Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the Dota 2 playoff match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons at PGL Wallachia. The market covers only the first game of the upper bracket quarterfinal, not the full series, and resolves once Game 1 has a confirmed winner. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,153 in smart money activity on this market, including recent buying signals on both Team Liquid and Team Falcons.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 23 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $228,138.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
24-for-24 esports bettor
A small but notable esports bet from a wallet with a perfect 24-for-24 record, though the market is liquid and the edge signal is less compelling than the track record.
- This bettor has won 24 of 24 resolved trades and is up $24.4k lifetime
- They bought Team Falcons at 81¢ even after a fast 17.5-point move, showing willingness to chase strong conviction
- The market is active and fairly liquid, so the main reason to watch this is the bettor’s track record rather than unusual market structure
$2,153 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%
6-wallet Falcons cluster
A 6-wallet linked cluster piled into Team Falcons with $13.1k in minutes, moved the price sharply, and includes at least two historically profitable cross-market traders worth tracking.
- Six wallets all bet Team Falcons within minutes for $13.1k total, and five are linked to the same funder.
- The burst pushed Falcons up 17.5 points in about 5 minutes, showing real conviction rather than random flow.
- The cluster includes a trader up $157.7k lifetime and another with a 24-for-24 record, though entries ranged widely from 42¢ to 84¢.
$13,097 on Team Falcons
6-wallet Falcons cluster
Six wallets, including a linked-wallet cluster and an active cross-market trader, piled into Team Falcons across both direct buys and equivalent sells of Team Liquid, creating a strong coordinated directional signal despite the market later moving sharply against them.
- Six wallets lined up on Team Falcons for about $10k in a few minutes, including five tied to the same funder.
- This was coordinated flow across both Falcons buys and Team Liquid sells, showing one clear view rather than random activity.
- One wallet in the group has traded 83 markets across 50 events, so this is not just a one-off new account bet.
$9,959 on Team Falcons
94% winner joins 14-wallet wave
A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and $2.08M profit just bought into a coordinated 14-wallet push on Team Liquid during a major pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $2.08M across 223 resolved positions
- 14 wallets bought Team Liquid together for $66k as volume ran 216x above normal
- They entered at 47¢, which offers a better price than the current market had moments earlier
$18,502 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 94%
91% winner in 14-wallet surge
A high-win-rate serial sports trader joined a 14-wallet coordinated buy into Team Liquid during a major volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the small post-entry price dip.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $22k on $52k invested
- 14 wallets all bought Team Liquid together for $66k during a 216x volume spike
- They entered at 47¢, and Team Liquid now trades at 44¢ after a fast 17.5-point move, offering a slightly better follow price
$2,436 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 91%
14-wallet Team Liquid cluster
A 14-wallet coordinated buy cluster put $66k into Team Liquid during a massive pre-match volume spike, making the flow notable even though this specific wallet's standalone track record is mediocre.
- 14 wallets all bought Team Liquid, putting $66k on one side of this market
- Market activity exploded to 216x normal volume, showing unusually strong pre-match positioning
- This wallet is a heavy cross-market bettor with 380 resolved bets, but the real signal here is the coordinated flow
$1,881 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 61%
16-wallet Falcons cluster
A very new repeat bettor joined a 16-wallet linked wave buying Team Falcons, adding to a coordinated $123.8k one-sided push that rapidly moved the price.
- 16 wallets bet Team Falcons in the same window, totaling $123.8k, and some share funding links.
- This wallet is only 5 days old but has already made 23 flagged large bets across 6 positions.
- The Falcons price jumped 17.5 points in about 5 minutes as volume surged far above normal.
$1,184 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 67%
98% winner joins Falcons cluster
A proven elite bettor with a 98% win rate sold Team Liquid, which translates to buying Team Falcons around 54¢, alongside a 12-wallet one-sided cluster and a major pre-match volume surge.
- This bettor wins 98% of their trades and is up $3.26M across 371 resolved positions.
- Their sell of Team Liquid at 46¢ is the same as buying Team Falcons at 54¢.
- 12 wallets put $118k on Team Falcons as volume spiked more than 800x above normal.
$8,628 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%
91% winner in funded cluster
A proven sharp sports wallet with a 91% win rate joined a 12-wallet linked cluster buying Team Falcons into a massive pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $128k across 396 resolved positions.
- 12 wallets all bought Team Falcons for $118k total, and some share the same funder.
- They entered at 55¢ and the market is now 52¢, offering a slightly better follow price than the original trade.
$3,058 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 91%
21-wallet Team Liquid pile-in
A 21-wallet, $135k one-sided push into Team Liquid included several proven high-win-rate bettors buying in the mid-40s before a sharp move to 58%, making this a strong coordinated sports signal worth surfacing.
- 21 wallets bought $135k of Team Liquid in a tight burst, with the biggest entries at 46-47¢ before the price jumped to 58¢
- Several bettors in the cluster have elite records, including one winning 94% of 223 resolved bets and another winning 83% of 256
- Market volume exploded 660x versus normal activity, and this buying wave helped push Team Liquid up about 18 points
$135,259 on Team Liquid
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Team Falcons, $329,954 (52% win rate)
- 0xfbf3...b218 — Team Liquid, $208,486 (51% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Falcons, $65,029 (87% win rate)
- 0xe3aa...1485 — Team Liquid, $57,975 (51% win rate)
- 0x12ec...41ae — Team Liquid, $44,981 (83% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Team Liquid, $39,366 (94% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Team Falcons, $35,825 (96% win rate)
- 0x3719...2df0 — Team Liquid, $19,824 (69% win rate)
- 0xef62...cf76 — Team Liquid, $18,790 (53% win rate)
- 0x2307...3934 — Team Liquid, $14,920 (52% win rate)
