Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This prediction market covers who will win Game 1 of the Dota 2 match between Team Liquid and Vici Gaming in Round 3 of the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, scheduled for April 20. It resolves based on the official Game 1 winner, even if the full match is not completed after Game 1 concludes. PolySpotter is tracking $3,010 in smart money across 2 signals, with notable alerts including underdog buying and activity from sharp esports bettors.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Liquid and Vici Gaming in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 1 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,515.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Linked sharp bought before jump
A profitable high-volume bettor from a linked 5-wallet cluster bought Vici before a sharp 24-point move, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching despite the modest stake size.
- This bettor has 369 resolved bets, wins 66% of them, and is up $128k lifetime
- Five wallets share the same funder and have put about $3.2k behind this thesis across alerts
- The buy came at 59¢ and Vici is now 68%, so the market moved 24 points in their direction
$1,917 on Vici Gaming | Wallet win rate: 66%
81% winner caught breakout
A proven high-win-rate sports/esports trader bought Vici Gaming before a sharp 24-point move, suggesting followable directional edge despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved markets across 169 bets and is up about $33k
- They bought Vici Gaming at 53¢ before the price jumped to 68¢, a 24-point move
- This wallet trades across many related markets and has shown repeat edge over 28 events
$1,093 on Vici Gaming | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable 5-wallet cluster
A profitable high-volume trader from a 5-wallet funded cluster sold Team Liquid, which translates to a buy on Vici Gaming around 32¢, making this a notable coordinated position worth tracking despite the modest size.
- This bettor has won 66% of 369 resolved trades and is up $128k overall
- Five wallets funded by the same source have put about $4.7k into this thesis across prior runs
- This trade sold Team Liquid at 68¢, which is equivalent to buying Vici Gaming around 32¢
$1,294 on Vici Gaming | Wallet win rate: 66%
5-wallet funded cluster
A profitable serial cross-market bettor from a 5-wallet funded cluster sold Team Liquid into a sharp pre-match volume spike, which converts to a buy on Vici Gaming around 37¢.
- This wallet has a strong record: 66% wins across 369 resolved bets and +$128k profit
- Five wallets linked to the same funder have put in $10.5k total, suggesting coordinated conviction
- This sale of Team Liquid at 63¢ is equivalent to buying Vici Gaming at 37¢ during a 67.6x volume spike
$1,491 on Vici Gaming | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable esports value bettor
A proven high-volume cross-market bettor with $544k profit bought Vici Gaming before a major pre-match volume spike and price move, getting in 10 points better than the current market.
- This bettor has won 67% of 878 resolved markets and is up $544k overall
- They bought Vici Gaming at 49¢, while the market is now 39¢ after a sharp move
- Market activity spiked 67.6x above normal before the match, suggesting real positioning
$1,015 on Vici Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
3-wallet underdog cluster
Three wallets with strong overall records put about $8.3k behind Vici Gaming across this match event, alongside a 34x pre-match volume spike and rapid price move, making this coordinated underdog positioning worth watching despite mixed flow on both sides.
- Three wallets piled into Vici Gaming for $8.3k, including two bettors with 66-67% win rates and more than $670k combined profit
- This match saw a 34x pre-match volume spike and Vici moved 10.5 points in just over 3 minutes
- They bought the underdog at 40-45¢, implying they saw Vici as materially better than the market price
$8,269 on Vici Gaming
22-0 sharp esports bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 22-for-22 resolved record and $861k profit is building a broader thesis across this Dota event, making this Team Liquid buy worth watching despite the modest size.
- This bettor is 22 for 22 on resolved trades and up $861k lifetime
- They placed $46k across 3 related markets in the same event, showing a coordinated event-level view
- Bought Team Liquid at 60¢, and the market has since slipped to 57¢ for a slightly better entry
$4,940 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 100%
Pro cross-market esports bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market bettor with a 67% win rate bought Vici Gaming at 45¢ during a sharp pre-match volume surge, which is notable even though the single trade size is modest.
- This bettor has won 67% of 878 resolved bets and is up $544k lifetime
- They trade heavily across events — 406 markets and $2.16M total suggests a seasoned operator
- Bought Vici Gaming at 45¢ during a 70x pre-match volume spike, and the price is now 42¢
$1,206 on Vici Gaming | Wallet win rate: 67%
22-for-22 sharp bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a perfect 22-for-22 resolved record bought nearly $10k of Team Liquid while also showing a broader same-event thesis across three related markets.
- This bettor has won 22 of 22 resolved trades and is up about $861k lifetime
- They just put $9.9k on Team Liquid at 60¢, a meaningful bet from a wallet with a strong track record
- The same wallet has also traded 3 markets tied to this event for $41.5k total, suggesting a deliberate event-wide view
$9,880 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 100%
75% win-rate esports bettor
A proven 75% win-rate serial cross-market bettor bought Team Liquid into a sharp pre-event volume surge, making this a modest but followable signal despite the small size.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades across 55 bets and has been active across 39 related markets
- The buy came during a 329x pre-match volume spike, suggesting fast money was piling into this game
- They paid 62¢ for Team Liquid, above the current 59¢ market, showing willingness to pay up on their read
$1,483 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Liquid, $49,596 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Vici Gaming, $29,615 (50% win rate)
- 0x5028...b8ff — Team Liquid, $12,099 (60% win rate)
- 0x05a7...42e6 — Team Liquid, $9,462 (100% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Vici Gaming, $7,615 (96% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Vici Gaming, $7,332 (67% win rate)
- 0x93bc...8ca3 — Vici Gaming, $7,157 (80% win rate)
- 0x913c...39b3 — Vici Gaming, $6,422 (66% win rate)
- 0xe8e1...49dd — Vici Gaming, $6,024 (48% win rate)
- 0xdbb3...76a9 — Team Liquid, $4,323 (52% win rate)
