Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

This Polymarket tracks the Dota 2 best-of-3 group stage match between Team Yandex and Team Falcons at PGL Wallachia. Traders are using the market to price each team's chances of winning, with smart money activity totaling $3,065 across 2 tracked signals. The market resolves when a winner is determined, and it voids if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days past the scheduled start.

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Yandex and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,196.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

75% win-rate event bettor

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate bought Team Falcons during an extreme pre-match volume spike, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 75% of their trades and is up nearly $60k across 126 resolved bets.
  • They trade across many related markets and events — 28 markets over 25 events — which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt.
  • The buy came during a 152x volume spike, and entry at 65¢ suggests they still saw value even after heavy action.

$1,127 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 75%

92% win-rate bettor

A bettor with an exceptional 92% win rate and $117.7k profit is buying Team Falcons at 66¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades and is up $117.7k across 48 resolved markets.
  • They bought Team Falcons at 66¢ after a 19-point one-day move, showing they still see value even after the market shifted.
  • The market is deep and active, so this looks more like a sharp opinion than noise in a thin book.

$1,670 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%

97% win-rate bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate and $125k profit just bought Team Yandex, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 35 of 36 resolved markets and is up about $125k overall
  • They have made 45 bets across 36 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Team Yandex at 61¢, with the market now around 59-60¢

$1,090 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable new wallet buying spike

A repeatedly flagged new wallet with early profits bought Team Yandex during an extreme pre-match volume spike and is already in the money.

  • This 19-day-old wallet has already been flagged 9 times, with $31k in notable bets and early profits of $6.5k.
  • They bought Team Yandex at 57¢ during a huge pre-match volume surge, and the market has already moved up to 60¢.
  • The bet is meaningful but not market-moving in a fairly liquid market, so the main signal is the wallet's repeat conviction plus the volume spike.

$1,974 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 100%

96% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 96% win rate and nearly $2.0M in profit is taking Team Falcons at 43¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime
  • They've made nearly 390 bets across 286 events, so this looks like a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
  • They bought Team Falcons at 43¢ while the market now prices Falcons around 44%, showing fresh conviction from a proven winner

$5,334 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1a5c...a375 Team Yandex, $220,674 (28% win rate)
  2. 0xa5ea...d96a Team Falcons, $100,000 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xea2b...1fc6 Team Falcons, $60,000 (66% win rate)
  4. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Team Falcons, $39,797 (54% win rate)
  5. 0xc44f...d49f Team Falcons, $18,714 (96% win rate)
  6. 0x93bc...8ca3 Team Falcons, $10,862 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x6304...e570 Team Yandex, $10,057 (51% win rate)
  8. 0x249f...fed3 Team Falcons, $9,316 (54% win rate)
  9. 0xe16d...5e30 Team Yandex, $5,321 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xb66a...800e Team Yandex, $5,287 (97% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

4h$11,196 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports
Team Yandex
30¢
Team Falcons
71¢

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Yandex and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Team Falcons
73¢
58¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

33m ago

$1,127 on Team Falcons at 65¢

65¢71¢6¢

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

33m ago

$1,670 on Team Falcons at 66¢

66¢71¢5¢

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1h ago

$1,090 on Team Yandex at 61¢

61¢30¢31¢

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

1h ago

$1,974 on Team Yandex at 57¢

57¢30¢27¢

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

2h ago

$5,334 on Team Falcons at 43¢

43¢71¢28¢

Related Theses

Team Yandex vs Falcons Odds - PGL Wallachia | PolySpotter