Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

This Polymarket covers the Dota 2 PGL Wallachia Group Stage best-of-3 match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere (NaVi), scheduled for April 21, 2026. Traders are pricing which team will win the BO3, with the market resolving to the match winner or voiding if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a result. PolySpotter also tracks smart money activity on this market, including recent buys on both Team Spirit and NaVi.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 21 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,938.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

94% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports trader with a 94% win rate is making another cross-market bet here, which is worth surfacing despite the modest size and liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $59k across 329 resolved bets
  • They have bet across 31 markets in 28 events, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
  • They bought Team Spirit at 48¢, a price that suggests they see value even with the market now around 45¢

$1,080 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

96% winner buys NaVi

A bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $1.0M profit made a sizable $19.7k buy on Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume surge, making this worth surfacing despite the low composite score.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up about $976k lifetime
  • They just put $19.7k on Natus Vincere at 46¢, a meaningful position in a market priced near a coin flip
  • Market activity is running 54.5x above normal, suggesting sharper money is moving before the match

$19,676 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%

3-wallet Team Spirit pile-in

Three active cross-market wallets piled $13.2k into Team Spirit in a short burst alongside an extreme volume spike, creating a notable coordinated esports buy signal despite mixed individual wallet quality.

  • Three wallets bought $13.2k of Team Spirit within minutes, a strong one-sided push on one side of the match.
  • Market activity jumped 670x versus its normal level, suggesting this buy cluster came with a real pre-match rush of money.
  • One wallet wins 67% of resolved bets across 282 markets, though the group’s track records are mixed overall.

$13,182 on Team Spirit

Top Holders

  1. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Natus Vincere, $62,970 (52% win rate)
  2. 0x9714...76ad Natus Vincere, $62,694
  3. 0x1a5c...a375 Team Spirit, $59,518 (30% win rate)
  4. 0xe16d...5e30 Natus Vincere, $55,606 (96% win rate)
  5. 0xb042...204c Team Spirit, $41,176 (40% win rate)
  6. 0xd202...8973 Team Spirit, $15,509 (46% win rate)
  7. 0xf070...ac55 Natus Vincere, $11,809 (100% win rate)
  8. 0xf4ec...c574 Natus Vincere, $11,087 (55% win rate)
  9. 0x99e4...e4c4 Team Spirit, $11,000 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x8fbb...9a17 Team Spirit, $10,930 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

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Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

3h$33,938 tracked3 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Team Spirit
53¢
Natus Vincere
48¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 21 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Spirit
60¢
56¢
52¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

41m ago

$1,080 on Team Spirit at 48¢

48¢53¢5¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2h ago

$19,676 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

46¢48¢2¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

3h ago

$13,182 on Team Spirit at 55¢

55¢53¢2¢

Related Theses

Team Spirit vs NaVi Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter