Part of: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
This Polymarket covers the Dota 2 DreamLeague Playoffs Lower Bracket Round 1 best-of-three match between Team Liquid and Xtreme Gaming, scheduled for May 20 at 1:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the team that wins the match, with final resolution expected by May 21, 2026 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $86,084 in smart money and 4 signals, including recent sharp activity backing the underdog.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Round 1 match between Team Liquid and Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 20 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $123,125.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial trader fading Liquid
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% record is selling Team Liquid into a volume spike, effectively favoring Xtreme Gaming.
- This bettor has won 72% of 812 resolved bets and is up about $504k lifetime.
- They have traded across 115 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling Team Liquid at 44¢ effectively backs Xtreme Gaming at 56¢ as market volume spikes 29.5x.
$2,094 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 72%
One-sided esports flow
Four wallets bought $11.5K of Team Liquid into a major pre-event volume spike, led by a high-volume cross-market trader with long-term positive P&L.
- Four wallets bought $11.5K of Team Liquid within 10 minutes, all on the same side.
- The lead bettor has traded 243 events and is up about $98.6K lifetime.
- Market volume is running 29.5x above normal while Liquid sits at 45¢ after a sharp 1-day drop.
$11,481 on Team Liquid
96% winner backs underdog
Elite esports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $2.56M lifetime profit put $28k on Xtreme Gaming amid a major pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved bets and is up $2.56M lifetime.
- They put $28k on Xtreme Gaming and have traded 296 markets across 124 events with the same 96% hit rate.
- Market activity spiked 190x above normal before the match, supporting the move.
$28,000 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% winner buying underdog
Elite 96% win-rate bettor with $2.56M lifetime profit put $47k on Xtreme Gaming, with supporting cross-market activity and one-sided flow from other wallets.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $2.56M lifetime.
- They put $47k on Xtreme Gaming across 10 buys, making a high-conviction underdog bet.
- Other wallets are also leaning the same way, with 4 wallets buying $26k of Xtreme Gaming.
$47,000 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
99% win-rate esports sharp
Elite sharp wallet with a 99% historical win rate and strong positive P&L bought Team Liquid at 72¢ on a market already moving upward.
- This bettor has won 292 of 296 resolved bets and is up $182k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 43 events tracked and a 99% hit rate.
- Bought Team Liquid at 72¢ after the market moved 20 points upward in the last day.
$1,603 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 99%
New profitable esports whale
Very new wallet is repeatedly betting size, already profitable, and buying Team Liquid during a large pre-event volume spike.
- This 4-hour-old wallet has already made 3 winning bets and is up $2,095.
- It has been flagged 4 times today with $9,688 in total bets, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- Market volume is running 47.6x above normal before the match, and this wallet bought Team Liquid at 72¢.
$1,953 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market bettor bought Team Liquid during a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $72K across 319 resolved bets, with over $800K previously wagered.
- They are a regular cross-market trader, active across 75 events and 109 markets.
- Market volume is running 47x above its historical average ahead of the match.
$2,568 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 56%
96% winner backs underdog
Elite profitable esports bettor with a 96% record and $2.56M profit bought Xtreme Gaming as an underdog amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $2.56M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $6.5M bet across 124 events and a 96% hit rate.
- Market volume spiked 74x before the match, and this wallet took Xtreme Gaming at 30¢.
$5,000 on Xtreme Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly active, profitable cross-market bettor bought Team Liquid as pre-match volume spiked sharply, suggesting informed positioning despite the modest bet size.
- This bettor has won 62% of 1,135 resolved bets and is up about $98.6K lifetime.
- They are a serious cross-market trader, with $4.6M tracked across 242 events.
- Market volume spiked 74x before the match, and this buy came slightly below the current 72¢ price.
$3,893 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable 77% esports bettor
Surfaced because this is a proven profitable bettor buying Team Liquid despite the alert's low composite score.
- This bettor has won 77% of 81 resolved bets and is up $6.6K lifetime.
- Their past wins beat market odds by about 19 points, suggesting real edge rather than just backing favorites.
- They bought Team Liquid at 70¢ in a liquid esports market with a tight 1¢ spread.
$1,067 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Xtreme Gaming, $138,295 (96% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Team Liquid, $50,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Team Liquid, $39,007 (62% win rate)
- 0x47b3...039c — Team Liquid, $20,297 (67% win rate)
- 0xa7df...5eee — Xtreme Gaming, $14,999 (48% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — Xtreme Gaming, $14,110 (58% win rate)
- 0xc44f...d49f — Team Liquid, $12,249 (71% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Team Liquid, $10,430 (73% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Xtreme Gaming, $8,777 (43% win rate)
- 0xe52c...01f4 — Xtreme Gaming, $8,252 (100% win rate)
