Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Game 4 winner between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in The International Playoffs Grand Final, scheduled for August 23, 2026. The market resolves to the team that wins Game 4; $169,665 in smart money is tracked across the listed market activity. Check the live page for current prediction market odds.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 4 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 4 against TEAM VISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $225,081.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

37-wallet Vision buying surge

A $304,548 one-sided TEAM VISION surge includes multiple highly profitable bettors, a 1,583x volume spike, and substantial coordinated buying.

  • 37 wallets committed about $304,548 to TEAM VISION, with the largest trades entering between 55¢ and 65¢.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 97% over 254 bets and 97% over 211 bets with strong profits.
  • Trading volume was 1,583x its historical average, while TEAM VISION moved from roughly 64¢ to 69%.

$205,358 on TEAM VISION

Sharp bettor leads Spirit cluster

A coordinated $11.3K Team Spirit position includes a highly profitable bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial edge, alongside a major event volume spike.

  • The largest position comes from a bettor who wins 86% of 367 trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
  • Three wallets placed $11,338 on Team Spirit around 47–50%, creating concentrated one-sided support.
  • Trading surged to 276x the normal volume ahead of the match, while Team Spirit remains near even odds.

$11,338 on Team Spirit

Serial bettor scaling into TEAM VISION

A serial cross-market bettor is adding to a sizable TEAM VISION position amid a 276x volume spike and coordinated buying by three wallets.

  • Three wallets bought TEAM VISION together for nearly $6,000 during a 276x surge in normal volume.
  • This bettor has 1,876 resolved trades with a 63% win rate and is adding to an existing $6,502 position.
  • The entry was 52¢, below the current 54¢ market price, suggesting meaningful conviction in TEAM VISION.

$1,820 on TEAM VISION | Wallet win rate: 63%

Three-wallet TEAM VISION buying cluster

Three wallets are buying TEAM VISION amid a 276x volume spike, and this wallet is adding substantially to an existing position despite lacking a strong individual track record.

  • Three wallets bought TEAM VISION together for nearly $6,000, creating a meaningful one-sided signal.
  • Trading volume spiked 276x above its recent average across six trades, suggesting unusually strong event-specific interest.
  • This wallet added $2,266 to an existing $9,177 TEAM VISION position, though its 51% win rate offers limited independent confirmation.

$2,266 on TEAM VISION | Wallet win rate: 51%

Serial event trader adds to Team Spirit

A serial cross-market bettor with 290 resolved trades added $4,299 to an existing Team Spirit position, creating meaningful conviction despite only a market-rate historical edge.

  • This bettor has traded 75 markets across 42 events, with 290 resolved bets and $27,017 in lifetime profit.
  • They added $4,299 to an existing Team Spirit position at 50¢, despite the price falling to roughly 46¢.
  • The trade is large relative to recent market activity, while the market remains liquid enough for a practical entry.

$4,299 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 66%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc77...c035 TEAM VISION, $100,000 (56% win rate)
  2. 0x731a...033f TEAM VISION, $99,595 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xf201...527e TEAM VISION, $78,000 (70% win rate)
  4. 0xcd30...f316 Team Spirit, $67,440 (94% win rate)
  5. 0x6373...a0b7 Team Spirit, $65,005 (82% win rate)
  6. 0x23c8...f293 Team Spirit, $60,419 (45% win rate)
  7. 0x88c3...bea3 Team Spirit, $55,162 (83% win rate)
  8. 0x3413...8ff2 TEAM VISION, $50,000 (97% win rate)
  9. 0xe557...9597 TEAM VISION, $47,464
  10. 0xe16d...5e30 TEAM VISION, $42,436 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

Peace deal after June

Covers 3 related markets

Teams split first four

Covers 4 related markets

France wins 3-0 late

Covers 4 related markets

Hanwha wins in four

Covers 4 related markets

Team Vision Sweeps BoomBoys

Covers 3 related markets

Team Vision sweeps Team Yandex

Covers 3 related markets

Team Vision wins series and games

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

G2 wins despite Game 4 loss

Covers 3 related markets

Uruguay-Cabo Verde stays low scoring

Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

Resolved$225,081 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
TEAM VISION
100¢
Team Spirit
0¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "TEAM VISION" if TEAM VISION win Game 4 against Team Spirit. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 4 against TEAM VISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “TEAM VISION
102¢
77¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

13h ago

$205,358 on TEAM VISION at 64¢

64¢100¢36¢

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

13h ago

$11,338 on Team Spirit at 48¢

48¢0¢48¢

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

13h ago

$1,820 on TEAM VISION at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

13h ago

$2,266 on TEAM VISION at 53¢

53¢100¢47¢

Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner

14h ago

$4,299 on Team Spirit at 50¢

50¢0¢50¢

Related Theses

Peace deal after June
Wallet_0x67ac9 trades 3 related markets
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Teams split first four
Wallet_0x67ac9 trades 4 related markets
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA -…LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA -…LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA -…
France wins 3-0 late
Wallet_0x67ac9 trades 4 related markets
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/…France vs. Sweden: Both Teams …
Hanwha wins in four
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LY…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LY…LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LY…
Team Vision Sweeps BoomBoys
Wallet_0x4c9c4 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoy…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoy…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoy…
Team Vision sweeps Team Yandex
Wallet_0x4c9c4 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Ya…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Ya…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Ya…
Team Vision wins series and games
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Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…
Wallet_0x67ac9 trades 3 related markets
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitali…LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitali…LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitali…
G2 wins despite Game 4 loss
Wallet_0x67ac9 trades 3 related markets
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Cor…
Uruguay-Cabo Verde stays low scoring
Wallet_0x67ac9 trades 1 related market
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.…