Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $718,880.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

24-wallet Falcons surge with sharp bettors

A $92,000 one-sided Falcons surge from 24 wallets includes multiple highly profitable bettors and drove the price sharply upward.

  • Twenty-four wallets committed $92,191 to Team Falcons, while the market moved rapidly from roughly 72% to 90%.
  • Several participants have strong records, including 92% over 326 bets, 83% over 168 bets, and 79% over 152 bets.
  • The trades appear to add to existing Falcons positions, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.

$92,191 on Team Falcons

17-wallet Liquid conviction cluster

A highly concentrated $486,690 Liquid position is supported by multiple historically profitable bettors, including wallets with 90% and 97% win rates, despite the market moving down to 48%.

  • Seventeen wallets committed roughly $487,000 to Team Liquid, with the largest bettor staking over $400,000 across the cluster.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 90% and 97% win rates with substantial positive P&L.
  • Team Liquid is now offered around 48% after most entries near 54%, creating a cheaper entry than the coordinated bettors received.

$486,690 on Team Liquid

98% win-rate serial trader

A highly proven serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,000 buy on Team Falcons.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions and is up $11.16 million.
  • The wallet has traded 913 markets across 422 events, indicating an unusually deep and consistent track record.
  • Team Falcons was bought at 49¢, near the current 48% market price, with meaningful room below fair-value uncertainty.

$2,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

98% win-rate serial trader

A highly proven serial trader with a 98% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,000 buy on Team Falcons.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions and is up $11.16 million.
  • The wallet has traded 913 markets across 422 events, indicating an unusually deep and consistent track record.
  • Team Falcons was bought at 49¢, near the current 48% market price, with meaningful room below fair-value uncertainty.

$2,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

98% win-rate bettor backs Falcons

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $17,000 bet on Team Falcons in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions and earned $11.2 million in profit.
  • They concentrated $17,000 on Team Falcons at 48–49¢, nearly four times the market’s recent trading volume.
  • The wallet has traded 911 markets across 421 events, suggesting broad experience rather than a one-off position.

$6,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

98% winner backs Team Falcons

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $11.2M profit made a concentrated $39,000 bet on Team Falcons amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions and is up $11.2 million lifetime.
  • They concentrated $39,000 across five Team Falcons buys at an average entry near 48¢.
  • The trades generated a massive volume spike in a market with only about $4,450 in 24-hour volume.

$14,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

98% win-rate bettor backs Falcons

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $17,000 bet on Team Falcons in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions and earned $11.2 million in profit.
  • They concentrated $17,000 on Team Falcons at 48–49¢, nearly four times the market’s recent trading volume.
  • The wallet has traded 911 markets across 421 events, suggesting broad experience rather than a one-off position.

$12,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

98% winner backs Team Falcons

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $11.2M profit made a concentrated $39,000 bet on Team Falcons amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions and is up $11.2 million lifetime.
  • They concentrated $39,000 across five Team Falcons buys at an average entry near 48¢.
  • The trades generated a massive volume spike in a market with only about $4,450 in 24-hour volume.

$26,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

98% win-rate bettor backs Falcons

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $17,000 bet on Team Falcons in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions and earned $11.2 million in profit.
  • They concentrated $17,000 on Team Falcons at 48–49¢, nearly four times the market’s recent trading volume.
  • The wallet has traded 911 markets across 421 events, suggesting broad experience rather than a one-off position.

$22,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

98% winner backs Team Falcons

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate and $11.2M profit made a concentrated $39,000 bet on Team Falcons amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 656 of 666 resolved positions and is up $11.2 million lifetime.
  • They concentrated $39,000 across five Team Falcons buys at an average entry near 48¢.
  • The trades generated a massive volume spike in a market with only about $4,450 in 24-hour volume.

$39,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xec98...afcd Outcome 21458103, $30,000 (54% win rate)
  2. 0x8f05...b18e Outcome 21458103, $23,343 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 21458103, $20,522 (32% win rate)
  4. 0x9166...b479 Outcome 21458103, $18,792 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x84fb...675e Outcome 21458103, $12,480 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x37e9...eede Outcome 21458103, $11,667 (80% win rate)
  7. 0xf201...527e Outcome 21458103, $11,629 (70% win rate)
  8. 0x9d8a...5201 Outcome 21458103, $10,000 (38% win rate)
  9. 0x6ac5...4b6e Outcome 21458103, $10,000 (45% win rate)
  10. 0xc2e5...b3a5 Outcome 21458103, $9,893 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs$718,880 tracked11 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Falcons
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$92,191 on Team Falcons at 72¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$486,690 on Team Liquid at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$2,000 on Team Falcons at 49¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$2,000 on Team Falcons at 49¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$6,000 on Team Falcons at 49¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$14,000 on Team Falcons at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$12,000 on Team Falcons at 49¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$26,000 on Team Falcons at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$22,000 on Team Falcons at 49¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$39,000 on Team Falcons at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

2d ago

$17,000 on Team Falcons at 49¢

Related Theses