Aurora, $40,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Aurora, $25,000 (98% win rate)
- 0x009b...26da — Team Liquid, $17,370 (48% win rate)
- 0xcf60...a6f5 — Aurora, $17,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Team Liquid, $16,153 (92% win rate)
- 0x500f...94bf — Team Liquid, $15,875 (71% win rate)
- 0xfe9c...4cb4 — Team Liquid, $15,103 (98% win rate)
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