Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the Dota 2 match between Team Yandex and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, scheduled for April 18. The market resolves based on the winner of Game 1 only, even if the full match is not completed afterward. PolySpotter tracks smart money activity on this market, including $14,726 in tracked smart money and recent alerts pointing to notable esports bettors.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Yandex and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win Game 1 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 1 against Team Yandex. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,193.
Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
97% win-rate bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 97% win rate bought Team Yandex at 51¢, making this a strong sharp-wallet signal despite the market moving hard against them since entry.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $125k across 36 settled positions
- They have placed $177k across 47 markets in 37 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Team Yandex at 51¢, while the market now sits near 24¢, creating a much cheaper follow price if their read is right
$1,199 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 97%
3-wallet sharp cluster
Three linked wallets with exceptional recent performance piled into Team Yandex in a relatively thin book, creating coordinated one-sided flow worth watching despite the price moving against them afterward.
- Three linked wallets all bought Team Yandex for $6.4k, a coordinated bet from a 5-wallet funded cluster.
- One wallet wins 97% of resolved bets and another new 1-day-old wallet is already up $226k after repeated large bets.
- They bought into a thin $7.4k liquidity pool with a very wide 16¢ spread, a sign of real conviction rather than routine flow.
$6,366 on Team Yandex
40-0 sharp esports bettor
A proven sharp wallet with a perfect 40-for-40 record and broad cross-market success just bought Team Falcons at 39¢ during a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor is 40 for 40 on resolved markets and up $178k, which makes this one of the strongest track records on the platform
- They have traded 31 related markets across 27 events with a perfect record, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit
- Bought Team Falcons at 39¢ during a huge pre-match volume surge, implying they saw clear value before the price moved to 36¢
$2,161 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable esports whale
A 1-day-old wallet with repeat large bets, early six-figure profits, and heavy flagged activity just put fresh size into Team Yandex on a modestly active esports market.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 60 times for $648k of large bets and is up $226k so far.
- It just opened about $2.5k of fresh Team Yandex buys at 55¢, suggesting clear conviction rather than profit-taking.
- The market has only $8.1k of 24-hour volume, so this bet is meaningful relative to recent trading.
$2,466 on Team Yandex | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x26f8...3452 — Team Falcons, $32,100 (53% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Team Yandex, $17,427 (98% win rate)
- 0xe16d...5e30 — Team Yandex, $16,298 (100% win rate)
- 0x9eca...5a59 — Team Falcons, $16,082 (100% win rate)
- 0xd06c...cdaf — Team Yandex, $12,515 (97% win rate)
- 0x87da...53d1 — Team Yandex, $7,818 (67% win rate)
- 0xef62...cf76 — Team Falcons, $7,641 (53% win rate)
- 0xe3aa...1485 — Team Falcons, $5,362 (51% win rate)
- 0x3a09...f9f7 — Team Yandex, $5,095 (54% win rate)
- 0xa664...f849 — Team Falcons, $4,992 (92% win rate)
