Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $265,134.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

98% win-rate bettor backs Team Spirit

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $30,000 bet on Team Spirit in an otherwise quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades — 610 out of 620 — with $9.6 million in lifetime profit.
  • They concentrated $30,000 on Team Spirit at 52–53%, more than 16 times the market’s prior 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 394 events and 832 markets, suggesting this is part of a proven directional strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$29,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate bettor backs Team Spirit

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $30,000 bet on Team Spirit in an otherwise quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades — 610 out of 620 — with $9.6 million in lifetime profit.
  • They concentrated $30,000 on Team Spirit at 52–53%, more than 16 times the market’s prior 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 394 events and 832 markets, suggesting this is part of a proven directional strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$27,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate bettor backs Team Spirit

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $30,000 bet on Team Spirit in an otherwise quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades — 610 out of 620 — with $9.6 million in lifetime profit.
  • They concentrated $30,000 on Team Spirit at 52–53%, more than 16 times the market’s prior 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 394 events and 832 markets, suggesting this is part of a proven directional strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$21,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

12-wallet Spirit conviction cluster

A large, coordinated Team Spirit position is supported by multiple profitable bettors, including a 77% winner with substantial lifetime profit, while the market has moved from roughly 46% to 50%.

  • Twelve wallets committed $56,815 to Team Spirit, with the largest buys entering around 46¢ before the market rose to 50¢.
  • Several participants have strong records, including one bettor with a 77% win rate and $496,438 lifetime profit.
  • The 201x volume spike and concentrated one-sided flow suggest unusually informed or coordinated positioning ahead of the match.

$56,815 on Team Spirit

95% winner adds to Team Liquid

A highly profitable 95% win-rate bettor added $6,754 to Team Liquid at 48¢ amid coordinated buying and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 190 resolved positions and is up $1.81 million, with a 46% average winning entry price.
  • The wallet added $6,754 to an existing $44,447 Team Liquid position, signaling continued conviction at 48¢.
  • Three wallets bought Team Liquid for $9,169 during a 30.2x volume spike versus the 24-hour average.

$6,754 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 93%

96% winner scaling into Team Liquid

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding to a Team Liquid position amid coordinated buying and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 27 of 28 resolved positions and is up $14,743 on $75,984 invested.
  • Three wallets bought Team Liquid for a combined $9,169 during a 30.2x volume spike.
  • The wallet is adding at 48¢ to an existing position, while the market remains nearly evenly priced at 49%.

$1,056 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 85%

18-wallet Liquid conviction cluster

A large coordinated Liquid position, including several highly profitable bettors and a 98% win-rate wallet, represents substantial contrarian conviction despite the market moving sharply against it.

  • 18 wallets committed $53,508 to Team Liquid, with additional Team Spirit sells equivalent to buying Liquid.
  • The cluster includes a bettor with a 98% win rate across 217 resolved positions and another with 97% across 135.
  • Liquid was bought around 51¢ on average while the market now prices it near 28%, creating a highly contrarian position.

$53,508 on Team Liquid

98% win-rate bettor backs Team Spirit

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $30,000 bet on Team Spirit in an otherwise quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades — 610 out of 620 — with $9.6 million in lifetime profit.
  • They concentrated $30,000 on Team Spirit at 52–53%, more than 16 times the market’s prior 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 394 events and 832 markets, suggesting this is part of a proven directional strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$40,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% win-rate bettor backs Team Spirit

A highly profitable serial trader with a 98% win rate placed a concentrated $30,000 bet on Team Spirit in an otherwise quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades — 610 out of 620 — with $9.6 million in lifetime profit.
  • They concentrated $30,000 on Team Spirit at 52–53%, more than 16 times the market’s prior 24-hour volume.
  • The wallet has traded across 394 events and 832 markets, suggesting this is part of a proven directional strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$30,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a21...9853 Outcome 29601105, $64,365 (79% win rate)
  2. 0x3413...8ff2 Outcome 29601105, $50,000 (97% win rate)
  3. 0x79ae...9a4a Outcome 29601105, $44,447 (93% win rate)
  4. 0xf201...527e Outcome 29601105, $28,042 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x4572...83ff Outcome 29601105, $26,064 (57% win rate)
  6. 0x19ae...395c Outcome 29601105, $20,491 (48% win rate)
  7. 0xef26...05ba Outcome 29601105, $20,303 (80% win rate)
  8. 0xdc40...89cf Outcome 29601105, $20,000 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x04f6...f24a Outcome 29601105, $15,167 (54% win rate)
  10. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 29601105, $12,309 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

ResolvedDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage$265,134 tracked9 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Liquid and Team Spirit in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 14, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Spirit
102¢
89¢
76¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$29,000 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$27,000 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$21,000 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$56,815 on Team Spirit at 46¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$6,754 on Team Liquid at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$1,056 on Team Liquid at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$53,508 on Team Liquid at 51¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$40,000 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

9d ago

$30,000 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Related Theses