Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 2 of the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere in Round 4 of the PGL Wallachia Group Stage. The market resolves based on the official winner of Game 2, with the match initially scheduled for April 21. PolySpotter users can also follow smart money activity here, including notable signals on Team Spirit and esports-focused bettors.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 21 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $75,897.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

93% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly successful serial cross-market bettor with a 93% win rate bought Team Spirit into a sharp pullback, making this a follow-worthy sharp-wallet signal despite modest size.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $104.8k across 342 settled bets.
  • They trade across many related markets — 68 events and 88 markets — which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Team Spirit at 62¢ after an 18.7-point drop, implying they saw value on the dip.

$1,068 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 93%

New wallet buying the dip

A very new wallet with repeat large betting activity joined a 3-wallet one-sided cluster buying Team Spirit into a sharp 32-point price drop, signaling aggressive dip-buy conviction worth watching despite the small sample track record.

  • This 21-hour-old wallet has already made 8 flagged large bets totaling $23k
  • Three wallets bought Team Spirit together for $9.8k after a sharp 32-point drop
  • They paid 75¢ while the market is now 55¢, showing clear conviction but poor current timing

$1,191 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 100%

6-wallet Team Spirit cluster

A 6-wallet cluster put $67.7k on Team Spirit in a sports market, led by one very large bettor and supported by linked-wallet and cross-market coordination signals, making it notable despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Six wallets piled $67.7k into Team Spirit, including one $58.0k buy that outweighed the market's $30.6k liquidity.
  • Five of the wallets are linked to the same funder, suggesting one actor spreading a strong view across multiple accounts.
  • The group also shows cross-market coordination in this event, and one wallet in the cluster is up $643.9k lifetime.

$67,735 on Team Spirit

96% win-rate esports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 96% win rate bought Natus Vincere at 46¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades and is up about $976k lifetime.
  • They have bet across 70 related markets in 30 events, which suggests a repeatable event-trading edge.
  • They bought Natus Vincere at 46¢, slightly above the current 44¢ market price.

$2,951 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%

96% win-rate esports bettor

A bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $976k in profit is taking Natus Vincere at 46¢ as part of a larger $63k cross-market thesis on the same event.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $976k lifetime
  • They have already put $63k across 3 markets in this same event, which shows a coordinated thesis rather than a random punt
  • Buying Natus Vincere at 46¢ means they see the underdog as better than a coin flip

$2,951 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xee00...cea1 Team Spirit, $124,315 (62% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Natus Vincere, $100,000 (51% win rate)
  3. 0xe16d...5e30 Natus Vincere, $93,361 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x9eca...5a59 Team Spirit, $35,770 (98% win rate)
  5. 0x3833...33d1 Natus Vincere, $24,982 (98% win rate)
  6. 0xb042...204c Team Spirit, $22,222 (40% win rate)
  7. 0x26f8...3452 Team Spirit, $21,376 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x8479...40df Team Spirit, $20,650 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xc690...42b8 Natus Vincere, $19,549 (84% win rate)
  10. 0xdf43...ae9a Team Spirit, $17,994 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

1h$75,897 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Team Spirit
72¢
Natus Vincere
28¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between Team Spirit and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 21 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Team Spirit
101¢
78¢
54¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

2h ago

$1,068 on Team Spirit at 62¢

62¢72¢10¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$1,191 on Team Spirit at 75¢

75¢72¢3¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$67,735 on Team Spirit at 59¢

59¢72¢13¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$2,951 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

46¢28¢18¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

3h ago

$2,951 on Natus Vincere at 46¢

46¢28¢18¢

Related Theses