Part of: Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 Winner

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,439.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Serial trader caught KW repricing

A highly active trader with 775 resolved bets bought KW at 47¢ before the market repriced sharply to 82¢, though their overall record does not prove exceptional edge.

This trader has participated in 197 events and is up $312,121 across 775 resolved bets.
They bought KW at 47¢, followed by a 17-point price jump and current odds of 82%.
The trade is worth studying, but the 72% win rate is not clearly exceptional relative to their typical 79¢ winning entry price.

$1,007 on KW | Wallet win rate: 72%

Serial esports trader backs KW

A highly experienced serial cross-market trader rotated into KW as the outcome rose 17 percentage points, though the wallet's long-term record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.

This wallet has traded 5,155 resolved markets across 375 events, with a 70% win rate and nearly $397,000 in profit.
The $1,250 KW purchase at 78¢ preceded a move to 82¢, while the trader had already closed a Team Lynx position.
The track record is substantial, but its 70% win rate roughly matches the wallet's average winning entry price of 70%.

$1,250 on KW | Wallet win rate: 70%

Three-wallet KW cluster after sharp move

Three experienced, profitable wallets concentrated $3,608 on KW while the market moved sharply toward KW, although one trade appears to be routine profit-taking.

Three wallets committed $3,608 toward KW, including two fresh buys and a Team Lynx sale equivalent to buying KW.
The trades coincided with a 17-percentage-point move upward for KW and a 26-point drop for Team Lynx.
The wallets have generated more than $1.2 million in combined lifetime P&L across thousands of resolved bets.

$3,608 on KW

98% win-rate esports bettor

An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate made a substantial Team Lynx wager, though the position has since moved sharply against them.

This bettor has won 338 of 344 resolved positions, with $1.08M in reported profit and a 44-point edge over average implied odds.
They placed $1,573 on Team Lynx at 56¢ across a serial record spanning 82 events and 110 markets.
Team Lynx has since fallen to 24¢, so the trade is now a high-risk contrarian copy rather than confirmed momentum.

$1,573 on Team Lynx | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

0x3752...2f08 — Outcome 17846119, $1,843 (73% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 17846119, $1,042 (64% win rate)
0x3a95...343b — Outcome 17846119, $1,000 (37% win rate)
0xba57...1e84 — Outcome 17846119, $843 (92% win rate)
0x7020...d655 — Outcome 17846119, $702 (82% win rate)
0x453e...eabc — Outcome 17846119, $673
0x51be...12c2 — Outcome 17846119, $365 (89% win rate)
0x629d...756c — Outcome 17846119, $357
0x8efb...c0e6 — Outcome 17846119, $318
0xcf3a...fbfd — Outcome 17846119, $309 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

PARIVISION starts, Aurora rallies

Covers 4 related markets

Series will alternate game winners

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs KW - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Lynx vs KW (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A$7,439 tracked4 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Lynx and KW in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for July 25 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win Game 1 against KW. This market will resolve to "KW" if KW win Game 1 against Team Lynx. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “KW”

102¢

66¢

31¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction