Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Team Spirit and Aurora in the Dota 2 DreamLeague Playoffs Lower Bracket Final. It resolves to the team that wins Game 1, with resolution scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 15:00 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $4,410 in smart money activity across 2 signals, including recent sharp interest on both Aurora and Team Spirit.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower Bracket Final match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 24 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,352.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
94% winner backs Aurora
Elite 94% winning wallet with large lifetime profit is buying Aurora alongside one-sided clustered flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $470k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 164 events with the same 94% hit rate.
- Three wallets are all buying Aurora, with a 65x pre-event volume spike behind the move.
$2,910 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%
91% win-rate esports sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate esports bettor bought Aurora alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $240,908 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 87 events with the same 91% win rate.
- Three wallets bought Aurora together, while market volume spiked 65x before the match.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%
97% winner leads cluster
A six-wallet Team Spirit buy cluster is led by multiple highly profitable bettors, including a 97% winner up $3.6M and an 89% winner up $211K, with strong one-sided flow and rapid price movement.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.6M bought heavily into Team Spirit.
- Six wallets bought $23.3K of Team Spirit, with two linked by the same funder.
- The price jumped about 20 points in 4 minutes, and another sharp wallet with an 89% record also joined.
$23,251 on Team Spirit
82% winner on Aurora
Sharp esports bettor with an 82% record and strong lifetime profit is buying Aurora amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $125k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 54 events with the same 82% win record.
- Aurora was bought at 47¢ during a 75x pre-event volume spike.
$1,691 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 82%
97% winner backs Team Spirit
Elite 97% win-rate wallet with $3.6M profit bought $18k of Team Spirit and moved the price sharply before the match.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.59M lifetime.
- They put $18k on Team Spirit at 54¢, more than 2x the market’s recent 24h volume.
- The buy came with a fast 20.5-point price move, suggesting strong momentum behind the bet.
$18,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% sharp buying size
A highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet put $26k on Team Spirit, dwarfing this market's 24h volume and adding to a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.59M lifetime.
- They bought $26k of Team Spirit, over 2x this market’s 24h volume.
- This wallet has traded 324 related esports markets with the same 97% hit rate.
$26,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Spirit, $112,473 (97% win rate)
- 0xffe9...a70e — Aurora, $31,500 (56% win rate)
- 0x03f8...d85a — Team Spirit, $15,676 (95% win rate)
- 0x3a09...f9f7 — Aurora, $11,157 (52% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — Aurora, $10,919 (82% win rate)
- 0x05a7...42e6 — Team Spirit, $9,869 (98% win rate)
- 0xc04e...75d9 — Team Spirit, $9,321 (100% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Aurora, $9,278 (72% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Aurora, $8,565 (92% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Aurora, $8,345
