Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $164,980.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp wallet backs underdog

Sharp sports wallet with an 80% win rate sold Team Spirit at 70¢, equivalent to buying Natus Vincere at 30¢, alongside 5 wallets piling into the same side for $17.7k during a major pre-match volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up about $15k on $63k invested
  • Five wallets lined up on Natus Vincere for $17.7k total during a 48x pre-match volume spike
  • This sale at 70¢ on Team Spirit equals buying Natus Vincere around 30¢, while the market now prices them near 26¢

$1,411 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 80%

17-wallet Navi cluster

A 17-wallet wave is leaning into Natus Vincere in a fast-moving esports market, and this wallet’s sell of Team Spirit at 54¢ converts to buying Navi around 46¢ before odds moved sharply against that side.

  • 17 wallets put about $60k on Natus Vincere in the same window, a strong one-sided signal.
  • This trade sold Team Spirit at 54¢, which is equivalent to buying Natus Vincere at 46¢.
  • The market saw a huge volume spike and Team Spirit jumped 26 points, so this cluster is taking a clear contrarian shot into heavy momentum.

$1,126 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 68%

96% winner joins 16-wallet pile-in

A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor joined a 16-wallet one-sided push into Natus Vincere at 47¢ during a major volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up about $976k lifetime.
  • 16 wallets all bought Natus Vincere, putting nearly $60k behind the same side.
  • They entered at 47¢, well above the current 38¢ market price, showing strong conviction despite the move against them.

$9,841 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 97%

91% winner in 16-wallet cluster

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate joined a 16-wallet one-sided push into Natus Vincere at 46¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up nearly $100k across 369 resolved positions
  • 16 wallets all bought Natus Vincere in the same window, totaling about $59.9k of one-sided flow
  • They entered at 46¢, well above the current 38¢ price, showing clear conviction rather than chasing momentum

$1,924 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 94%

16-wallet NAVI cluster

Large coordinated flow from 16 wallets, including a 5-wallet linked cluster, all points toward Natus Vincere in a liquid esports market, and this wallet has a substantial profitable history across many events.

  • 16 wallets piled into Natus Vincere for nearly $60k, including 5 wallets funded by the same source
  • This wallet has a 65% win rate across 398 resolved bets and is up about $150k lifetime
  • The trade effectively bought Natus Vincere at 40¢ while the market now sits around 38¢ to 39¢

$3,839 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 66%

93% winner in 11-wallet cluster

A 93% win-rate sports/esports bettor joined an 11-wallet, partially linked cluster buying Team Spirit during a massive pre-match volume spike, which is strong coordinated flow worth following.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $104.8k across 342 bets.
  • 11 wallets piled into Team Spirit for $33.6k total, with 2 wallets linked to the same funder.
  • The market saw a 112x volume spike, and this wallet bought at 55¢ near the current ask.

$1,996 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

11-wallet Team Spirit cluster

11 wallets, including linked funders, piled into Team Spirit during a 112x volume spike, and this wallet has a meaningful cross-market track record.

  • 11 wallets all bought Team Spirit for $33.6k total, and 2 wallets share a funder.
  • This bettor has traded 41 markets across 37 events with a 62% win rate and $30.9k profit.
  • The market saw a 112x jump in volume, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than a routine single bet.

$13,172 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 61%

11-wallet Team Spirit cluster

An 80% win-rate bettor joined an 11-wallet linked cluster buying Team Spirit during a massive pre-match volume surge, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing.

  • This bettor wins 80% of their trades and is up nearly $15k on Polymarket.
  • 11 wallets piled into Team Spirit for $33.6k total, and some of them share the same funder.
  • Market activity jumped 112x above normal before the match, backing the one-sided move into Team Spirit at 53¢.

$1,063 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 80%

13-wallet sharp esports cluster

A large 13-wallet cluster put $61k on Natus Vincere around 46-47¢, and several of the wallets have exceptional long-term records, making this coordinated esports flow worth surfacing despite two-sided action in the market.

  • 13 wallets piled into Natus Vincere with about $61k total at 46-47¢, a strong coordinated bet.
  • Several wallets in the cluster have elite records, including 92%, 96%, and 100% win rates on meaningful sample sizes.
  • The market saw a 112x volume spike, so this looks like serious pre-match positioning rather than routine activity.

$61,079 on Natus Vincere

Profitable new wallet betting big

A brand-new wallet with early profits is repeatedly making large bets and just put another $5.6k into Natus Vincere at 47¢, suggesting real conviction worth tracking.

  • This wallet is less than a day old, has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts, and is up $12.6k early.
  • It just bought $5.6k of Natus Vincere at 47¢, implying a strong view against the current favorite.
  • The market is liquid and active, so this looks like deliberate sizing rather than a random thin-market punt.

$5,550 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xad2b...f091 Outcome 49358825, $317,829 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x9714...76ad Outcome 49358825, $62,694 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x8479...40df Outcome 49358825, $19,964 (97% win rate)
  4. 0xb234...1c20 Outcome 49358825, $10,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 49358825, $9,973
  6. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 49358825, $8,876 (92% win rate)
  7. 0xef62...cf76 Outcome 49358825, $5,302 (63% win rate)
  8. 0x17f1...af18 Outcome 49358825, $4,888 (56% win rate)
  9. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 49358825, $4,500 (74% win rate)
  10. 0x4ffd...7821 Outcome 49358825, $4,287

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

ResolvedDota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$164,980 tracked13 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 21 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$1,411 on Natus Vincere at 30¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$1,126 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$9,841 on Natus Vincere at 47¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$1,924 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$3,839 on Natus Vincere at 40¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$1,996 on Team Spirit at 55¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$13,172 on Team Spirit at 54¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$1,063 on Team Spirit at 53¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$61,079 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$5,550 on Natus Vincere at 47¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$1,080 on Team Spirit at 48¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$19,676 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

45d ago

$43,221 on Team Spirit at 55¢

Related Theses