Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,909,685.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven sharp backs Team Spirit

A highly experienced esports trader with 1,860 resolved bets and a strong odds-adjusted record made a fresh $12,600 purchase of Team Spirit.

  • This bettor wins 75% of 1,860 resolved bets and is up $2.47 million.
  • They bought $12,600 of Team Spirit at 63¢, despite the market already pricing Spirit as a 62% favorite.
  • The wallet has traded 772 events and 1,089 markets, showing extensive repeat experience rather than a one-off wager.

$2,620 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 75%

90% win-rate bettor adds to Liquid

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an underdog position at 38 cents.

  • This bettor has won 264 of 293 resolved trades, with $196,509 in recorded profit.
  • They are adding to Team Liquid at 38¢ despite the market pricing Liquid as a 38% underdog.
  • The wallet has traded across 75 events and 79 markets, indicating a broad, repeatable betting record rather than a one-off wager.

$1,284 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 90%

Proven sharp backs Team Spirit

A highly experienced esports trader with 1,860 resolved bets and a strong odds-adjusted record made a fresh $12,600 purchase of Team Spirit.

  • This bettor wins 75% of 1,860 resolved bets and is up $2.47 million.
  • They bought $12,600 of Team Spirit at 63¢, despite the market already pricing Spirit as a 62% favorite.
  • The wallet has traded 772 events and 1,089 markets, showing extensive repeat experience rather than a one-off wager.

$12,600 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 75%

Pro bettor scaling into Team Liquid

A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate is adding $39,140 to an existing Team Liquid position at 38%.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 218 resolved trades and is up $1.1 million lifetime.
  • They added $39,140 to an existing Team Liquid position, bringing total investment to about $142,000 at 38¢.
  • The 38¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value against current market odds near 38%.

$39,140 on Team Liquid | Wallet win rate: 83%

88% win-rate bettor adds Team Spirit

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 88% win rate is adding to a Team Spirit position at market price.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 52 resolved positions and is up $61,401 lifetime.
  • They are adding $1,260 to an existing $2,000 Team Spirit position across a proven 30-event trading history.
  • The 63¢ entry is close to the 62% market price, implying a meaningful edge rather than chasing a sharp price move.

$1,260 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp cluster scaling into Team Liquid

A $149,000 one-sided Team Liquid cluster, including several highly profitable bettors, is supported by an 11.7x volume spike and meaningful additions to existing positions.

  • 15 wallets committed $149,421 to Team Liquid, with several adding to substantial existing positions.
  • The group includes bettors with 94%, 91%, and 82% win rates across large resolved samples.
  • Buying began around 38¢ while Team Liquid now trades near 42¢, amid an 11.7x volume spike.

$149,421 on Team Liquid

Whale scales into Team Spirit

A large existing holder aggressively added nearly $488,000 to Team Spirit, creating an extreme pre-event volume spike despite a mediocre historical win rate.

  • This bettor added nearly $488,000 to Team Spirit, increasing an existing position at 61–62¢.
  • The trades exceeded the market’s 24-hour volume and coincided with a 15,000x historical volume spike.
  • The wallet has invested $82.5M lifetime but only wins 47% of resolved bets, so the size is more compelling than the track record.

$969,387 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 47%

Whale scaling into Team Spirit

A whale added $379,000 to an existing $2.1 million Team Spirit position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, despite lacking a strong win-rate record.

  • This bettor added $379,000 to an already $2.1 million Team Spirit position.
  • The trades arrived during a 5,893x pre-event volume spike, signaling unusually concentrated interest.
  • The wallet is profitable overall with $2.25 million in lifetime P&L, though its 47% win rate is not independently sharp.

$379,043 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 47%

Three-wallet Spirit conviction cluster

Three wallets deployed $1.14 million on Team Spirit, including a highly profitable trader adding to an existing position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • Three wallets bought Team Spirit for a combined $1.14 million, more than half the market’s available liquidity.
  • One bettor with $2.25 million in lifetime profit added roughly $825,000 to an existing Team Spirit position.
  • Trading volume was 7,822 times its historical average, indicating unusually concentrated pre-event conviction.

$26,498 on Team Spirit

Large buy amid extreme volume spike

A large $8.6K Team Spirit buy coincides with an extreme 10,820x pre-event volume spike, though the trader's 59% win rate is only modest evidence of skill.

  • This trader bought $8,636 of Team Spirit at 61¢ in a liquid esports market.
  • The market saw a 10,820x surge versus its historical trading baseline, suggesting unusually strong pre-match interest.
  • The wallet has a large lifetime profit, but its 59% win rate does not by itself establish a strong edge.

$8,636 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x44c1...ebc1 Outcome 78605143, $300,000 (60% win rate)
  2. 0xcd30...f316 Outcome 78605143, $201,989 (94% win rate)
  3. 0x7bc1...8db4 Outcome 78605143, $200,000 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x7b02...4991 Outcome 78605143, $160,000 (57% win rate)
  5. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 78605143, $103,000 (83% win rate)
  6. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 78605143, $102,783 (53% win rate)
  7. 0x515e...8309 Outcome 78605143, $100,000 (90% win rate)
  8. 0x2061...8ec9 Outcome 78605143, $88,163 (24% win rate)
  9. 0x6e13...a801 Outcome 78605143, $85,000 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x87dd...e210 Outcome 78605143, $70,000 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency

Covers 2 related markets

Team Liquid beats Spirit

Covers 3 related markets

Neither Chong nor Oh wins

Covers 2 related markets

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

LYON beats Team Liquid

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

ResolvedDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs$2,909,685 tracked14 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Liquid in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win the match against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Spirit. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Spirit
102¢
79¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

1d ago

$2,620 on Team Spirit at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

1d ago

$1,284 on Team Liquid at 38¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$12,600 on Team Spirit at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$39,140 on Team Liquid at 38¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$1,260 on Team Spirit at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

1d ago

$149,421 on Team Liquid at 38¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$969,387 on Team Spirit at 62¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$379,043 on Team Spirit at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

1d ago

$26,498 on Team Spirit at 62¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$8,636 on Team Spirit at 61¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$828,090 on Team Spirit at 62¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$487,884 on Team Spirit at 62¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$2,155 on Team Spirit at 58¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffs

2d ago

$1,666 on Team Liquid at 44¢

Related Theses

Fujimori or Sánchez wins presidency
Wallet_0x23d81 trades 2 related markets
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 20…Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino …
Team Liquid beats Spirit
Wallet_0x6d20c trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Li…Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Te…
Neither Chong nor Oh wins
Wallet_0x23d81 trades 2 related markets
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026…Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 S…
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
LYON beats Team Liquid
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…