Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,077.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp trio bought the dog

Three wallets, including one with a 96% win rate and another up $540k, all piled into the longshot Team Liquid side around 45-46¢ before the market collapsed to 7¢, making this a notable coordinated esports bet to study.

  • Three wallets all bet Team Liquid in the same window, including a bettor with a 96% win rate and another up $540k lifetime.
  • They bought around 45-46¢, which implies they thought the true odds were far higher than the market's current 7¢.
  • This is coordinated conviction rather than a random whale trade, with $4.0k aligned on the same side across multiple experienced wallets.

$4,016 on Team Liquid

Pro bettor riding momentum

A high-volume serial esports trader with 1,190 resolved bets bought Natus Vincere at 58¢ just before the price moved up to 62%, making this a modest but credible follow signal.

  • This bettor has 1,190 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up $52k overall
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 58¢ and the market moved to 62% right after
  • This wallet has traded 61 markets across 50 events, showing a repeatable cross-market betting pattern

$1,043 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 61%

92% win-rate side flip

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor flipped sides in this Dota 2 match, closing Team Liquid and buying Natus Vincere before a fast move from 48¢ to 57¢.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $58.5k lifetime across 226 bets.
  • They closed a Team Liquid position and switched to Natus Vincere at 48¢ before the price jumped to 57%.
  • The trade came from a serial event trader active across 40 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt.

$1,023 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable new wallet backing Liquid

A 3-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits just put $4.25k into Team Liquid around 32-35¢, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine activity.

  • This 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 13 large-bet alerts and is up $3.6k despite only four resolved markets.
  • They bought $4.25k of Team Liquid at 32-35¢, implying they see the underdog price as too cheap.
  • This is a fresh position from a fast-moving new bettor, not profit-taking or a routine whale trade.

$4,251 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 89%

71% win-rate esports bettor

A proven high-volume sports trader with a 71% win rate bought Natus Vincere at 46¢, and the market has already moved in their favor to 52¢.

  • This bettor has won 287 of 407 resolved trades and is up about $348k lifetime.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 46¢, and the market is already up to 52¢.
  • This wallet has traded 71 markets across 38 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.

$984 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%

71% win-rate esports bettor

A proven high-volume bettor with a 71% win rate bought Natus Vincere at 40¢ during a sharp pre-match volume spike, making this a modest but credible follow signal.

  • This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades across 407 bets and is up $347k lifetime
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 40¢, a price that pays 2.5x if they are right
  • The market saw a 39.9x volume spike before the match, suggesting sharper money is getting involved

$982 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%

86% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable sports-style bettor with an 86% win rate and nearly $387k in profit bought Team Liquid during a major pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their resolved trades and is up about $387k across 589 bets.
  • They also trade across 52 related markets with the same strong hit rate, which points to repeatable edge rather than a one-off win.
  • They bought Team Liquid at 60¢ during a 619x volume spike, suggesting confident positioning before the match.

$1,136 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 47%

71% winner backs underdog

A proven high-volume sports/esports bettor with a 71% win rate just put nearly $20k into Natus Vincere during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a credible signal despite the otherwise liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 287 of 407 resolved bets and is up about $348k lifetime.
  • They put nearly $20k on Natus Vincere at 40-41¢, a sizable underdog position with real conviction.
  • The market saw a 619x volume spike, suggesting informed money rushed in before the match.

$19,642 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 69067852, $40,278 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x7d11...99ca Outcome 69067852, $17,836 (89% win rate)
  3. 0xd1a2...5639 Outcome 69067852, $7,654 (100% win rate)
  4. 0xb66a...800e Outcome 69067852, $7,561 (93% win rate)
  5. 0x153a...9d6d Outcome 69067852, $6,501 (63% win rate)
  6. 0xa664...f849 Outcome 69067852, $5,422 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 69067852, $4,938 (72% win rate)
  8. 0x8041...05d6 Outcome 69067852, $3,230 (98% win rate)
  9. 0x6c64...c336 Outcome 69067852, $946
  10. 0x423f...eedc Outcome 69067852, $693 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket round 2 match between Team Liquid and Natus Vincere in the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$4,016 on Team Liquid at 45¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$1,043 on Natus Vincere at 58¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$1,023 on Natus Vincere at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$4,251 on Team Liquid at 34¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$984 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$982 on Natus Vincere at 40¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$1,136 on Team Liquid at 60¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

45d ago

$19,642 on Natus Vincere at 41¢

Related Theses