Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $854,341.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

94% winner joins 44-wallet Liquid surge

A highly profitable 94% win-rate bettor added roughly $273,000 to Team Liquid amid a 44-wallet coordinated buying surge and a 136.6x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 270 resolved trades and is up about $9.0 million lifetime.
  • The wallet bought roughly $273,000 of Team Liquid while 44 wallets accumulated $532,000 on the same side.
  • Team Liquid buying surged 136.6x above its historical volume, with entries averaging about 59¢.

$272,592 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 94%

98% winner backs Team Falcons

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and $11.2M lifetime profit made a concentrated $31,000 Falcons position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions, with $11.2M in reported profit and a 40-point edge over average implied odds.
  • They concentrated $31,000 across three Team Falcons buys around 48¢, despite the market currently pricing Falcons at 46%.
  • Trading activity was 1,712 times the historical average, providing strong confirmation of an unusually confident position.

$8,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

47-wallet Falcons cluster with sharp bettors

A large, coordinated Falcons position includes 47 wallets and several exceptionally profitable esports bettors, alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • 47 wallets bought Team Falcons for about $199,000, with two wallets linked by a shared funder.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 97% over 192 bets and 92% over 328 bets while beating their average entry odds by wide margins.
  • Trading surged to 136 times its historical average, although the broader flow is mixed because other wallets sold about $35,000 of Team Liquid and additional Liquid buying was detected.

$199,369 on Team Falcons

36-wallet Liquid buying surge

A 36-wallet, $109,000 Team Liquid push coincided with an 18.7-point price rise and included several highly profitable bettors, though some activity appears to be position management.

  • Thirty-six wallets committed about $109,000 to Team Liquid, with the market rising 18.7 percentage points during the activity.
  • Several participants have strong records, including 86% and 89% win rates with substantial lifetime profits.
  • The trade flow implies Team Liquid at roughly 61¢, but the current 73¢ ask is already above the suggested entry ceiling.

$109,188 on Team Liquid

Profitable bettor scaling into Falcons

A profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding to a Falcons position amid a 1,428x volume spike and coordinated three-wallet buying.

  • This bettor wins 69% of 148 resolved trades and is up $235,740 lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought Team Falcons for $12,175 total, while market activity surged to 1,428 times its historical average.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing Falcons position at 47¢ despite the market pricing Falcons at 46%.

$3,888 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 69%

Whale scales into Team Liquid

A $67.7K add to an existing Team Liquid position coincided with an extreme 1,712x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate record.

  • The wallet added $67,712 to Team Liquid, on top of an existing $141,098 position at a similar entry price.
  • Trading volume was reported at 1,712 times its historical average, making this a notable pre-event conviction signal.
  • The bettor is profitable overall but has won only 46% of 339 resolved bets, so the position is stronger as a market-flow signal than a proven sharp-bettor call.

$70,795 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 47%

Whale scales into Team Liquid

A $67.7K add to an existing Team Liquid position coincided with an extreme 1,712x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate record.

  • The wallet added $67,712 to Team Liquid, on top of an existing $141,098 position at a similar entry price.
  • Trading volume was reported at 1,712 times its historical average, making this a notable pre-event conviction signal.
  • The bettor is profitable overall but has won only 46% of 339 resolved bets, so the position is stronger as a market-flow signal than a proven sharp-bettor call.

$90,288 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 47%

98% winner backs Team Falcons

A highly profitable bettor with a 98% win rate and $11.2M lifetime profit made a concentrated $31,000 Falcons position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions, with $11.2M in reported profit and a 40-point edge over average implied odds.
  • They concentrated $31,000 across three Team Falcons buys around 48¢, despite the market currently pricing Falcons at 46%.
  • Trading activity was 1,712 times the historical average, providing strong confirmation of an unusually confident position.

$31,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

Whale scales into Team Liquid

A $67.7K add to an existing Team Liquid position coincided with an extreme 1,712x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet lacks a strong win-rate record.

  • The wallet added $67,712 to Team Liquid, on top of an existing $141,098 position at a similar entry price.
  • Trading volume was reported at 1,712 times its historical average, making this a notable pre-event conviction signal.
  • The bettor is profitable overall but has won only 46% of 339 resolved bets, so the position is stronger as a market-flow signal than a proven sharp-bettor call.

$67,712 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 47%

88% winner scaling into Falcons

A highly profitable serial trader with an 88% win rate is adding $1,509 to an existing Team Falcons position at 48%.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 49 resolved positions and earned $45,564 in profit.
  • They are adding $1,509 to an existing Team Falcons position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine trading.
  • The wallet has traded across 26 markets spanning 25 events, providing a strong repeatable track record.

$1,509 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3413...8ff2 Outcome 72887443, $90,000 (97% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 72887443, $70,617 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 72887443, $41,865 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x3af1...d739 Outcome 72887443, $41,847 (51% win rate)
  5. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 72887443, $41,260 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x8f05...b18e Outcome 72887443, $40,000 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x6304...e570 Outcome 72887443, $32,457 (49% win rate)
  8. 0xfdc8...c678 Outcome 72887443, $31,520 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x37e4...c991 Outcome 72887443, $30,000 (77% win rate)
  10. 0xfa39...bb64 Outcome 72887443, $27,336 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs$854,341 tracked10 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Falcons
56¢
51¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$272,592 on Team Liquid at 59¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$8,000 on Team Falcons at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$199,369 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$109,188 on Team Liquid at 61¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$3,888 on Team Falcons at 47¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$70,795 on Team Liquid at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$90,288 on Team Liquid at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$31,000 on Team Falcons at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$67,712 on Team Liquid at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

3d ago

$1,509 on Team Falcons at 48¢

Related Theses