Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
This prediction market covers the Game 2 winner between Team Spirit and Aurora in the Dota 2 DreamLeague Playoffs upper bracket semifinal. It resolves to Team Spirit if they win Game 2, or Aurora if Aurora wins, with resolution scheduled for May 21, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,600 in smart money across 2 signals, including recent sharp activity around Aurora.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 21 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 2 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $66,589.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable new esports bettor
A 2-day-old repeat bettor with a perfect early record and positive P&L bought Aurora before an 8-point move higher, supported by strong price impact.
- This 2-day-old bettor is 5-for-5 so far and up $1,648 on $7,196 invested.
- They have now made 3 flagged large bets totaling about $5,991, suggesting repeat conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- Aurora moved from their 77¢ entry to 85¢, so the trade is already being validated by the market.
$1,500 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% winner led Aurora steam
Elite 92% win-rate Dota bettor bought Aurora at 61¢ amid strong one-sided flow, and the market has since steamed to 92¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $222,908 lifetime.
- 11 wallets bought Aurora the same way, totaling $28,792 in one-sided flow.
- Aurora moved from this bettor’s 61¢ entry to 92¢, showing the market strongly followed the position.
$1,100 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 92%
98% winner joins Aurora cluster
Elite 98% win-rate wallet bought Aurora at 41¢ amid a 10-wallet one-sided cluster and major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 109 of 111 resolved bets and is up $208K lifetime.
- They bought Aurora at 41¢ before the market moved to 50¢, showing immediate confirmation.
- 10 wallets are all buying Aurora, totaling $35.8K on the same side.
$1,859 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
High-scoring Team Spirit cluster is worth surfacing because multiple profitable sports/esports wallets, including a 96% winner up $2.9M, are aligned on the underdog despite the market moving against them.
- A bettor who wins 96% of resolved positions and is up $2.9M lifetime bought Team Spirit at 40–46¢.
- Five wallets put $9.6k on the same side, including Aurora sells that are equivalent to buying Team Spirit.
- Current price near 15¢ is much cheaper than several sharp entries, though the market has moved against them.
$9,636 on Team Spirit
94% winner with Aurora cluster
Elite 94% win-rate wallet with major lifetime profit bought Aurora alongside 10-wallet one-sided flow and a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $457,975 lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying Aurora, totaling $32,641 in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 89x before the match, adding momentum to the Aurora side.
$1,417 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%
Profitable serial esports bettor
High-scoring alert driven by a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor joining 10-wallet one-sided Aurora flow during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 71% of 825 resolved bets and is up $511K lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying Aurora, totaling $32.6K in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 89x before the match, with this wallet buying Aurora at 39¢.
$1,165 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp serial trader joins Aurora cluster
Sharp profitable serial cross-market wallet bought Aurora amid 10-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $120,833 lifetime.
- 10 wallets are all buying Aurora, totaling $32,641 on the same side.
- Market volume spiked 89x before the event, and this entry at 38¢ was below the current 40¢ odds.
$2,631 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 80%
Elite sharps buying crash
Multiple proven, highly profitable wallets bought Team Spirit together, but the trade is now a high-risk live reversal after the price collapsed against them.
- Several elite bettors with 94–98% records and multimillion-dollar profits bought Team Spirit.
- Eight wallets put $46k on the same side, including linked wallets funded by known addresses.
- The price has since fallen from about 60¢ to 8¢, making this a risky live comeback bet.
$46,282 on Team Spirit
96% winner backing favorite
Elite esports bettor with a 96% win rate and $2.84M profit is buying Team Spirit while also positioning across related markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $2.84M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $6.9M deployed across 127 events.
- They have $105K positioned across 3 markets in this same event, suggesting a broader Team Spirit thesis.
$1,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Spirit, $89,919 (96% win rate)
- 0xb489...de6b — Aurora, $60,060 (99% win rate)
- 0x2eaa...7d1a — Aurora, $51,132 (100% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Team Spirit, $44,214 (94% win rate)
- 0x698d...00b0 — Team Spirit, $28,000
- 0x2146...d41b — Aurora, $24,932 (50% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Team Spirit, $22,787 (98% win rate)
- 0xfa88...85a5 — Aurora, $15,002 (73% win rate)
- 0x3af1...d739 — Aurora, $13,978 (45% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Aurora, $13,786 (92% win rate)
