Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the Dota 2 lower bracket round 3 match between Team Liquid and MOUZ in the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs. The market resolves based on the Game 1 winner from the match initially scheduled for April 14 at 10:00 AM ET, with current smart money activity totaling $4,189. Recent alerts highlight notable interest on MOUZ, including a sharp 3-wallet cluster and action from proven esports bettors.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 3 match between Team Liquid and MOUZ in the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,857.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New wallet moving price
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just bought MOUZ before a huge 44-point price jump, suggesting strong short-term edge or conviction despite no resolved history yet.
- This 4-hour-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts, with about $11k flagged in total
- They bought MOUZ at 45¢ and the market is now 82¢, a 37¢ move in their favor almost immediately
- The bet was meaningful versus liquidity, with a sharp price jump that suggests real conviction rather than routine flow
$1,886 on MOUZ
93% win-rate esports bettor
A proven 93% win-rate sports/esports trader with broad cross-market history just made a concentrated $1.8k buy on MOUZ after a major price move, making this worth tracking despite the rich entry price.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades across 252 markets and is up $70k lifetime
- They trade heavily across related events with $87k flagged volume, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought MOUZ at 89¢ after a 44-point move, signaling conviction even at a high implied probability
$1,774 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp 3-wallet MOUZ cluster
Three wallets piled into MOUZ together, led by a bettor with a 93% win rate across 252 resolved markets and a broader serial cross-market record that suggests real edge.
- A bettor who wins 93% of their trades joined this MOUZ buy, with $70k profit across 252 resolved markets.
- Three wallets all bought MOUZ within minutes, putting $4.2k behind the same side.
- One wallet is only 4 hours old but has already been flagged 6 times for large bets, suggesting aggressive fresh conviction.
$4,189 on MOUZ
93% win-rate esports bettor
A proven 93% win-rate sports/esports trader with broad cross-market success bought MOUZ before a sharp 26-point move, suggesting a strong read despite the market later moving against entry.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $70k across 252 settled positions
- They trade across 46 related markets and 38 events, which points to a repeatable event-trading edge
- They bought MOUZ at 57¢ after a 26-point move in this market, showing willingness to size into a strong view
$1,045 on MOUZ | Wallet win rate: 93%
Proven sharp bought early
A proven high-volume sports bettor with a 72% win rate bought Team Liquid at 49¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢, making this a solid sharp-money signal despite the modest stake.
- This bettor wins 72% of 435 resolved trades and is up $512k lifetime
- They bought Team Liquid at 49¢, and the market is now 62¢
- This wallet has traded 86 markets across 48 events for nearly $2.0M total volume
$985 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 72%
72% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with a 72% win rate and $512k profit is worth following even though this specific bet is modest and only has one signal.
- This bettor has won 314 of 435 resolved trades and is up $512k overall
- They trade heavily across related markets — 86 markets across 48 events for nearly $2.0M total
- They bought Team Liquid at 64¢, a small but clear position from a proven profitable bettor
$989 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 72%
Proven esports sharp
A proven high-volume sports trader with a 72% win rate across 435 resolved markets is buying Team Liquid at 63¢ in a moderately thin game market, making this a follow-worthy sharp-bettor signal despite only one detection firing.
- This bettor wins 72% of their trades across 435 resolved markets and is up $512k lifetime
- They have traded 85 markets across 47 events, suggesting repeatable skill rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Team Liquid at 63¢ in a market with only $5.6k volume, a meaningful size for this game market
$989 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0x66fb...9f72 — Team Liquid, $40,059 (72% win rate)
- 0x05a7...42e6 — MOUZ, $14,503 (100% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...4b85 — MOUZ, $6,718 (48% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Team Liquid, $5,054 (67% win rate)
- 0x124e...6802 — MOUZ, $4,993 (93% win rate)
- 0x82dc...5700 — MOUZ, $4,316 (49% win rate)
- 0x93f6...4814 — MOUZ, $4,302
- 0x8c0b...7aa5 — MOUZ, $4,065 (53% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — MOUZ, $4,013 (59% win rate)
- 0xb6ce...7a7d — MOUZ, $3,563 (47% win rate)
