Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
This Polymarket covers who will win Game 2 of the Dota 2 match between Team Yandex and Natus Vincere at PGL Wallachia Group Stage Round 3. The market resolves based on the official winner of Game 2, even if the full match is not completed afterward. It is scheduled around April 20, 2026, and currently has notable smart money activity with $12,483 tracked across 4 signals.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between Team Yandex and Natus Vincere in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 20 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 2 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 2 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,334.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
98% winner leads cluster
A 3-wallet cluster bought Team Yandex just before the price jumped, led by a bettor with a 98% win rate and strong cross-market history, making this a notable esports follow despite the mixed quality of the other wallets.
- One wallet in this group wins 98% of its bets and is up $256.6k across 55 resolved markets
- The cluster bought Team Yandex at 61-66¢ and the market quickly moved to 70¢
- This market saw a 341x volume spike, suggesting fast money piling in before the move
$4,419 on Team Yandex
94% win-rate cluster bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate joined a 7-wallet one-sided cluster buying Natus Vincere at 40¢ during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up about $2.1M across 221 resolved positions.
- Seven wallets piled into Natus Vincere together for $13.6k, including linked funding between some wallets.
- They bought at 40¢ before the market dropped to 30¢, offering a cheaper follow entry if the thesis still holds.
$4,910 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 94%
91% winner in 7-wallet cluster
A proven sharp bettor with a 91% win rate joined a 7-wallet linked cluster buying Natus Vincere during a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong esports signal despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up $91.6k across 364 resolved positions
- Seven wallets all bought Natus Vincere for $13.6k total, with 2 wallets linked by funding source
- They entered at 38¢ during a 341x volume spike, which implies they saw the true odds well above the market price
$1,154 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp bettor in 7-wallet cluster
A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate joined a 7-wallet, partly linked cluster buying Natus Vincere into a major pre-match volume spike, making this a strong coordinated signal despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up about $308k across 240 resolved positions
- Seven wallets all bought Natus Vincere for $13.6k total, and 2 share the same funder
- They entered at 40¢ during a 341x volume spike, implying they saw value well above the current 30¢ price
$2,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 92%
96% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sharp wallet with a 96% win rate is making a fresh mid-sized bet on Team Yandex and has also built a consistent thesis across three related markets in the same event.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $861k lifetime
- They have placed $66k across 3 markets in this same event, showing a coordinated event-level view
- They bought Team Yandex at 59¢, close to the current ask, suggesting conviction rather than just chasing a thin market
$2,963 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% win-rate esports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 96% win rate is making a fresh $5.9k buy on Team Yandex while also betting three related markets in the same match event.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $861k on $1.86M invested
- They put nearly $5.9k into Team Yandex at 58-59¢, a meaningful size for this market
- They are also betting 3 markets in the same event for a $66k match-level thesis
$5,925 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% win-rate esports bettor
A highly profitable esports bettor with a 96% win rate is making a meaningful fresh buy on Team Yandex, and their broader event-level positioning suggests a strong thesis rather than a random one-off trade.
- This bettor wins 23 of 24 resolved markets and is up about $861k lifetime
- They bought Team Yandex at 58¢, a sizable bet in a market that had only $1.3k of prior 24h volume
- They have placed $63k across 3 related markets in this event, pointing to a broader match thesis
$2,962 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Team Yandex, $32,879 (51% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Yandex, $13,354 (96% win rate)
- 0x0dcf...c556 — Natus Vincere, $12,275 (94% win rate)
- 0x93bc...8ca3 — Natus Vincere, $11,868 (80% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Natus Vincere, $11,130 (96% win rate)
- 0x2307...3934 — Natus Vincere, $6,021 (52% win rate)
- 0x7645...3117 — Team Yandex, $6,000 (50% win rate)
- 0xdbb3...76a9 — Natus Vincere, $5,736 (52% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Team Yandex, $5,666 (98% win rate)
- 0x3d6a...1c08 — Team Yandex, $5,652
